A simulation approach for power calculation in large cohort studies based on multistate models

Realistic power calculations for large cohort studies and nested case control studies are essential for successfully answering important and complex research questions in epidemiology and clinical medicine. For this, we provide a methodical framework for general realistic power calculations via simulations that we put into practice by means of an R‐based template. We consider staggered recruitment and individual hazard rates, competing risks, interaction effects, and the misclassification of covariates. The study cohort is assembled with respect to given age‐, gender‐, and community distributions. Nested case‐control analyses with a varying number of controls enable comparisons of power with a full cohort analysis. Time‐to‐event generation under competing risks, including delayed study‐entry times, is realized on the basis of a six‐state Markov model. Incidence rates, prevalence of risk factors and prefixed hazard ratios allow for the assignment of age‐dependent transition rates given in the form of Cox models. These provide the basis for a central simulation‐algorithm, which is used for the generation of sample paths of the underlying time‐inhomogeneous Markov processes. With the inclusion of frailty terms into the Cox models the Markov property is specifically biased. An “individual Markov process given frailty” creates some unobserved heterogeneity between individuals. Different left‐truncation‐ and right‐censoring patterns call for the use of Cox models for data analysis. p‐values are recorded over repeated simulation runs to allow for the desired power calculations. For illustration, we consider scenarios with a “testing” character as well as realistic scenarios. This enables the validation of a correct implementation of theoretical concepts and concrete sample size recommendations against an actual epidemiological background, here given with possible substudy designs within the German National Cohort.     

Effect of feeding boxes on the behavior of stereotyping amur tigers (Panthera tigris altaica) in the Zurich Zoo,Zurich, Switzerland

The stereotyped pacing shown by the two Amur tigers in the Zurich Zoo was hypothesized as being caused by permanently frustrated appetitive foraging behavior. Several electrically controlled feeding boxes were installed and access to each box was possible only twice a day for 15 min at semi‐random times. The boxes had to be opened actively by the tigers. Two trials were carried out: one with solitary confinement, and one with paired confinement. During box feeding, the female's stereotyped pacing was significantly reduced from 16% (solitary confinement, conventional feeding) and 7% (paired confinement, conventional feeding) to 1% (solitary confinement) and less than 0.01% (paired confinement) of the daily observed time. The female's sleeping increased significantly in both solitary and paired confinement. The male only showed a significant reduction in stereotyped pacing behavior when kept with the female (conventional feeding: 10%; box feeding: <0.01% of the daily observed time). On days with a box‐feeding regime in paired confinement, the male spent 25% (83 min) of the observed time with active behavior at the feeding boxes. The results support the hypothesis that permanently frustrated appetitive foraging behavior causes stereotyped pacing in adult tigers. Zoo Biol 21:573–584, 2002. © 2002 Wiley‐Liss, Inc.     

Human λ light chain locus: Organization and DNA sequences of three genomicJ regions

Evidence for the genomic organization of human lambda light chain joining (J) region gene segments is presented. A mouse J probe was used in Southern hybridizations to localize joining region sequences in a cosmid clone containing the genomic cluster of six human lambda constant (C) region gene segments. The results of these hybridizations suggest the presence of at least one J gene segment upstream from each constant region gene segment. The DNA sequences indicate that the human JI, J2, and J3 gene segments have consensus nonamer and heptamer sequences, proposed to be involved in V-J joining, are capable of encoding the known amino acid sequences for the respective J peptides, and have a sequence which could give functional RNA splice site at the end of their coding regions. Our data show that a single functional J is located 1.3 or 1.6 kb upstream of each of the C gene segments known to encode the Mcg, Kern^– Oz^–, and Kern^–Oz⁺ isotypes. Therefore, the gene organization of this region of the human lambda locus is J1 CI -J2C2-J3C3. The DNA sequences ofJ 1,J 2, andJ 3 presented in this paper establish that a singleJ gene segment precedes each expressed C gene segment, and support a model for the evolution of the human JC clusters where JICI andJ2C2-J3C3. arose from different ancestral JC units.     

Operculum closing as a defence against predatory leeches in four British freshwater prosobranch snails

The defence reaction of operculum closing in response to the presence of the molluscivorous leech Glossiphonia complanata (L.) and the non-molluscivorous Erpobdella octoculata (L.) was studied in four species of freshwater prosobranch gastropod. Bithynia tentaculata (L.) and Valvata piscinalis (Müller) can distinguish between the leeches, reacting only to G. complanata. V. piscinalis is capable of a greater degree of distance chemoreception of the leech ‘scent’. Valvata cristata Müller and Potamopyrgus jenkinsi (Smith) did not react to either leech. V. cristata may not be a potential prey item for G. complanata, while P. jenkinsi is fed on by the leech, but is a relative newcomer to the freshwater fauna. Animal Ecology Research Group, Department of Zoology, University of Oxford Commonwealth Forestry Institute, Department of Plant Sciences, University of Oxford     

Phenanthrene degradation by estuarine surface microlayer and bulk water microbial populations

Paired surface microlayer and bulk water samples from five sites in the Great Bay Estuary, New Hampshire, were examined with regard to numbers of bacteria,¹⁴C-phenanthrene biodegradation potentials, and organic and inorganic chemical characteristics. Microlayer samples were generally enriched in nutrients (N and P), dissolved organic matter, and culturable heterotrophic bacteria compared with their corresponding bulk waters. Microlayer samples from marina environments were also enriched in aromatic hydrocarbons, as determined by UV spectrophotometric and fluorometric analyses, and demonstrated substantial phenanthrene biodegradation activity in the assay employed. Biodegradation activity of marina bulk water samples ranged from nil to levels exceeding those exhibited by microlayer samples. No diminution of biodegradation activity was observed after filtration (1.2 m effective retention) of microlayer water, indicating that the responsible organisms were not particle-associated. Phenanthrene-degrading bacteria, enumerated by counting clearing zones in a crystalline phenanthrene overlay after colony development on a phenanthrene/toluene agar (PTA) medium, were superior to epifluorescence direct counts or standard plate counts on PTA or estuarine nutrient agar in predicting¹⁴C-phenanthrene biodegradative activity.     

Kinetic measurement of bacterial adherence to eukaryotic cells

We developed a kinetic assay using a monolayer of differentiated respiratory epithelium in culture to assess bacterial adherence. Mean residence time of bacteria in the tissue culture chamber was estimated from a model-independent (moment) analysis of the rate of bacterial washout from perfused Rose chambers. Results with this method compared favorably with visual assessment of adherence and double radiolabel method with H. influenzae. Adherence was assessed with low inoculae of H. influenzae, P. cepacia and P. aeruginosa avoiding cytotoxic effects seen when large inoculae are added to eukaryotic cells. This method will provide a means of assessing adherence of pathogenic respiratory bacteria to their cellular target at low inoculae.     

The role of subunit 4, a nuclear-encoded protein of the F0 sector of yeast mitochondrial ATP synthase, in the assembly of the whole complex

The yeast nuclear gene ATP4, encoding the ATP synthase subunit 4, was disrupted by insertion into the middle of it the selective marker URA3. Transformation of the Saccharomyces cerevisiae strain D273-10B/A/U produced a mutant unable to grow on glycerol medium. The ATP4 gene is unique since subunit 4 was not present in mutant mitochondria; the hypothetical truncated subunit 4 was never detected. ATPase was rendered oligomycin-insensitive and the F1 sector of this mutant appeared loosely bound to the membrane. Analysis of mitochondrially translated hydrophobic subunits of F0 revealed that subunits 8 and 9 were present, unlike subunit 6. This indicated a structural relationship between subunits 4 and 6 during biogenesis of F0. It therefore appears that subunit 4 (also called subunit b in beef heart and Escherichia coli ATP synthases) plays at least a structural role in the assembly of the whole complex. Disruption of the ATP4 gene also had a dramatic effect on the assembly of other mitochondrial complexes. Thus, the cytochrome oxidase activity of the mutant strain was about five times lower than that of the wild type. In addition, a high percentage of spontaneous rho- mutants was detected.