Time to Pregnancy: A Computational Method for Using the Duration of Non-Conception for Predicting Conception

An important problem in reproductive medicine is deciding when people who have failed to become pregnant without medical assistance should begin investigation and treatment. This study describes a computational approach to determining what can be deduced about a couple''s future chances of pregnancy from the number of menstrual cycles over which they have been trying to conceive. The starting point is that a couple''s fertility is inherently uncertain. This uncertainty is modelled as a probability distribution for the chance of conceiving in each menstrual cycle. We have developed a general numerical computational method, which uses Bayes'' theorem to generate a posterior distribution for a couple''s chance of conceiving in each cycle, conditional on the number of previous cycles of attempted conception. When various metrics of a couple''s expected chances of pregnancy were computed as a function of the number of cycles over which they had been trying to conceive, we found good fits to observed data on time to pregnancy for different populations. The commonly-used standard of 12 cycles of non-conception as an indicator of subfertility was found to be reasonably robust, though a larger or smaller number of cycles may be more appropriate depending on the population from which a couple is drawn and the precise subfertility metric which is most relevant, for example the probability of conception in the next cycle or the next 12 cycles. We have also applied our computational method to model the impact of female reproductive ageing. Results indicate that, for women over the age of 35, it may be appropriate to start investigation and treatment more quickly than for younger women. Ignoring reproductive decline during the period of attempted conception added up to two cycles to the computed number of cycles before reaching a metric of subfertility.     

Schiffs bases and derived secondary amines as plant growth inhibitors

Seventy-two Schiffs bases, 44 corresponding secondary amines, and 12 N-acetylated compounds were tested on their growth activity. Eighty-one compounds were active as growth inhibitors in at least one of three bioassays.     

Submarine foraging behavior of alcids in an artificial environment

We used an artificial environment at Sea World, Inc, San Diego, to study underwater foraging behavior of alcids. Larger birds dove longer and had greater wingbeat frequencies. The pigeon guillemot Cepphus columba was the only species to use both feet and wings for propulsion; all others used just wings. Aggressive interactions underwater were common. Competition among alcids in the wild may occur primarily underwater, and artificial environments may be the best means to study such interactions.     

Shifts in Methanogenic Subpopulations Measured with Antibody Probes in a Fixed-Bed Loop Anaerobic Bioreactor Treating Sulfite Evaporator Condensate

A fixed-bed loop, high-rate anaerobic bioreactor treating sulfite evaporator condensate was sampled when it reached steady state and afterwards following perturbations during a 14-month period. By using immunotechnology, it was observed that shifts in methanogenic subpopulations occurred in association with perturbations, such as restarting and relocating the biomass into a different tank. Methanogens related to Methanobacterium bryantii MoHG and Methanobrevibacter smithii ALI were numerous throughout the observation period, while Methanosarcina mazei S6 and Methanosarcina thermophila TM1 were found in the early and late samples, respectively. Also, Methanobacterium formicicum was more numerous at the top portion of the bioreactor, while Methanobrevibacter arboriphilus AZ and DC were at the bottom. Sample formalinization required for prolonged storage proved suitable for antigen preservation.     

Cellular localization of cytochrome c 553 in the N2-fixing cyanobacterium Anabaena variabilis

The in situ location of the electron carrier protein cytochrome C ₅₅₃ (cyt c ₅₅₃) has been investigated in both vegetative cells and heterocysts of the cyanobacterium Anabaena variabilis ATCC 29413 using the antibody-gold technique, carried out as a post-ernbedding immunoelectron microscopy procedure. When using a rabbit polyclonal anti-cyt c ₅₅₃ specific antiserum an intense labelling, associated mainly with the cell periphery (cytoplasmic membrane and periplasmic area), was seen in both heterocysts and vegetative cells. The selective release of most of the cellular cyt c ₅₅₃ during a Tris-EDTA treatment confirms a periplasmic localization of this protein in A. variabilis. The results indicate that most of cyt c ₅₅₃ is located in the periplasmic space. The roles ascribed to this protein in both respiration and photosynthesis in cyanobacteria are discussed.Abbreviations Cyt c ₅₅₃ cytochrome c ₅₅₃ - PBS phosphate buffered saline (20 mM sodium phosphate, 0.9% NaCl, pH 7.4) - PMSF phenylmethylsulfonyl fluoride Recipient of a Research Fellowship of the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation (Bonn, FRG) for a leave to the University of Konstanz.     

Different numbers of maternal and paternal siblings of cystic fibrosis patients

Summary When 458 parents of children suffering from cystic fibrosis (CF) from all over the German Democratic Republic were interviewed to determine the number of their siblings, it was found that the maternal families had a total of 1369 children and the paternal, 1220. While the fathers of CF patients tended to originate from families with one or two children, more mothers than fathers came from families with three to twelve children (P=0.01). The average number of children in the maternal families was 2.99; in the paternal families, only 2.66. To rule out any methodological errors, sibs of mothers and fathers of various control groups were studied. We found that the number of siblings in these groups was balanced. The differences in our findings are probably due to CF heterozygosity. The underlying mechanism is unknown.     

Guidelines for the Control of Human Immunodeficiency Virus Infection in Adolescents

Although adolescents account for only 0.4% of reported cases of the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) in the United States, they are sexually active and, therefore, at risk of acquiring human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection. To address issues of HIV control in adolescents, we developed guidelines that emphasize education and medical care and deemphasize antibody testing. For adolescents known to be infected with HIV, we recommend no restrictions on access to educational or treatment programs except when their health providers recommend such restrictions to protect them from exposure to opportunistic infections. For adolescents of unknown antibody status with a possible previous exposure to HIV, we recommend that as long as the incidence of HIV infection and clinical AIDS remains low, there should be no restrictions on residential placements and no routine antibody testing.     

Recovery of adenine-nucleotide pools in terrestrial blue-green algae after prolonged drought periods

Summary The response of Nostoc commune and Nostoc flagelliforme (terrestrial blue-green algae), grown in their natural habitat, towards rewetting after prolonged drought periods (2 weeds up to five years) has been investigated. In Nostoc flagelliforme, the energy charge (EC) about 0.18 in dry condition increases rapidly (EC=0.7 after 1 h) and more slowly in a second phase (EC=0.8 after 6 h). The total content of AXP (=ATP+ADP+AMP) apparently increases due to de novo synthesis of adenine nucleotides. ATP-build-up after a drought period is probably provided by oxidative phosphorylation. It has been found to be about the same, regardless of whether the foregoing drought period had been extended over 6 months or 5 years.Dry samples of colony mats of N. commune exhibit very low ATP-, but high ADP-contents. Within 6 h after rewetting, the final level of extractable ATP (60–100 nmol/mg chlorophyll) is recovered.