Assessing the effect of elevated carbon dioxide on soil carbon: a comparison of four meta-analyses

Soil is the largest reservoir of organic carbon (C) in the terrestrial biosphere and soil C has a relatively long mean residence time. Rising atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO₂) concentrations generally increase plant growth and C input to soil, suggesting that soil might help mitigate atmospheric CO₂ rise and global warming. But to what extent mitigation will occur is unclear. The large size of the soil C pool not only makes it a potential buffer against rising atmospheric CO₂, but also makes it difficult to measure changes amid the existing background. Meta‐analysis is one tool that can overcome the limited power of single studies. Four recent meta‐analyses addressed this issue but reached somewhat different conclusions about the effect of elevated CO₂ on soil C accumulation, especially regarding the role of nitrogen (N) inputs. Here, we assess the extent of differences between these conclusions and propose a new analysis of the data. The four meta‐analyses included different studies, derived different effect size estimates from common studies, used different weighting functions and metrics of effect size, and used different approaches to address nonindependence of effect sizes. Although all factors influenced the mean effect size estimates and subsequent inferences, the approach to independence had the largest influence. We recommend that meta‐analysts critically assess and report choices about effect size metrics and weighting functions, and criteria for study selection and independence. Such decisions need to be justified carefully because they affect the basis for inference. Our new analysis, with a combined data set, confirms that the effect of elevated CO₂ on net soil C accumulation increases with the addition of N fertilizers. Although the effect at low N inputs was not significant, statistical power to detect biogeochemically important effect sizes at low N is limited, even with meta‐analysis, suggesting the continued need for long‐term experiments.     

Interactions between plant growth and soil nutrient cycling under elevated CO2: a meta-analysis

free air carbon dioxide enrichment (FACE) and open top chamber (OTC) studies are valuable tools for evaluating the impact of elevated atmospheric CO₂ on nutrient cycling in terrestrial ecosystems. Using meta‐analytic techniques, we summarized the results of 117 studies on plant biomass production, soil organic matter dynamics and biological N₂ fixation in FACE and OTC experiments. The objective of the analysis was to determine whether elevated CO₂ alters nutrient cycling between plants and soil and if so, what the implications are for soil carbon (C) sequestration. Elevated CO₂ stimulated gross N immobilization by 22%, whereas gross and net N mineralization rates remained unaffected. In addition, the soil C : N ratio and microbial N contents increased under elevated CO₂ by 3.8% and 5.8%, respectively. Microbial C contents and soil respiration increased by 7.1% and 17.7%, respectively. Despite the stimulation of microbial activity, soil C input still caused soil C contents to increase by 1.2% yr^?1. Namely, elevated CO₂ stimulated overall above‐ and belowground plant biomass by 21.5% and 28.3%, respectively, thereby outweighing the increase in CO₂ respiration. In addition, when comparing experiments under both low and high N availability, soil C contents (+2.2% yr^?1) and above‐ and belowground plant growth (+20.1% and+33.7%) only increased under elevated CO₂ in experiments receiving the high N treatments. Under low N availability, above‐ and belowground plant growth increased by only 8.8% and 14.6%, and soil C contents did not increase. Nitrogen fixation was stimulated by elevated CO₂ only when additional nutrients were supplied. These results suggest that the main driver of soil C sequestration is soil C input through plant growth, which is strongly controlled by nutrient availability. In unfertilized ecosystems, microbial N immobilization enhances acclimation of plant growth to elevated CO₂ in the long‐term. Therefore, increased soil C input and soil C sequestration under elevated CO₂ can only be sustained in the long‐term when additional nutrients are supplied.     

Linking sequestration of 13C and 15N in aggregates in a pasture soil following 8 years of elevated atmospheric CO2

The influence of N availability on C sequestration under prolonged elevated CO₂ in terrestrial ecosystems remains unclear. We studied the relationships between C and N dynamics in a pasture seeded to Lolium perenne after 8 years of elevated atmospheric CO₂ concentration (FACE) conditions. Fertilizer‐¹⁵N was applied at a rate of 140 and 560 kg N ha^2?1 y^2?1 and depleted ¹³C‐CO₂ was used to increase the CO₂ concentration to 60 Pa pCO₂. The ¹³C–¹⁵N dual isotopic tracer enabled us to study the dynamics of newly sequestered C and N in the soil by aggregate size and fractions of particulate organic matter (POM), made up by intra‐aggregate POM (iPOM) and free light fraction (LF). Eight years of elevated CO₂ did not increase total C content in any of the aggregate classes or POM fractions at both rates of N application. The fraction of new C in the POM fractions also remained largely unaffected by N fertilization. Changes in the fractions of new C and new N (fertilizer‐N) under elevated CO₂ were more pronounced between POM classes than between aggregate size classes. Hence, changes in the dynamics of soil C and N cycling are easier to detect in the POM fractions than in the whole aggregates. Within N treatments, fractions of new C and N in POM classes were highly correlated with more new C and N in large POM fractions and less in the smaller POM fractions. Isotopic data show that the microaggregates were derived from the macro‐aggregates and that the C and N associated with the microaggregates turned over slower than the C and N associated with the macroaggregates. There was also isotopic evidence that N immobilized by soil microorganisms was an important source of N in the iPOM fractions. Under low N availability, 3.04 units of new C per unit of fertilizer N were sequestered in the POM fractions. Under high N availability, the ratio of new C sequestered per unit of fertilizer N was reduced to 1.47. Elevated and ambient CO₂ concentrations lead to similar ¹⁵N enrichments in the iPOM fractions under both low and high N additions, clearly showing that the SOM‐N dynamics were unaffected by prolonged elevated CO₂ concentrations.     

Carbon isotope discrimination and water-use efficiency of six crops grown under wet and dryland conditions

Mustard (Sinapis alba L.), Argentine canola (Brassica napus L. cv. Westar), Polish canola (Brassica campestris L. cv. Tobin), pea (Pisum sativum L.), durum wheat (Triticum durum L. cv. Kyle) and soft wheat (Triticum aestivum L. cv. Fielder) were grown at Outlook, Saskatchewan, Canada, under irrigated and dryland conditions. Carbon isotope discrimination (Δ) and water-use efficiency (W), defined as grams of above ground dry matter produced per kilogram water used, were negatively correlated in the six field-grown crops. In irrigated plants Δ remained relatively constant (20–21‰) throughout the growing season. However, in dryland plants, Δ declined in response to the progressive depletion of stored soil water (Polish canola, 20-2-18-8‰; mustard, 19.9–18 5‰; pea, 19.9–17 2‰ durum wheat, 19.7–16.4‰; Argentine canola, 19.4–17.6‰; soft wheat, 19.0–17.4‰). Although there were genetic differences in Δ among the species, water availability was the major factor controlling Δ.     

Using stable isotopes to determine soil carbon input differences under ambient and elevated atmospheric CO2 conditions

Quantitative estimates of soil C input under ambient (35 Pa) and elevated (60 Pa) CO₂-partial pressure (pCO₂) were determined in a Free-Air Carbon dioxide Enrichment (FACE) experiment. To facilitate ¹³C-tracing, Trifolium repens L. was grown in a soil with an initial δ¹³C distinct by at least 5‰ from the δ¹³C of T. repens grown under ambient or elevated pCO₂. A shift in δ¹³C of the soil organic C was detected after one growing season. Calculated new soil C inputs in soil under ambient and elevated pCO₂ were 2 and 3 t ha^–1, respectively. Our findings suggest that under elevated CO₂ conditions, soil C sequestration may be altered by changes in plant biomass production and quality.