A structured analysis of risk to important wildlife elements in three Australian Wildlife Conservancy sanctuaries

Where data and information are lacking, structured expert risk assessments can provide a powerful tool to progress natural resource planning. In many situations, practitioners make informal assessments of risk within small groups that typically constitute employees. In this study, we report on three small (in terms of experts) structured expert‐based risk assessment case studies conducted by expert employees of a not‐for‐profit organisation (Australian Wildlife Conservancy) to demonstrate the utility of the approach. The case studies were carried out for three wildlife sanctuaries managed by AWC: Faure Island, Karakamia and Paruna. The likelihood that a set of direct risk factors would cause management failure for sets of important wildlife elements in the three sanctuaries was elicited from the small group of ecological experts. The analysis was couched in terms of a management aim to not lose species from each wildlife element over the management period of 25 years with current management. The experts believed, in particular, that increasing temperature and decreasing water availability associated with climate change were likely to impact significantly upon the vegetation elements and water‐reliant fauna associated with the sanctuaries. Some vegetation elements were also thought likely to be at risk of over‐grazing, unsuitable fire regimes and, in some cases, disease. In addition to predation by exotic predators at one sanctuary, the experts identified additional direct risk factors for various fauna elements associated with expected changes to the vegetation elements, including reduction in food availability, nesting habitat, and generally important life media. From the risk analyses, a preliminary conceptual model was developed to underpin monitoring and to indicate areas for possible management intervention and research. The case studies demonstrate that even in a small workplace team, structured risk assessments can be efficiently accomplished and can provide expedient and transparent information that effectively captures and aggregates the views of the experts.     

长白山不同演替阶段针阔混交林群落物种多度分布格局

为解释长白山温带森林群落构建和物种多度格局的形成过程, 该文以不同演替阶段的针阔混交林监测样地数据为基础, 采用中性理论模型、生物统计模型(对数正态分布模型)和生态位模型(Zifp模型、分割线段模型、生态位优先模型)拟合森林群落物种多度分布, 并用χ ²检验、Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S)检验和赤池信息准则(AIC)选择最佳拟合模型。结果显示: 中性模型能很好地预测长白山温带森林不同演替阶段植物群落的物种多度分布。在10 m × 10 m尺度上, 5种模型均可被χ ²检验和K-S检验接受, 但中性模型拟合效果不如对数正态分布模型、Zifp模型、分割线段模型和生态位优先模型, 表明小尺度上中性过程和生态位过程均能解释群落物种多度分布, 但生态位过程的解释能力相对较大。而在中大尺度上(30 m × 30 m、60 m × 60 m和90 m × 90 m), 中性模型为最优拟合模型, 并且随着研究尺度增加, 生态位模型和生物统计模型逐渐被χ ²检验拒绝, 表明中性过程在长白山针阔混交林群落物种多度分布格局形成中的作用随着研究尺度增加而逐渐增大。该文证实了中性过程在长白山温带针阔混交林群落结构形成中具有重要作用, 但未否认生态位机制在群落构建中的贡献。因此, 温带森林群落构建过程中中性理论和生态位理论并非相互矛盾, 而是相互融合的。在研究森林群落物种多度分布时, 应重视取样尺度和演替阶段的影响, 并采用多种模型进行拟合。     

Evidence for diet partitioning among three coexisting native freshwater fishes in South Africa's Cape Fold Ecoregion

The partitioning of limited resources commonly explains how different species can coexist within the same ecological community. In this 2010 study, the diets of three coexisting freshwater fishes (Cape galaxias Galaxias zebratus, n = 27; Cape kurper Sandelia capensis, n = 60; Breede River redfin Pseudobarbus burchelli, n = 77) were characterised and compared in three headwater streams in South Africa's Cape Fold Ecoregion using gut contents and stable isotope analyses. These data were analysed to ascertain whether the three species exploit distinct trophic niches. Both approaches provided evidence that these species occupy different trophic niches, though with some overlap. However, dietary differences among sites were not consistent and were probably influenced by site-specific factors like resource availability. Pseudobarbus burchelli had a broader niche breadth at Tierkloof Stream than the other two species, but not at Waaihoek or Tierstel Streams. Our results also suggest that P. burchelli consumed a more omnivorous diet than do the other two species, whereas S. capensis occupied a higher trophic position than the other two species and consumed vertebrates. Our findings suggest that these species occupy non-equivalent feeding niches in Cape Fold Ecoregion headwater streams, and that diet partitioning might facilitate their coexistence in these systems.     

EVOLUTIONARILY STABLE SIZE OF A MEGAGAMETOPHYTE: EVOLUTION OF TINY MEGAGAMETOPHYTES OF ANGIOSPERMS FROM LARGE ONES OF GYMNOSPERMS

To examine the factors favoring large megagametophytes of gymnosperms and tiny ones of angiosperms, a game model for seed production was developed in which megagametophytes growing in the same female parent compete for resources provided by the parent. In the model, megagametophytes may continue to grow until seed completion or may cease to grow at a certain time and regrow at pollination or fertilization. Autonomous abortion of unpollinated or unfertilized megagametophytes may occur either at pollination or fertilization. Those megagametophytes absorb a certain amount of resources before abortion, due to constraints in the signal process, in addition to the resources absorbed before pollination or fertilization. It was found that both growth habits can be the ESS: megagametophytes continue to grow without cessation and monopolize resources, such as gymnosperms, or cease to grow until fertilization to reduce the loss of resources due to autonomous abortion, such as angiosperms. The former and the latter are the ESS if the time interval between pollination and fertilization is long and short, respectively. Thus, the fertilization interval may be a critical factor selecting for large megagametophytes of gymnosperms or tiny ones of angiosperms.     

The design of a peptide sequence to inhibit HIV replication: a search algorithm combining Monte Carlo and self-consistent mean field techniques

We developed a search algorithm combining Monte Carlo (MC) and self-consistent mean field techniques to evolve a peptide sequence that has good binding capability to the anticodon stem and loop (ASL) of human lysine tRNA species, tRNA^Lys3, with the ultimate purpose of breaking the replication cycle of human immunodeficiency virus-1. The starting point is the 15-amino-acid sequence, RVTHHAFLGAHRTVG, found experimentally by Agris and co-workers to bind selectively to hypermodified tRNA^Lys3. The peptide backbone conformation is determined via atomistic simulation of the peptide-ASL^Lys3 complex and then held fixed throughout the search. The proportion of amino acids of various types (hydrophobic, polar, charged, etc.) is varied to mimic different peptide hydration properties. Three different sets of hydration properties were examined in the search algorithm to see how this affects evolution to the best-binding peptide sequences. Certain amino acids are commonly found at fixed sites for all three hydration states, some necessary for binding affinity and some necessary for binding specificity. Analysis of the binding structure and the various contributions to the binding energy shows that: 1) two hydrophilic residues (asparagine at site 11 and the cysteine at site 12) “recognize” the ASL^Lys3 due to the VDW energy, and thereby contribute to its binding specificity and 2) the positively charged arginines at sites 4 and 13 preferentially attract the negatively charged sugar rings and the phosphate linkages, and thereby contribute to the binding affinity.     

北方草原牧户心理载畜率与草畜平衡生态管理途径

探讨牧户心理载畜率与草畜平衡生态管理的途径对于草原有效减畜、遏止草原退化、实现可持续发展具有重要意义。从生态学和社会科学相结合的角度,采用问卷调查、情景实验及综合分析等多种方法,探讨了北方草原牧户心理载畜率的存在、计算和影响因素,以及牧户生产决策行为特征和可能的生态管理途径。研究发现,在草甸草原、典型草原和荒漠草原,牧户行为属"有限理性",是有限理性的"生态经济人",风险规避是其基本特征,牧户生产决策表现出禀赋效应、损失厌恶、框架效应等;牧户草场所属草原类型和牲畜存栏数显著影响牧户对草场超载的认知和判断,在不同草原类型区,户主文化水平、性别、民族和是否嘎查干部等亦显著影响牧户对超载的认知和判断;需采取基于进化博弈的分步式、合作式及示范引导式的适应性减畜的生态管理途径,以实现牧户心理载畜率向生态优化载畜率的转移,实现优化牧户生产方式、减少牲畜数量、治理草原退化、北方牧区生态和牧民经济双赢的目标。     

基于奥马哈理论的护理模式 对慢性阻塞性肺疾病患者肺功能及细菌感染率的影响

目的探讨基于奥马哈理论的护理模式对慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)患者肺功能、症状控制、细菌感染率及生活质量的影响。方法选取2018年1月至2019年1月我院收治的134例COPD患者,采用随机数字表法将研究对象分为观察组(n=69)与对照组(n=65),对两组患者住院期间肺功能、症状控制情况、细菌感染率、睡眠情况以及生活质量进行评估和分析。结果观察组患者肺功能情况优于入院时(P0.05)。两组患者泌尿系统感染发生率最高,其次为褥疮创面感染和口腔感染。观察组患者泌尿系感染的发生率低于对照组(P0.05)。两组患者干预后PSQI量表评分和CAT评分均低于入院前,且观察组患者总分低于对照组(均P0.05)。干预后观察组患者SF-36评分均高于对照组(均P0.05)。结论在基于奥马哈理论的护理模式下,COPD患者的肺功能得到加强,继发感染的发生减少,生活质量得到提高。     

生态群落物种共存的进化机制

本文概述了目前对生态群落的物种共存研究中存在的若干问题及动、植物群落物种共存机制的研究进展。植物群落的物种共存主要介绍与环境、种子再迁移、生态位分化、竞争平衡理论、种库假设、再生生态位等有关的几种假设、生态学上相似种的共存及“原”群落概念等。动物群落的物种共存机制主要从以下几方面叙述：（1）异质环境中的资源分割,主要指动物斑状滋养的不同利用;（2）避免竞争排斥的行为机制,如边缘效应、聚群效应、扩散行为、相互作用和干扰;（3）特化者和泛化者的共存,包括：竞争是物种向多功能进化的作用力、最佳觅食理论与生态学特化及特化概念的发展。最后指出进一步研究的方向。     

太白山针叶林的Fuzzy分类研究

应用模糊聚类分析法和模糊图论分析对太白山针叶林进行了数量分类比较研究。将２６个样地分为两大类共７个群落类型。研究结果表明,两种方法在植物群落分类研究中,不但是可行的,而且所分类的实际结果是等价的,与实际观测情况也是吻合的。其中的图论法直接依据模糊相似系数得到树状图,简便易行,显示出更大的适用性。