Spatial explicit demography: The effects habitat patch isolation have on vole matrilines

Populations of many species are spatially structured in matrilines, and their dynamics may be determined by matriline specific demographic processes. We examined whether the isolation of habitat patches (i.e. interpatch distance) affected the demography of matrilines in 14 experimentally fragmented populations of the root vole. Matrilines inhabiting the most isolated patches decreased in size over the breeding season, while matrilines in less isolated patches increased. The survival rate of adult females was the main factor underlying the variation in growth rates among matrilines. Low survival when patches were isolated seemed to be due to long-distance interpatch movements exposing females to increased predation rate.
The differential success of matrilines in patchy populations with variable interpatch distances acted to decrease the matrilineal diversity at the population level. Furthermore, isolated patches may function as sinks. Thus spatially explicit landscape features may affect both population demography and genetics.     

Shifting altitudinal distribution of outbreak zones of winter moth Operophtera brumata in sub‐arctic birch forest: a response to recent climate warming?

Climatic change is expected to affect the extent and severity of geometrid moth outbreaks, a major disturbance factor in sub-arctic birch forests. Previous studies have reported that the two geometrid species involved, autumnal moth and winter moth, differ in their temperature requirements and, consequently, in their altitudinal and latitudinal distribution patterns. In this study, we document the altitudinal distribution of winter moth outbreaks in a large coastal area in northern Norway. We show that, in the present winter moth outbreak, defoliated birch stands were seen as distinct zones with a rather constant width in the uppermost part of the forest and where the upper limit coincided with the forest line. The outbreak zone closely followed the spatially variable forest line as an undulating belt, although some of the variation in outbreak zone width was also related to variation in topographical variables, such as distance from the coast, forest line altitude, and slope of the terrain. A distinct outbreak zone at the altitudinal forest line is the typical picture that has been depicted in more qualitative historical records on previous outbreaks of autumnal moth rather than winter moth. We suggest that the recent documented climate warming in this region may have induced a shift in distribution of the winter moth both relative to topography and geography. Further investigation is, however, required to substantiate these suspicions.     

Collapsing population cycles

During the past two decades population cycles in voles, grouse and insects have been fading out in Europe. Here, we discuss the cause and implication of these changes. Several lines of evidence now point to climate forcing as the general underlying cause. However, how climate interacts with demography to induce regime shifts in population dynamics is likely to differ among species and ecosystems. Herbivores with high-amplitude population cycles, such as voles, lemmings, snowshoe hares and forest Lepidoptera, form the heart of terrestrial food web dynamics. Thus, collapses of these cycles are also expected to imply collapses of important ecosystem functions, such as the pulsed flows of resources and disturbances.     

Strength of asymmetric competition between predators in food webs ruled by fluctuating prey: the case of foxes in tundra

In food webs heavily influenced by multi‐annual population fluctuations of key herbivores, predator species may differ in their functional and numerical responses as well as their competitive ability. Focusing on red and arctic fox in tundra with cyclic populations of rodents as key prey, we develop a model to predict how population dynamics of a dominant and versatile predator (red fox) impacted long‐term growth rate of a subdominant and less versatile predator (arctic fox). We compare three realistic scenarios of red fox performance: (1) a numerical response scenario where red fox acted as a resident rodent specialist exhibiting population cycles lagging one year after the rodent cycle, (2) an aggregative response scenario where red fox shifted between tundra and a nearby ecosystem (i.e. boreal forest) so as to track rodent peaks in tundra without delay, and (3) a constant subsidy scenario in which the red fox population was stabilized at the same mean density as in the other two scenarios. For all three scenarios it is assumed that the arctic fox responded numerically as a rodent specialist and that the mechanisms of competition is of a interference type for space, in which the arctic fox is excluded from the most resource rich patches in tundra. Arctic fox is impacted most by the constant subsidy scenario and least by the numerical response scenario. The differential effects of the scenarios stemmed from cyclic phase‐dependent sensitivity to competition mediated by changes in temporal mean and variance of available prey to the subdominant predator. A general implication from our result is that external resource subsidies (prey or habitats), monopolized by the dominant competitor, can significantly reduce the likelihood for co‐existence within the predator guild. In terms of conservation of vulnerable arctic fox populations this means that the likelihood of extinction increases with increasing amount of subsidies (e.g. carcasses of large herbivores or marine resources) in tundra and nearby forest areas, since it will act to both increase and stabilize populations of red fox.     

The ecology and evolution of reproductive synchrony

The temporal pattern of breeding in populations is often characterized by a pronounced temporal clustering of births, flowering or seed set. It has long been suspected that this phenomenon is not caused by climatic seasonality alone but that reproductive synchrony represents a strategy that individuals adopt to maximize reproductive success. The classical hypotheses predicting an adaptive advantage of reproductive synchrony incorporate both sociobiological and ecological explanations. However, new theoretical and empirical analyses have shown that the predicted advantage of reproductive synchrony depends on the ecological setting in which populations reproduce, and processes earlier thought to be responsible only for synchrony may under some ecological conditions lead to asynchronous reproduction being the best strategy.     

Reproduction and spacing behaviour of females in a peak density population of Clethrionomys glareolus

A peak density population of Clethrionomys glareolus was studied by snap-trapping to determine by experimentation whether spacing behaviour regulated the breeding density. On control plots onset of reproduction was asynchronous, litter size of overwintered females decreased significantly during the summer and no year-born animals matured during the reproductive period. A removal experiment in the early summer resulted in sexual maturation of year-born females. A second removal in late summer indicated an inhibition of maturation in year-born females despite continued intense reproduction of overwintered females. We conclude that spacing behaviour regulated maturation of females early in the summer but other factors, such as food quality, limited maturation in late summer.