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241.
Brian J. Halstead Glenn D. Wylie Peter S. Coates Michael L. Casazza 《The Journal of wildlife management》2011,75(2):450-457
Transparency in resource management decisions requires a proper accounting of uncertainty at multiple stages of the decision-making process. As information becomes available, periodic review and updating of resource management protocols reduces uncertainty and improves management decisions. One of the most basic steps to mitigating anthropogenic effects on populations is determining if a population of a species occurs in an area that will be affected by human activity. Species are rarely detected with certainty, however, and falsely declaring a species absent can cause improper conservation decisions or even extirpation of populations. We propose a method to design survey protocols for imperfectly detected species that accounts for multiple sources of uncertainty in the detection process, is capable of quantitatively incorporating expert opinion into the decision-making process, allows periodic updates to the protocol, and permits resource managers to weigh the severity of consequences if the species is falsely declared absent. We developed our method using the giant gartersnake (Thamnophis gigas), a threatened species precinctive to the Central Valley of California, as a case study. Survey date was negatively related to the probability of detecting the giant gartersnake, and water temperature was positively related to the probability of detecting the giant gartersnake at a sampled location. Reporting sampling effort, timing and duration of surveys, and water temperatures would allow resource managers to evaluate the probability that the giant gartersnake occurs at sampled sites where it is not detected. This information would also allow periodic updates and quantitative evaluation of changes to the giant gartersnake survey protocol. Because it naturally allows multiple sources of information and is predicated upon the idea of updating information, Bayesian analysis is well-suited to solving the problem of developing efficient sampling protocols for species of conservation concern. © 2011 The Wildlife Society. 相似文献
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Pepe O Blaiotta G Anastasio M Moschetti G Ercolini D Villani F 《Systematic and applied microbiology》2004,27(4):443-453
Thirty Lactobacillus (L.) plantarum strains, isolated from sourdough, were identified by biochemical tests as well as 16S rDNA sequencing and differentiated on the basis of technological properties, such as amylase, protease, phytase and antirope activities. These properties were shown to be widely differing among the strains, indicating a significant technological diversity. Genetic differentiation was achieved by restriction endonuclease analysis-pulsed field gel electrophoresis (REA-PFGE) that allowed the L. plantarum strains to be divided into 10 different genomic groups. Moreover, 32 different starters were employed in dough making experiments; each starter consisted of a single strain of L. plantarum associated with a maltose positive or a maltose negative yeast. The technological properties of the doughs were greatly influenced by the type of strain included in the starter. The time of leavening and the acidification activities detected in the dough were enhanced by the presence of L. plantarum strains. The bacterial and yeast contents and fermentation properties were statistically treated by principal component analysis (PCA), which allowed the discrimination of different typologies of dough. The study of the peculiar characteristics of different strains of L. plantarum is fundamental for a better understanding of their potential in affecting the nutritional value, quality and stability of the baked goods. L. plantarum strains are able to differentially influence the dough quality when employed as starters. 相似文献
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目的 比较济宁市各级各类医疗机构的医疗服务、质量、效率、费用等关键要素变化,为完善“先看病后付费”诊疗服务模式提供参考依据。方法 选取济宁市266家各级各类医疗机构为调查对象,采用自行设计的“济宁市‘先看病后付费’工作推广效果评估调查表”进行问卷调查,同时分层抽样15家医院进行现场访谈。结果 济宁市享受“先看病后付费”住院患者惠及率达到59.45%,年增加37.29%;全市各级各类医疗机构全面实施了此项制度,二级及以下医疗机构惠及率高于三级医疗机构,分别达到77.18%、63.71%。结论 “先看病后付费”服务模式改革,满足了群众医疗需求,医保(新农合)住院患者总费用得到合理控制,患者自付就医经济负担进一步减轻。为规避风险,提出解决垫付资金和恶意欠费问题解决方案。 相似文献
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调查并分析某医科大学9所附属医院职能部门工作人员对管理人员职业化的认知和培训需求。方法 采用整群抽样法,向9所附属医院的职能部门工作人员发放调查问卷,调查内容包括个人基本情况、工作情况、培训情况等五部分内容,共发放799份问卷,回收799份问卷,回收率100%。结果 9所附属医院职能部门工作人员中,有78.7%对未来职业发展有信心,21.0%认为目前的医院管理职业化建设不完善,57.5%认为医院中高层管理者应该来源于卫生管理专业人员,59.4%认为培训次数不够,60.4%认为迫切需要进行管理知识培训。结论 大多数医院管理人员对未来职业化发展有信心,但是目前医院管理知识培训存在不足,建议大学与附属医院合作开展系统的个性化的医院管理知识培训,提高医院管理水平,促进管理队伍职业化发展。 相似文献
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