A simulation approach for power calculation in large cohort studies based on multistate models

Realistic power calculations for large cohort studies and nested case control studies are essential for successfully answering important and complex research questions in epidemiology and clinical medicine. For this, we provide a methodical framework for general realistic power calculations via simulations that we put into practice by means of an R‐based template. We consider staggered recruitment and individual hazard rates, competing risks, interaction effects, and the misclassification of covariates. The study cohort is assembled with respect to given age‐, gender‐, and community distributions. Nested case‐control analyses with a varying number of controls enable comparisons of power with a full cohort analysis. Time‐to‐event generation under competing risks, including delayed study‐entry times, is realized on the basis of a six‐state Markov model. Incidence rates, prevalence of risk factors and prefixed hazard ratios allow for the assignment of age‐dependent transition rates given in the form of Cox models. These provide the basis for a central simulation‐algorithm, which is used for the generation of sample paths of the underlying time‐inhomogeneous Markov processes. With the inclusion of frailty terms into the Cox models the Markov property is specifically biased. An “individual Markov process given frailty” creates some unobserved heterogeneity between individuals. Different left‐truncation‐ and right‐censoring patterns call for the use of Cox models for data analysis. p‐values are recorded over repeated simulation runs to allow for the desired power calculations. For illustration, we consider scenarios with a “testing” character as well as realistic scenarios. This enables the validation of a correct implementation of theoretical concepts and concrete sample size recommendations against an actual epidemiological background, here given with possible substudy designs within the German National Cohort.     

Effect of feeding boxes on the behavior of stereotyping amur tigers (Panthera tigris altaica) in the Zurich Zoo,Zurich, Switzerland

The stereotyped pacing shown by the two Amur tigers in the Zurich Zoo was hypothesized as being caused by permanently frustrated appetitive foraging behavior. Several electrically controlled feeding boxes were installed and access to each box was possible only twice a day for 15 min at semi‐random times. The boxes had to be opened actively by the tigers. Two trials were carried out: one with solitary confinement, and one with paired confinement. During box feeding, the female's stereotyped pacing was significantly reduced from 16% (solitary confinement, conventional feeding) and 7% (paired confinement, conventional feeding) to 1% (solitary confinement) and less than 0.01% (paired confinement) of the daily observed time. The female's sleeping increased significantly in both solitary and paired confinement. The male only showed a significant reduction in stereotyped pacing behavior when kept with the female (conventional feeding: 10%; box feeding: <0.01% of the daily observed time). On days with a box‐feeding regime in paired confinement, the male spent 25% (83 min) of the observed time with active behavior at the feeding boxes. The results support the hypothesis that permanently frustrated appetitive foraging behavior causes stereotyped pacing in adult tigers. Zoo Biol 21:573–584, 2002. © 2002 Wiley‐Liss, Inc.     

Human λ light chain locus: Organization and DNA sequences of three genomicJ regions

Evidence for the genomic organization of human lambda light chain joining (J) region gene segments is presented. A mouse J probe was used in Southern hybridizations to localize joining region sequences in a cosmid clone containing the genomic cluster of six human lambda constant (C) region gene segments. The results of these hybridizations suggest the presence of at least one J gene segment upstream from each constant region gene segment. The DNA sequences indicate that the human JI, J2, and J3 gene segments have consensus nonamer and heptamer sequences, proposed to be involved in V-J joining, are capable of encoding the known amino acid sequences for the respective J peptides, and have a sequence which could give functional RNA splice site at the end of their coding regions. Our data show that a single functional J is located 1.3 or 1.6 kb upstream of each of the C gene segments known to encode the Mcg, Kern^– Oz^–, and Kern^–Oz⁺ isotypes. Therefore, the gene organization of this region of the human lambda locus is J1 CI -J2C2-J3C3. The DNA sequences ofJ 1,J 2, andJ 3 presented in this paper establish that a singleJ gene segment precedes each expressed C gene segment, and support a model for the evolution of the human JC clusters where JICI andJ2C2-J3C3. arose from different ancestral JC units.     

Operculum closing as a defence against predatory leeches in four British freshwater prosobranch snails

The defence reaction of operculum closing in response to the presence of the molluscivorous leech Glossiphonia complanata (L.) and the non-molluscivorous Erpobdella octoculata (L.) was studied in four species of freshwater prosobranch gastropod. Bithynia tentaculata (L.) and Valvata piscinalis (Müller) can distinguish between the leeches, reacting only to G. complanata. V. piscinalis is capable of a greater degree of distance chemoreception of the leech ‘scent’. Valvata cristata Müller and Potamopyrgus jenkinsi (Smith) did not react to either leech. V. cristata may not be a potential prey item for G. complanata, while P. jenkinsi is fed on by the leech, but is a relative newcomer to the freshwater fauna. Animal Ecology Research Group, Department of Zoology, University of Oxford Commonwealth Forestry Institute, Department of Plant Sciences, University of Oxford     

Genetic analysis of human B cell hybridomas expressing a cross-reactive idiotype

We have examined the genetic basis for the expression of a human cross-reactive idiotype (CRI) commonly found on monoclonal IgM rheumatoid factors. The CRI was identified with a monoclonal antibody (17.109) and has been localized previously to the kappa-variable region. By using the human lymphoblastoid cell line WI-L2-729-HF2, and mononuclear cells from several sources, a panel of hybridomas was generated that produced 17.109 CRI-positive Ig. A recently cloned human germ-line V kappa III gene, Humkv305, served as a probe to identify genes which were rearranged and expressed in 17.109 CRI-positive and -negative hybridomas. This probe, when hybridized to human genomic DNA under stringent conditions, identified only two to five germ-line bands. In 10 separate 17.109 CRI-positive hybridoma clones, an additional rearranged V kappa band was identified. The probe did not anneal to rearranged V kappa bands in hybridoma clones that produced kappa-chains lacking the CRI. RNA dot-blot studies provided evidence for expression of genes hybridizing to the Humkv305 probe. The results indicate that the 17.109 CRI is a serologic marker for a single V kappa gene, or a small family of closely related V kappa genes, which is identified by the Humkv305 probe.     

Beta 2 (Oriental) human liver alcohol dehydrogenases do not exhibit subunit interaction: oxidation of cyclohexanol by homo- and heterodimers

The steady-state kinetics of isozymes of human liver alcohol dehydrogenase (ADH) containing the beta 2 (Oriental) subunit were investigated in order to confirm the supposition [Fong, W.P., & Keung, W. M. (1987) Biochemistry (preceding paper in this issue)] that the subunits of such heterodimeric ADHs act independently and noncooperatively. The ADH isozymes alpha beta 2, beta 2 beta 2, beta 2 gamma 1, and beta 2 gamma 2 as well as gamma 1 gamma 1 were purified by chromatography on DEAE-cellulose, 4-[3-[N-(6-aminocaproyl)amino]propyl]pyrazole--Sepharose, and CM-cellulose. Their kinetics were studied at pH 9.0 with cyclohexanol since this substrate permits maximal differentiation between activities of the heterodimeric subunits. Oxidation of cyclohexanol by the homodimers beta 2 beta 2 and gamma 1 gamma 1 follows conventional Michaelis-Menten kinetics. The values of Km and kcat determined for beta 2 beta 2 and gamma 1 gamma 1 are 0.11 M and 260 min-1 and 79 microM and 45 min-1, respectively, indicating that beta 2 beta 2, like the previously studied beta 1 beta 1, has an unusually low binding affinity for cyclohexanol compared to that of the ADH isozymes formed by the combination of alpha, gamma 1, and gamma 2 chains. Cyclohexanol oxidation by the heterodimers alpha beta 2, beta 2 gamma 1, and beta 2 gamma 2 follows biphasic kinetics which can be fully accounted for by the individual subunits, one exhibiting a high and the other a low substrate-binding affinity. Eadie-Hofstee plots resolve the biphasic kinetics into two linear components, each of which yields a set of kinetic parameters.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)     

Nutrition and muscle potassium: differential effect in rat slow and fast muscles

The effects of malnutrition on intracellular K+ activity, (alpha K)i, and membrane potential, Em, were measured by means of double-barrelled K+-selective microlectrodes in the soleus and gastrocnemius muscles of the rat. (alpha K)i and Em were measured in vivo in normal anaesthetized animals and in rats subjected to one of two diet restrictions: a 2-day fast or a long-term hypocaloric diet. In the soleus muscle, (alpha K)i fell by similar amounts in both 2-day fasted and long-term hypocalorically fed rats, while Em depolarized significantly only in hypocalorically fed rats. In the gastrocnemius muscle, neither the 2-day fast nor the hypocaloric diet affected (alpha K)i or Em. It is suggested that the selective loss of K+ from the soleus muscle may be related to its activity pattern.