遂渝铁路边坡草本植物多样性季节动态和空间分布特征

以遂渝铁路边坡植物群落为研究对象,自然边坡为对照,分别于2008年9月、12月、2009年3月和6月对其进行植物调查。采用Margalef指数、Simpson指数、Shannon-Wiener指数和Pielou指数等指标评价不同季节、坡位和植被类型条件下草本植物多样性的变化。结果表明：在时间尺度上,铁路边坡坡中物种丰富度呈现明显的季节性差异(P<0.05),以秋季最大为2376;铁路边坡各坡位草本植物多样性和均匀度指数也呈现显著季节性变化(P<0.05),且变化规律一致：春季>夏季>冬季>秋季;与铁路边坡不同,自然边坡草本植物丰富度、多样性和均匀度指数变化趋势不明显(P>0.05)。在空间分布上,坡位对铁路边坡物种丰富度影响显著(P<0.05),其中,夏季坡上植物丰富度最大为2.164,春季、秋季和冬季丰富度最大值均在坡中最大,分别为2.261、2.376和1.983;坡位仅对自然边坡秋季物种丰富度和均匀度影响显著(P<0.05),其中,物种丰富度表现为坡上>坡下>坡中,而均匀度为坡中>坡上>坡下。不同植被类型的物种丰富度、多样性和均匀度也有较大差异,自然边坡物种多样性明显大于铁路边坡,总体上自然边坡植被恢复优于铁路边坡。因此,加强对植被恢复的管理是铁路边坡生态恢复的重要环节。     

Nematode Community Structure along the Continental Slope off the Kenyan Coast,Western Indian Ocean

Metazoan meiofauna and in particular nematode densities, diversity, community structure were studied in relation to water depth (20 m, 50 m, 500 m, 1000 m and 2000 m) along four bathymetric transects in the Western Indian Ocean off the Kenyan coast. Nematode densities ranged between 276–944 ind./10 cm², which is comparable to values from other oligotrophic areas in the world. Densities was correlated with oxygen concentrations in the overlying water, since they were lowest at mid‐depth (500–1000 m) coinciding with the minimum oxygen level. Nematode community structure (at genus level) resembles communities found in temperate slope regions, which are also characterized by a low productivity. The community structure showed correlations with sediment composition, water depth and oxygen levels in the overlying water. Sediment composition was mainly important at the shelf where nematodes separated into a silty sediment‐dwelling community with high abundances of Daptonema, Dorylaimopsis, Terschellingia and Halalaimus, and a sandy sediment‐dwelling community characterised by high abundances of Microlaimus and Halalaimus. The genera Monhystera, Acantholaimus, Sabatieria, Molgolaimus and Halalaimus dominated the slope communities. The characteristic deep‐sea taxa, the monhysterids and Acantholaimus increased in relative abundance with increasing depth, to become dominant at the lower slope (2000 m). The upper (500 m) and mid‐slope (1000 m), which coincided with the lowest oxygen concentrations, were colonised by Sabatieria, a genus that is known to inhabit suboxic sediments. Diversity at the level of the genera showed an unimodal trend along the sampled gradient, with highest values at mid‐depth (500 m). Although the oxygen minimum at mid depths is much less pronounced than in adjacent areas, the results of this study suggest an impact on the present communities.     

河北小五台山北坡植物物种多样性的垂直梯度变化

通过野外群落调查,分析了小五台山北坡植物物种多样性的垂直梯度变化。结果表明：(1)小五台山北坡的物种丰富度随海拔的升高逐渐减小,物种组成趋于简单,乔木树种渐少。d多样性指数变化较小,但呈现出随海拔升高先增大、后减小的趋势。(2)β多样性指数很好地反映了群落之问的变化。相异系数峰值出现在海拔1．400-1500m处灌丛向森林的过渡带和海拔2600—2700m处森林向亚高山草甸的过渡带。海拔1400-1500m处出现的Cody指数极大值反映了灌丛群落向森林群落的变化,而Cody指数在海拔2100—2200m的极大值反映了阔叶林和针叶林之间的过渡。(3)作为小五台山两种最为重要的阔叶树种,白桦(Betula platyphylla)和红桦(Betula albosinensis)沿海拔梯度出现明显的替代现象,随着海拔的升高,白桦逐渐为红桦所取代。     

Discriminant analysis of Lepidopteran prey characteristics and their effects on the outcome of bird-feeding trials

Discriminant analysis was used to analyse the results of 348 bird-feeding trials conducted from 1982 to 1985 in Leverett, Massachusetts. Four size classes, seven appearance categories, and five larval host types, based on 163 species of moths and butterflies used as prey in two or more trials, were selected as predictor variables to discriminate between prey taken and not taken by birds. Discriminant analysis of individual feeding trials correctly classified 97.5 percent of prey taken or not-taken and ranked the predictor variables according to their relative importance in determining prey acceptability. Characteristics most acceptable to birds were: (1) large size, (2) bark-like appearance, (3) warning colouration, (4) woody generalist, (5) dead-leaf-like appearance, (6) woody specialist, and (7) medium size. Characteristics least acceptable to birds were: (1) small size, (2) mimetic appearance, (3) butterfly appearance, (4) herbaceous specialist food type, (5) black-and-white appearance, (6) extra large size, and (7) overall generalist feeder. A summary of the analyses includes a discriminant function based on lepidopteran characteristics that can be used to predict the prey acceptability of species not used in this study. A multiple regression analysis of prey taken revealed that size alone and larval host type combined with other prey characteristics were the most important variables in determining the selection of prey regardless of their abundance in the trials.     

淀山湖富营养化过程的统计学特征

湖泊营养物输入及响应指标的统计学规律正在受到越来越广泛的关注。对淀山湖在不同富营养化阶段和近期总磷TP、总氮TN和叶绿素Chl a的频率分布以及TP-Chl a关系的经验方程进行了分析,结果表明:(1)淀山湖TP、TN和Chl a的平均浓度和离散程度随着湖泊富营养化程度的加剧而增加,其中以Chl a的增幅最大;(2)在富营养化条件下,即使营养物TP得到一定程度的控制,Chl a大于15μg/L的概率继续增加了20%以上。仅仅削减营养物的峰值,对降低湖泊初级生产力水平的贡献有限;(3)TP-Chl a对数回归方程的斜率随湖泊富营养化程度的升高而增加,由20世纪80年代的0.54增加到目前的2.46。淀山湖营养物输入及响应指标的统计学特征,可以用来表征水体富营养化程度,评价湖泊生态恢复的进程和效果,为湖泊营养物基准和标准的制定提供最为实际的统计学支持。     

Validation of discrete time-to-event prediction models in the presence of competing risks

Clinical prediction models play a key role in risk stratification, therapy assignment and many other fields of medical decision making. Before they can enter clinical practice, their usefulness has to be demonstrated using systematic validation. Methods to assess their predictive performance have been proposed for continuous, binary, and time-to-event outcomes, but the literature on validation methods for discrete time-to-event models with competing risks is sparse. The present paper tries to fill this gap and proposes new methodology to quantify discrimination, calibration, and prediction error (PE) for discrete time-to-event outcomes in the presence of competing risks. In our case study, the goal was to predict the risk of ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) attributed to Pseudomonas aeruginosa in intensive care units (ICUs). Competing events are extubation, death, and VAP due to other bacteria. The aim of this application is to validate complex prediction models developed in previous work on more recently available validation data.     

天山南麓山前平原植物群落物种多样性及空间分异研究

荒漠灌丛是天山南麓山前平原主要植被类型.本研究定量分析了山前平原植物群落物种多样性及生境尺度异质性的影响.结果表明:(1)天山南麓山前平原的植物群落多样性指数Simpson、均匀度指数McIntosh及丰富度指数Margalef都较低,在地貌带的过渡上,植物分布呈现均匀化.(2)海拔和地下水埋深是影响天山南麓山前平原植物群落物种多样性的重要环境指标.海拔梯度与物种多样性指数Simpson、Margalef及McIntosh均呈显著的线性正相关关系,物种多样性均随海拔高度的增加而增加;地下水埋深与物种多样性指数呈极显著的线性负相关关系,物种多样性随地下水埋深的增加而减小.(3)土壤含盐量与物种多样性指标无显著关系,但土壤含盐量与地下水埋深相关性显著,这是天山南麓山前平原土壤盐分空间异质性的一个重要特点.土壤盐分含量变化影响着植物群落物种组成,随土壤盐分含量增加,群落中盐生植物种类逐渐占据优势.(4)海拔的变化是决定天山南麓山前平原灌丛群落生境差异的主导因子.海拔差异表征了山前平原地貌、水文地质条件及土壤的变化,而随海拔变化的水热、水盐等干扰体系的差异则进一步导致了异质性的生境,进而影响不同植被类型中群落组成结构和多样性的差异.     

朝鲜南部的Pseudogl yptagnostus(三叶虫)并论朝鲜寒武纪斜坡相的意义

朝鲜南部Ｍａｃｈａｒｉ组Ｏｌｅｎｏｉｄｅｓ带的Ａｇｎｏｓｔｕｓ（Ｐｔｙｃｈａｇｎｏｓｔｕｓ？）ｏｒｉｅｎｔａｌｉｓ Ｋｏｂａｙａｓｂｈｉ一种应归于Ａｇｎｏｓ－ｔｏｔｅｓ（Ｐｓｅｕｄｏｇｌｙｐｔａｇｎｏｓｔｕｓ）Ｌｕ,１９６４一属,时代是晚寒武世长山期,不是早期中寒琥世,小林贞一的Ｏｌｅｎｏｉｄｅｓ带是中及晚寒武三叶虫混杂在一起的一个化石带。他建立的该组５个化石带也有问题。Ｃｏｒｅｏｌｅｎｕｓ,Ｃｈ     

紫色土坡耕地土壤属性差异对耕层土壤质量的影响

坡耕地是一个区域最易发生水土流失的土地利用类型,其严重的水土流失、面源污染和耕层退化现象直接威胁着坡耕地持续利用以及当地粮食安全、生态安全;耕层土壤质量对自然因素和人为耕作活动的影响较为敏感。以南方3个地点紫色土坡耕地耕层土壤质量为研究对象,从土壤属性角度,对比分析了重庆合川、江西兴国、云南楚雄不同耕层垂直深度土壤养分特征、土壤物理性质、土壤水库特征、耕作性能差异性及其形成原因。结果表明:(1)坡耕地耕层土壤有机质表现为云南楚雄(28.80g/kg)江西兴国(9.03 g/kg)重庆合川(8.80 g/kg);除全钾含量外,土壤全量养分和速效养分的含量表现为云南楚雄江西兴国重庆合川;坡耕地耕层速效养分垂直分布变化规律基本一致,主要表现为土壤速效养分主要在0—20 cm土层富集,而20—40 cm和40—60 cm土层无显著差异。(2)不同地点紫色土坡耕地耕层土壤物理性质差异明显,以重庆合川坡耕地土壤物理质量最差,表现为土壤砂粒含量60%、土壤容重最大(1.43 g/cm3)、土壤总孔隙度(45.97%)和毛管孔隙度(34.36%)最小;从坡耕地耕层土壤物理性质垂直变化特征看,耕作层(0—20 cm)优于心土层(20—40 cm)和底土层(40—60 cm)。(3)紫色土坡耕地耕层土壤初始入渗率以江西兴国坡耕地耕层最大(0.32 mm/min),而以重庆合川坡耕地耕层最小(0.19 mm/min);土壤稳定入渗率和平均入渗率均表现为云南楚雄重庆合川江西兴国;坡耕地耕层土壤最大有效库容以云南楚雄最好(873.311 t/hm~2),说明云南楚雄紫色土坡耕地耕层土壤具有较好的抵御季节性干旱能力;不同地点坡耕地耕层土壤总库容、死库容、兴利库容、滞洪库容、最大有效库容在垂直方向变化表现为耕作层(0—20 cm)大于心土层(20—40 cm)和底土层(40—60 cm)。(4)不同地点紫色土坡耕地耕层土壤抗剪强度和贯入阻力均呈现出相同变化规律,土壤抗剪强度表现为重庆合川(15.39 kg/cm~2)云南楚雄(14.74 kg/cm~2)江西兴国(10.66 kg/cm~2),而土壤贯入阻力值为重庆合川(424.83 k Pa)云南楚雄(252.50 k Pa)江西兴国(188.87 k Pa),这种土壤力学性能的变化说明重庆合川紫色土坡耕地耕层土壤具有较好抵抗剪切破坏的能力和较大耕作阻力。上述研究结果可为不同地点紫色土坡耕地耕层土壤质量诊断、坡耕地合理耕层评价提供理论依据和数据支持。     

高寒草地甘肃臭草根系分形结构的坡向差异性

根系分形结构是植物根系构型应对环境异质性的表型可塑性结果, 可反映植物对生长环境的适应策略。利用ArcGIS建立研究区域的数字高程模型, 并提取坡向数据, 采用全根挖掘和Win-RHIZO根系分析仪相结合的方法, 研究了祁连山北坡高寒退化草地不同坡向甘肃臭草(Melica przewalskyi)的根系分形结构。结果表明: 随着坡向由北坡向东坡、西坡、南坡转变, 草地群落的密度、高度和土壤含水量逐渐减小, 甘肃臭草种群的密度、高度以及根系分形丰度呈逐渐增大的趋势、分形维数逐渐减小; 不同坡向甘肃臭草根系分形维数和分形丰度间的相关性存在差异(p < 0.05), 南坡和北坡甘肃臭草根系分形维数分形丰度之间存在极显著负相关关系(p < 0.01), 东坡和西坡之间存在显著负相关关系(p < 0.05), 甘肃臭草根系分形维数和分形丰度存在着“此消彼长”的权衡关系; 随着坡向由北坡向东坡、西坡、南坡转变, 甘肃臭草根系分形维数和分形丰度回归方程的标准化主轴(SMA)斜率逐渐增大(p < 0.05), 说明在干旱的南坡, 根系所开发利用的相同体积的土壤内, 根系分支更少、更稀疏。不同坡向甘肃臭草合理权衡根系分形维数和分形丰度的资源配置模式, 体现了植物根系构型构建的资源投资权衡机制。