Nonparametric estimation of a Markov 'illness-death' process from interval-censored observations, with application to diabetes survival data

The nonparametric estimation of the cumulative transition intensityfunctions in a threestate time-nonhomogeneous Markov processwith irreversible transitions, an ‘illness-death’model, is considered when times of the intermediate transition,e.g. onset of a disease, are interval-censored. The times of‘death’ are assumed to be known exactly or to beright-censored. In addition the observed process may be left-truncated.Data of this type arise when the process is sampled periodically.For example, when the patients are monitored through periodicexaminations the observations on times of change in their diseasestatus will be interval-censored. Under the sampling schemeconsidered here the Nelson–Aalen estimator (Aalen, 1978)for a cumulative transition intensity is not applicable. Inthe proposed method the maximum likelihood estimators of someof the transition intensities are derived from the estimatorsof the corresponding subdistribution functions. The maximumlikelihood estimators are shown to have a self-consistency property.The self-consistency algorithm is developed for the computationof the estimators. This approach generalises the results fromTurnbull (1976) and Frydman (1992). The methods are illustratedwith diabetes survival data.     

中间偃麦草的GISH分析

以染色体组为E^eE^e的二倍体长穗偃麦草（Thinopyrum elongatum,2n=2x=14)、染色体组为E^bE^b的二倍体比萨偃麦草（Th.bessarabicum,2n=2x=14）、染色体组为StStStSt的四倍体拟鹅冠草（Pseudoroegneiria strigosa,2n=4x=28)的总基因组DNA为探针,对中间偃麦草（Th.intermedium)进行GISH分析。结果表明,中间偃麦草是由2个亲缘关系较近的染色体组、1个亲缘关系较远的染色体组构成;中间偃麦草所含的亲缘关系较近的染色体组分别与二倍长穗偃麦草染色体组E^e、比萨偃麦草染色体组E^b、以及1个亲缘关系较远的染色体组与拟鹅冠草染色体组St基本相似,但不完全一样,因此,中间偃麦草的染色体组用E^etE^etE^btStSt表示。     

New approaches for field studies of mammals: experiences with marine mammals

The constraints imposed by studying a mammal in an aquatic environment and by the nerd to use benign methods have made it necessary to develop novel approaches in order to investigate the biology of marine mammals. The approaches have been made possible by recent technological advances and by the willingness of granting agencies to fund expensive, high–risk projects in marine science.
We review new trchniques which have been developed for estimating the population size of marine mammals, for investigating the relationsip between individuals and populations, for studying the behaviour and energetics of animals in the open sea, and for the management of small and endangered populations. We also indicate how these techniques may be applied to a variety of terrestrial mammals.     

PHYTOALEXIN DEFICIENT 4 affects reactive oxygen species metabolism,cell wall and wood properties in hybrid aspen (Populus tremula L. × tremuloides)

The PHYTOALEXIN DEFICIENT 4 (PAD4) gene in Arabidopsis thaliana (AtPAD4) is involved in the regulation of plant – pathogen interactions. The role of PAD4 in woody plants is not known; therefore, we characterized its function in hybrid aspen and its role in reactive oxygen species (ROS)‐dependent signalling and wood development. Three independent transgenic lines with different suppression levels of poplar PAD expression were generated. All these lines displayed deregulated ROS metabolism, which was manifested by an increased H₂O₂ level in the leaves and shoots, and higher activities of manganese superoxide dismutase (MnSOD) and catalase (CAT) in the leaves in comparison to the wild‐type plants. However, no changes in non‐photochemical quenching (NPQ) between the transgenic lines and wild type were observed in the leaves. Moreover, changes in the ROS metabolism in the pad4 transgenic lines positively correlated with wood formation. A higher rate of cell division, decreased tracheid average size and numbers, and increased cell wall thickness were observed. The results presented here suggest that the Populus tremula × tremuloides PAD gene might be involved in the regulation of cellular ROS homeostasis and in the cell division – cell death balance that is associated with wood development.     

Grey seal, Halichoerus grypus, energetics: females invest more in male offspring

Grey seal females transfer large amounts of energy to their pups during the brief lactation period. The costs of lactation have been measured using weight changes of mother and pup pairs. Large females come ashore to give birth earlier in the season and lose weight more rapidly than smaller females. The sex ratio of Grey seal pups born is skewed towards males in the early part of the breeding season. Male pups are larger at birth and gain weight more rapidly than female pups, and their mothers show a correspondingly faster rate of weight loss than mothers of female pups. The energy costs of gestation and lactation to a Grey seal mother are 31 GJ for male pups and2–8 GJ for female pups. Males are therefore 10% more costly in energy terms to raise to weaning. Because, on average, large females arrive at breeding sites before smaller animals, biased results on weight changes would be obtained from methods which do not use repeated weighings. We suggest that the high efficiencies of lactation estimated for Harp seals compared with other phocid seals could be accounted for by such a bias.