Uncertainty Analysis in Life Cycle Assessment (LCA): Case Study on Plant-Protection Products and Implications for Decision Making (9 pp + 3 pp)

Goal, Scope, and Background Uncertainty analysis in LCA is important for sound decision support. Nevertheless, the actual influence of uncertainty on decision making in specific LCA case-studies has only been little studied so far. Therefore, we assessed the uncertainty in an LCA comparing two plant-protection products.Methods Uncertainty and variability in LCI flows and characterization factors (CML-baseline method) were expressed as generic uncertainty factors and subsequently propagated into impact scores using Monte-Carlo simulation. Uncertainty in assumptions on production efficiency for chemicals, which is of specific interest for the case study, was depicted by scenarios. Results and Discussion Impact scores concerning acidification, eutrophication, and global warming display relatively small dispersions. Differences in median impact scores of a factor of 1.6 were sufficient in the case study for a significant distinction of the products. Results of toxicity impact-categories show large dispersions due to uncertainty in characterization factors and in the composition of sum parameters. Therefore, none of the two products was found to be significantly environmentally preferable to the other. Considering the case study results and inherent characteristics of the impact categories, a tentative rule of thumb is put forward that quantifies differences in impact scores necessary to obtain significant results in product comparisons.Conclusion Published LCA case-studies may have overestimated the significance of results. It is therefore advisable to routinely carry out quantitative uncertainty analyses in LCA. If this is not feasible, for example due to time restrictions, the rule of thumb proposed here may be helpful to evaluate the significance of results for the impact categories of global warming, acidification, eutrophication, and photooxidant creation.     

Agricultural sustainability: concepts, principles and evidence

Concerns about sustainability in agricultural systems centre on the need to develop technologies and practices that do not have adverse effects on environmental goods and services, are accessible to and effective for farmers, and lead to improvements in food productivity. Despite great progress in agricultural productivity in the past half-century, with crop and livestock productivity strongly driven by increased use of fertilizers, irrigation water, agricultural machinery, pesticides and land, it would be over-optimistic to assume that these relationships will remain linear in the future. New approaches are needed that will integrate biological and ecological processes into food production, minimize the use of those non-renewable inputs that cause harm to the environment or to the health of farmers and consumers, make productive use of the knowledge and skills of farmers, so substituting human capital for costly external inputs, and make productive use of people's collective capacities to work together to solve common agricultural and natural resource problems, such as for pest, watershed, irrigation, forest and credit management. These principles help to build important capital assets for agricultural systems: natural; social; human; physical; and financial capital. Improving natural capital is a central aim, and dividends can come from making the best use of the genotypes of crops and animals and the ecological conditions under which they are grown or raised. Agricultural sustainability suggests a focus on both genotype improvements through the full range of modern biological approaches and improved understanding of the benefits of ecological and agronomic management, manipulation and redesign. The ecological management of agroecosystems that addresses energy flows, nutrient cycling, population-regulating mechanisms and system resilience can lead to the redesign of agriculture at a landscape scale. Sustainable agriculture outcomes can be positive for food productivity, reduced pesticide use and carbon balances. Significant challenges, however, remain to develop national and international policies to support the wider emergence of more sustainable forms of agricultural production across both industrialized and developing countries.     

Risk Assessment for Dermal Exposure of Organochlorine Pesticides for Local Fishermen in the Rangsit Agricultural Area,Central Thailand

Organochlorine pesticides (OCPs) used in agriculture and for public health purposes were banned in Thailand over the past decade; however, their persistent residues have been found in several agricultural areas of the country. This may result in adverse effects to human populations. This study investigated the concentration of organochlorine pesticides residues (OCPRs) in surface water and evaluated the potential cancer risk associated with dermal contact of the local fisherman fishing in the Khlong 7 canal, Rangsit agricultural area, central Thailand. Water samples were extracted using liquid-liquid extraction (LLE) and then analyzed by gas chromatography with microelectron capture detector (μ -ECD). The results show that low concentrations of OCPRs were detected in parts per billion (ppb or ng/ml) levels, that is, ∑ Endosulfan (α -, β -, and -sulfate) 0.082 ng/ml > DDT and derivatives 0.019 ng/ml > ∑ HCH (α -, γ -, β -, and δ -HCH) 0.014 ng/ml > aldrin and dieldrin 0.007 ng/ml > heptachlor and heptachlor epoxide 0.0068 ng/ml > endrin and endrin aldehyde 0.005 ng/ml > methoxychlor 0.001 ng/ml, respectively. Using the worst-case scenario defined as the reasonable maximum exposure (RME) to assess the potential cancer risk, five OCPs (dieldrin, 4,4′ -DDT, β -HCH, heptachlor, and heptachlor epoxide) may pose a risk of concern on a lifetime human carcinogenesis greater than one in a million.     

Generation of a mutagenized organophosphorus hydrolase for the biodegradation of the organophosphate pesticides malathion and demeton‐S

Aims: The bacterial organophosphorus hydrolase (OPH) enzyme hydrolyses and detoxifies a broad range of toxic organophosphate pesticides and warfare nerve agents by cleaving the various phosphorus‐ester bonds (P–O, P–F, P–CN, P–S); however, OPH hydrolyses these bonds with varying efficiencies. The aim of this study was to generate a variant OPH enzyme with improved hydrolytic efficiency against the poorly hydrolysed P–S class of organophosphates. Methods and Results: The gene encoding OPH was sequentially mutated at specific codons by saturation mutagenesis and screened for improved activity against the P–S substrates demeton‐S methyl and malathion. Escherichia coli lysates harbouring the variants displayed up to 177‐ and 1800‐fold improvement in specific activity against demeton‐S methyl and malathion, respectively, compared to the wild‐type lysates. The specificity constants of the purified variant proteins were improved up to 25‐fold for demeton‐S methyl and malathion compared to the wild‐type. Activity was associated with organophosphate detoxification as the hydrolysed substrate lost the ability to inhibit acetylcholinesterase. The improved hydrolytic efficiency against demeton‐S translated to the improved ability to hydrolyse the warfare agent VX. Conclusions: OPH variant enzymes were generated that displayed significantly improved ability to hydrolyse and detoxify organophosphates harbouring the P–S bond. Significance and Impact of the Study: The long‐term goal is to generate an environmentally‐friendly enzyme‐mediated bioremediation approach for the removal of toxic organophosphate compounds in the environment.     

Toxicity of A Novel Neonicotinoid Insecticide Paichongding to Earthworm Eisenia fetida

Traditional neonicotinoid insecticides are used worldwide. Paichongding (IPP), as a novel neonicotinoid pesticide, has been widely used in China. However, the ecotoxicity of IPP to non-target invertebrates in soil ecosystem has not been reported yet. In this study, acute toxicity of IPP to earthworm Eisenia fetida, as well as the antioxidant response after IPP exposure, was evaluated. In the filter paper contact test, the LC₅₀ at 24 hr and 48 hr for IPP were 14.98 μg/cm² and 7.59 μg/cm², respectively. In artificial soil test, the LC₅₀ (lethal concentration) at 14 days and 28 days for IPP were 541.07 mg/kg and 238.51 mg/kg, respectively. The LC₅₀ of IPP is much higher than that of traditional neonicotinoid insecticides. However, earthworm body weight assessment demonstrated that the growth of earthworm was inhibited by extended exposure to IPP at sublethal doses. The activities of antioxidative enzymes superoxide dismutase and catalase in earthworms were significantly induced after IPP exposure. Malondialdehyde, a biomarker of lipid peroxidation, was also increased after IPP exposure. Although the results indicated that IPP had potentially adverse effect on earthworms, its toxicity was much lower than traditional neonicotinoids.     

The contribution of intra‐ and interspecific tolerance variability to biodiversity changes along toxicity gradients

The worldwide distribution of toxicants is an important yet understudied driver of biodiversity, and the mechanisms relating toxicity to diversity have not been adequately explored. Here, we present a community model integrating demography, dispersal and toxicant‐induced effects on reproduction driven by intraspecific and interspecific variability in toxicity tolerance. We compare model predictions to 458 species abundance distributions (SADs) observed along concentration gradients of toxicants to show that the best predictions occur when intraspecific variability is five and ten times higher than interspecific variability. At high concentrations, lower settings of intraspecific variability resulted in predictions of community extinction that were not supported by the observed SADs. Subtle but significant species losses at low concentrations were predicted only when intraspecific variability dominated over interspecific variability. Our results propose intraspecific variability as a key driver for biodiversity sustenance in ecosystems challenged by environmental change.     

Analysis of Pesticides in Soil Using Dispersive Solid Phase Extraction Coupled to GC-MS

A multi-residue method using dispersive solid phase extraction and gas chromatography with mass spectrometric detection has been developed for determination of trace levels of 103 pesticides, including organophosphate, organochlorine, carbamate, and pyrethroid compounds in agricultural soil. Dispersive solid phase extraction using 10 mL of acetonitrile for 3 min of extraction time showed satisfactory extraction efficiency. Recoveries of pesticides from fortified agricultural soil samples ranged from 65% to 117% for three different fortified levels of 50, 100, and 500 μg/kg and relative standard deviations of the recoveries are below 19%. Detection and quantification limits ranged from 1 to 13 μg/kg and from 3 to 38 μg/kg, respectively. The proposed method was less time-consuming, safer, and easy to use for routine analysis.     

DDT and HCH (Organochlorine Pesticides) in Residential Soils and Health Assessment for Human Populations in Korba,India

Dichlorodiphenyltrichloroethane (DDT), hexachlorocyclohexane (HCH), and their isomers’ levels in residential soils were determined for the assessment of health risk in Korba, India. Observed concentrations of total HCH and total DDT in soils were more or less comparable with other parts of India and the world. ΣHCH and ΣDDT concentrations ranged between 0.9–20 μg kg^?1 and 2–315 μg kg^?1, respectively, which were lower than recommended soil quality guidelines indicating low ecotoxicological risk. Carcinogenic and non-carcinogenic impacts of HCH and DDT on human populations through soil ingestion were evaluated and presented. The incremental lifetime cancer risk (ILCR) for adults and children ranged between 7.8 × 10^?10–1.6 × 10^?7 and 4.1 × 10^?9–8.2 × 10^?7, respectively. Non-cancer health hazard quotient (HQ) ranged between 5.9 × 10^?7–1.8 × 10^?3 and 3.1 × 10^?6–9.4 × 10^?3, respectively, for adults and children. The estimated ILCR and HQ were within the safe acceptable limits of 10^?6–10^?4 and ≤1.0, respectively, indicating low risk to human populations from exposure to organochlorine pesticides (HCH and DDT) in the study area.     

Integrated Field Lysimetry and Porewater Sampling for Evaluation of Chemical Mobility in Soils and Established Vegetation

Potentially toxic chemicals are routinely applied to land to meet growing demands on waste management and food production, but the fate of these chemicals is often not well understood. Here we demonstrate an integrated field lysimetry and porewater sampling method for evaluating the mobility of chemicals applied to soils and established vegetation. Lysimeters, open columns made of metal or plastic, are driven into bareground or vegetated soils. Porewater samplers, which are commercially available and use vacuum to collect percolating soil water, are installed at predetermined depths within the lysimeters. At prearranged times following chemical application to experimental plots, porewater is collected, and lysimeters, containing soil and vegetation, are exhumed. By analyzing chemical concentrations in the lysimeter soil, vegetation, and porewater, downward leaching rates, soil retention capacities, and plant uptake for the chemical of interest may be quantified. Because field lysimetry and porewater sampling are conducted under natural environmental conditions and with minimal soil disturbance, derived results project real-case scenarios and provide valuable information for chemical management. As chemicals are increasingly applied to land worldwide, the described techniques may be utilized to determine whether applied chemicals pose adverse effects to human health or the environment.     

Evaluation of the Effect of Surfactants on the Movement of Pesticides in Soils Using a Soil Thin-Layer Chromatography Technique

In this study, the effect of concentration (1/2 CMC, at CMC and 2 x CMC) of surfactants, cetyl trimethyl ammonium bromide (cationic), sodium dodecyl sulfate (anionic), and tween ‘20’ (non-ionic) on the movement of carbofuran, chlorpyrifos and en-dosulfan in soils was evaluated by using a soil thin-layer chromatographic technique. The movement of pesticides was detected by spray reagents and expressed in terms of Rf values. The penetrability K was found to increase by decreasing the plate angle and followed the order as: sandy loam > loam > silt loam soils. The penetrability K also decreases in surfactant-free and surfactant-amended soils when developed in distilled water and aqueous surfactant solutions of different CMCs, respectively. The higher movement of pesticides was observed in sandy loam soil followed by loam and silt loam soils. On the basis of Rf values, the movement of pesticides follows the order as: carbofuran > chlorpyrifos > endosulfan, both in surfactant-amended and surfactant-free soils when developed in distilled water and aqueous surfactant solutions of different CMCs. The movement is directly proportional to the aqueous solubilities, polarities, and carbon numbers and inversely related to the molecular weights of pesticides. A significant increase or decrease of pesticides movement in soils was discussed on the basis of adsorption of pesticides on soils, chemical nature of the surfactants, and its concentrations in terms of critical micelle concentrations (CMCs) in soils and eluents. Results obtained may provide insights pertaining to the use of surfactants for solving soil pollution problems posed by pesticides.