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An estimate of the risk or prevalence ratio, adjusted for confounders, can be obtained from a log binomial model (binomial errors, log link) fitted to binary outcome data. We propose a modification of the log binomial model to obtain relative risk estimates for nominal outcomes with more than two attributes (the \"log multinomial model\"). Extensive data simulations were undertaken to compare the performance of the log multinomial model with that of an expanded data multinomial logistic regression method based on the approach proposed by Schouten et al. (1993) for binary data, and with that of separate fits of a Poisson regression model based on the approach proposed by Zou (2004) and Carter, Lipsitz and Tilley (2005) for binary data. Log multinomial regression resulted in \"inadmissable\" solutions (out-of-bounds probabilities) exceeding 50% in some data settings. Coefficient estimates by the alternative methods produced out-of-bounds probabilities for the log multinomial model in up to 27% of samples to which a log multinomial model had been successfully fitted. The log multinomial coefficient estimates generally had lesser relative bias and mean squared error than the alternative methods. The practical utility of the log multinomial regression model was demonstrated with a real data example. The log multinomial model offers a practical solution to the problem of obtaining adjusted estimates of the risk ratio in the multinomial setting, but must be used with some care and attention to detail. 相似文献
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Jana D. Canary Leigh Blizzard Ronald P. Barry David W. Hosmer Stephen J. Quinn 《Biometrical journal. Biometrische Zeitschrift》2016,58(3):674-690
Generalized linear models (GLM) with a canonical logit link function are the primary modeling technique used to relate a binary outcome to predictor variables. However, noncanonical links can offer more flexibility, producing convenient analytical quantities (e.g., probit GLMs in toxicology) and desired measures of effect (e.g., relative risk from log GLMs). Many summary goodness‐of‐fit (GOF) statistics exist for logistic GLM. Their properties make the development of GOF statistics relatively straightforward, but it can be more difficult under noncanonical links. Although GOF tests for logistic GLM with continuous covariates (GLMCC) have been applied to GLMCCs with log links, we know of no GOF tests in the literature specifically developed for GLMCCs that can be applied regardless of link function chosen. We generalize the Tsiatis GOF statistic originally developed for logistic GLMCCs, (), so that it can be applied under any link function. Further, we show that the algebraically related Hosmer–Lemeshow () and Pigeon–Heyse (J2) statistics can be applied directly. In a simulation study, , , and J2 were used to evaluate the fit of probit, log–log, complementary log–log, and log models, all calculated with a common grouping method. The statistic consistently maintained Type I error rates, while those of and J2 were often lower than expected if terms with little influence were included. Generally, the statistics had similar power to detect an incorrect model. An exception occurred when a log GLMCC was incorrectly fit to data generated from a logistic GLMCC. In this case, had more power than or J2. 相似文献
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