Testing simulations of intra‐ and inter‐annual variation in the plant production response to elevated CO2 against measurements from an 11‐year FACE experiment on grazed pasture

Ecosystem models play a crucial role in understanding and evaluating the combined impacts of rising atmospheric CO₂ concentration and changing climate on terrestrial ecosystems. However, we are not aware of any studies where the capacity of models to simulate intra‐ and inter‐annual variation in responses to elevated CO₂ has been tested against long‐term experimental data. Here we tested how well the ecosystem model APSIM/AgPasture was able to simulate the results from a free air carbon dioxide enrichment (FACE) experiment on grazed pasture. At this FACE site, during 11 years of CO₂ enrichment, a wide range in annual plant production response to CO₂ (?6 to +28%) was observed. As well as running the full model, which includes three plant CO₂ response functions (plant photosynthesis, nitrogen (N) demand and stomatal conductance), we also tested the influence of these three functions on model predictions. Model/data comparisons showed that: (i) overall the model over‐predicted the mean annual plant production response to CO₂ (18.5% cf 13.1%) largely because years with small or negative responses to CO₂ were not well simulated; (ii) in general seasonal and inter‐annual variation in plant production responses to elevated CO₂ were well represented by the model; (iii) the observed CO₂ enhancement in overall mean legume content was well simulated but year‐to‐year variation in legume content was poorly captured by the model; (iv) the best fit of the model to the data required all three CO₂ response functions to be invoked; (v) using actual legume content and reduced N fixation rate under elevated CO₂ in the model provided the best fit to the experimental data. We conclude that in temperate grasslands the N dynamics (particularly the legume content and N fixation activity) play a critical role in pasture production responses to elevated CO₂, and are processes for model improvement.     

Synthesis and conformational analysis of carbasugar bioisosteres of α-l-iduronic acid and its methyl glycoside

The synthesis of two novel carbasugar analogues of α-l-iduronic acid is described in which the ring-oxygen is replaced by a methylene group. In analogy with the conformational equilibrium described for α-l-IdopA, the conformation of the carbasugars was investigated by ¹H and ¹³C NMR spectroscopy. Hadamard transform NMR experiments were utilised for rapid acquisition of ¹H,¹³C-HSQC spectra and efficient measurements of heteronuclear long-range coupling constants. Analysis of ¹H NMR chemical shifts and J_H,H coupling constants extracted by a total-lineshape fitting procedure in conjunction with J_H,C coupling constants obtained by three different 2D NMR experiments, viz., ¹H,¹³C-HSQC-HECADE, J-HMBC and IPAP-HSQC-TOCSY-HT, as well as effective proton-proton distances from 1D ¹H,¹H T-ROE and NOE experiments showed that the conformational equilibrium ⁴C₁?²S_5a?¹C₄ is shifted towards ⁴C₁ as the predominant or exclusive conformation. These carbasugar bioisosteres of α-l-iduronic acid do not as monomers show the inherent flexibility that is anticipated to be necessary for biological activity.     

Modelling sediment transport in shallow lakes — interactions between sediment transport and sediment composition

In shallow, wind exposed lakes, the light conditions, the cycling of nutrients, heavy metals and organic micro-pollutants and changes in the local composition of the sediment top layer can be dominated by resuspension/erosion of bottom sediment and sedimentation of suspended solids. A 2 dimensional model for Sediment Transport, Resuspension and Sedimentation in Shallow lakes (STRESS-2d), based on an existing transport model, is discussed. In the model, mass balance equations for the water compartment and the bottom sediment are solved numerically. Up to 7 sediment fractions can be taken into account, each having a specific set of resuspension/erosion and sedimentation parameter values. Several options for modelling the changes in the bottom sediment composition are available.A simulation experiment for Lake Veluwe (The Netherlands), in which model options with and without the distinction of sediment fractions were used, showed that using sediment fractions to account for the variability in the sediment composition leads to an improvement of the model results, particularly the simulated phosphorus sediment-water exchange fluxes. For Lake Ketel (The Netherlands) two options for modelling changes in the bottom sediment composition are compared. It is shown that an option in which a thin water-sediment layer on top of the more consolidated bottom sediment is simulated provides an improvement in the simulation of the suspended solids concentration.     

4.4 Å cryo-EM structure of an enveloped alphavirus Venezuelan equine encephalitis virus

Venezuelan equine encephalitis virus (VEEV), a member of the membrane‐containing Alphavirus genus, is a human and equine pathogen, and has been developed as a biological weapon. Using electron cryo‐microscopy (cryo‐EM), we determined the structure of an attenuated vaccine strain, TC‐83, of VEEV to 4.4 Å resolution. Our density map clearly resolves regions (including E1, E2 transmembrane helices and cytoplasmic tails) that were missing in the crystal structures of domains of alphavirus subunits. These new features are implicated in the fusion, assembly and budding processes of alphaviruses. Furthermore, our map reveals the unexpected E3 protein, which is cleaved and generally thought to be absent in the mature VEEV. Our structural results suggest a mechanism for the initial stage of nucleocapsid core formation, and shed light on the virulence attenuation, host recognition and neutralizing activities of VEEV and other alphavirus pathogens.     

Jasmonic Acid and Salicylic Acid Induce Accumulation of β-1,3-Glucanase and Thaumatin-Like Proteins in Wheat and Enhance Resistance Against Stagonospora nodorum

The effect of application of jasmonic acid (JA) and salicylic acid (SA) on the induction of resistance in wheat to Stagonospora nodorum and on the induction of -1,3-glucanase and thaumatin-like proteins (TLPs) was studied. Western blot analysis revealed that two -1,3-glucanases with apparent molecular masses of 31 and 33 kDa that cross-reacted with a barley glucanase antiserum were induced in wheat leaves after treatment with JA and SA. When wheat plants were treated with SA and JA, a TLP with an apparent molecular mass of 25 kDa and several other isoforms of TLP were induced. Pre-treatment of wheat plants with SA and JA significantly reduced (up to 56 %) the incidence of leaf blotch disease incited by S. nodorum compared with untreated control plants.     

Mountain summer farms in Røldal,western Norway –; vegetation classification and patterns in species turnover and richness

This paper discusses vegetation types and diversity patterns in relation to environment and land-use at summer farms, a characteristic cultural landscape in the Norwegian mountains. Floristic data (189 taxa) were collected in 130 4-m² sample plots within 12 summer farms in Røldal, western Norway. The study was designed to sample as fully as possible the range of floristic, environmental, and land-use conditions. Vegetation types delimited by two-way indicator species analysis were consistent with results from earlier phytosociological studies. Detrended correspondence analysis and canonical correspondence analysis show that rather than being distinct vegetation types, the major floristic variation is structured along a spatial gradient from summer farm to the surrounding heathland vegetation. Species richness (alpha diversity) was modelled against environmental variables by generalized linear modelling and compositional turnover (beta diversity) by canonical correspondence analysis. Most environmental factors made significant contributions, but the spatial distance-to-farm gradient was the best predictor of both species richness and turnover. While summer farms reduce mean species richness at the plot scale, the compositional heterogeneity of the upland landscapes is increased, thereby creating ‘ecological room’ for additional vegetation types and species. Within an overall similarity across scales, soil variables (pH, base saturation, LOI, phosphate and nitrogen) differed considerably in their explanatory power for richness and turnover. A difference between ‘productivity limiting’ factors and ‘environmental sieves’ is proposed as an explanation. Species turnover with altitude is relatively low in grasslands as compared to heaths.     

Predicting species distributions from herbarium collections: does climate bias in collection sampling influence model outcomes?

Aim Species distribution models and geographical information system (GIS) technologies are becoming increasingly important tools in conservation planning and decision‐making. Often the rich data bases of museums and herbaria serve as the primary data for predicting species distributions. Yet key assumptions about the primary data often are untested, and violation of such assumptions may have consequences for model predictions. For example, users of primary data assume that sampling has been random with respect to geography and environmental gradients. Here we evaluate the assumption that plant voucher specimens adequately sample the climatic gradient and test whether violation of this assumption influences model predictions. Location Bolivia and Ecuador. Methods Using 323,711 georeferenced herbarium collections and nine climatic variables, we predicted the distribution of 76 plant species using maximum entropy models (MAXENT) with training points that sampled the climate environments randomly and training points that reflected the climate bias in the herbarium collections. To estimate the distribution of species, MAXENT finds the distribution of maximum entropy (i.e. closest to uniform) subject to the constraint that the expected value for each environmental variable under the estimated distribution matches its empirical average. The experimental design included species that differed in geographical range and elevation; all species were modelled with 20 and 100 training points. We examined the influence of the number of training points and climate bias in training points, elevation and range size on model performance using analysis of variance models. Results We found that significant parts of the climatic gradient were poorly represented in herbarium collections for both countries. For the most part, existing climatic bias in collections did not greatly affect distribution predictions when compared with an unbiased data set. Although the effects of climate bias on prediction accuracy were found to be greater where geographical ranges were characterized by high spatial variation in the degree of climate bias (i.e. ranges where the bias of the various climates sampled by collections deviated considerably from the mean bias), the greatest influence on model performance was the number of presence points used to train the model. Main conclusions These results demonstrate that predictions of species distributions can be quite good despite existing climatic biases in primary data found in natural history collections, if a sufficiently large number of training points is available. Because of consistent overprediction of models, these results also confirm the importance of validating models with independent data or expert opinion. Failure to include independent model validation, especially in cases where training points are limited, may potentially lead to grave errors in conservation decision‐making and planning.     

Phosphorus eutrophication in the SW Frisian lake district 2. Phosphorus balances and simulation of reduction scenarios

The lakes and interconnecting canals in the S.W. Frisian lake district are highly eutrophic. In the mid-1980's a project on eutrophication and lake restoration research was started. This project was aimed at modelling water transport and phosphorus (P) dynamics and at simulating management scenarios. A simple dynamic P-balance model was used to calculate total phosphorus (TP) balances and to simulate three TP reduction scenarios in each of three lakes: Tjeukemeer, Groote Brekken and Slotermeer. The model covered three periods in 1985, 1986 and 1987. The external loads to Tjeukemeer were highest, moderate to Groote Brekken, and lowest to Slotermeer. The major P sources in the area were discharges from the surrounding polders, used mainly for agriculture, and from IJsselmeer.Despite a 75% TP-reduction in water from the surrounding polders the 0.07 mg l^–1 target level could be reached only occasionally in Tjeukemeer, while in the other two lakes this level was not even approached. The effect of a 75% reduction in water from IJsselmeer was greatest in Groote Brekken (but again approached the target only occasionally), moderate in Tjeukemeer and least in Slotermeer. The simulations showed that only a 75% reduction in both external loads (from polders and from IJsselmeer) will lead to achieving the target level in Tjeukemeer and Groote Brekken during the summer periods. In Slotermeer, a relatively isolated lake, other measures are necessary to reach the target level. The results are confirmed by an approximate theoretical analysis of the effects of load reduction.     

Should conservation strategies consider spatial generality? Farmland birds show regional not national patterns of habitat association

A key assumption underlying any management practice implemented to aid wildlife conservation is that it will have similar effects on target species across the range it is applied. However, this basic assumption is rarely tested. We show that predictors [nearly all associated with agri-environment scheme (AES) options known to affect European birds] had similar effects for 11 bird species on sites with differing farming practice (pastoral vs. mixed farming) or which differed in the density at which the species was found. However, predictors from sites in one geographical region tended to have different effects in other areas suggesting that AES options targeted at a regional scale are more likely to yield beneficial results for farmland birds than options applied uniformly in national schemes. Our study has broad implications for designing conservation strategies at an appropriate scale, which we discuss.     

Behavioural syndromes in Merriam's kangaroo rats (Dipodomys merriami): a test of competing hypotheses

Behavioural syndromes, correlations of behaviours conceptually analogous to personalities, have been a topic of recent attention due to their potential to explain trade-offs in behavioural responses, apparently maladaptive behaviour and limits to plasticity. Using Merriam's kangaroo rats (Dipodomys merriami), we assessed the explanatory power and generality of hypothesized syndrome structures derived from the literature and the natural history of the species. Several aspects of functionally distinct behavioural responses of D. merriami were quantified. Syndrome structures were compared using structural equation modelling and model selection procedures. A domain-general behavioural syndrome incorporating cross-functional relationships between measures of boldness, agonistic behaviour, flexibility and food hoarding best explained the data. This pattern suggests that D. merriami behaviours should not be viewed as discrete elements but as components of a multivariate landscape. Our results support arguments that a lack of independence between behaviours may be a general aspect of behavioural phenotypes and suggest that the ability of D. merriami's behaviour to respond to selection may be constrained by underlying connections.