一类竞争扩散方程组在Neumann边条件下解的渐近行为

本文主要采用比较方法讨论了一类竞争扩散方程组在Neumann边条件下解的渐近行为,得到了解的稳定性区域．     

Noncancer Risk Assessment: A Probabilistic Alternative to Current Practice

Based on imperfect data and theory, agencies such as the United States Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) currently derive “reference doses” (RfDs) to guide risk managers charged with ensuring that human exposures to chemicals are below population thresholds. The RfD for a chemical is typically reported as a single number, even though it is widely acknowledged that there are significant uncertainties inherent in the derivation of this number.

In this article, the authors propose a probabilistic alternative to the EPA's method that expresses the human population threshold as a probability distribution of values (rather than a single RfD value), taking into account the major sources of scientific uncertainty in such estimates. The approach is illustrated using much of the same data that USEPA uses to justify their current RfD procedure.

Like the EPA's approach, our approach recognizes the four key extrapolations that are necessary to define the human population threshold based on animal data: animal to human, human heterogeneity, LOAEL to NOAEL, and subchronic to chronic. Rather than using available data to define point estimates of “uncertainty factors” for these extrapolations, the proposed approach uses available data to define a probability distribution of adjustment factors. These initial characterizations of uncertainty can then be refined when more robust or specific data become available for a particular chemical or class of chemicals.

Quantitative characterization of uncertainty in noncancer risk assessment will be useful to risk managers who face complex trade-offs between control costs and protection of public health. The new approach can help decision-makers understand how much extra control cost must be expended to achieve a specified increase in confidence that the human population threshold is not being exceeded.     

An evaluation of strategic and threshold control measures against the Karoo paralysis tick,Ixodes rubicundus (Acari: Ixodidae) in South Africa

Paralysis caused by feeding female Ixodes rubicundus ticks is a major problem in large areas of South Africa. As the life cycle of the tick extends over a period of 2 years, it was hypothesized that strategic treatment of sheep with an acaricide over a 2 year period, timed to kill most engorging females, should markedly lower the biotic potential of the tick. Two flocks of sheep grazing in separate paddocks known to be infested with I. rubicundus were treated either strategically or on a threshold basis (i.e. only when tick challenge exceeded a predetermined critical level in terms of paralysis) for a 2 year period. The tick burdens of untreated control sheep running with the two flocks were monitored over a 4 year period and their seasonal dynamics determined. The times at which peak infestations occurred were similar for both flocks of sheep, but significant differences in mean tick burdens between the two flocks were recorded. Tick numbers on sheep in the strategically treated flock did not decrease during the third and fourth years of the trial as was expected. Possible reasons for this were low stocking densities, especially during times of peak abundance of adults and the presence of wild hosts which maintained tick populations.     

An examination of the thresholds of enrichment: a resource-based growth model

A model of single-species growth in the chemostat on two non-reproducing, growth-limiting, noninhibitory, perfectly substitutable resources is considered. The medium in the growth vessel is enriched by increasing the input concentration of one of the resources. Analytical methods are used to determine the effects of enrichment on the asymptotic behaviour of the model for different dilution rates. It is shown that there exists a threshold value for the dilution rate which depends on the maximal growth rate of the species on each of the resources. Provided the dilution rate is below the threshold, enrichment is beneficial in the sense that the carrying capacity of the environment is increased, regardless of which resource is used to enrich the environment. When the dilution rate is increased beyond the threshold, it becomes important to consider which resource is used for enrichment. For one of the resources it is shown that, while moderate enrichment can be beneficial, sufficient enrichment leads to the extinction of the microbial population. For the other resource, enrichment leads from washout or initial condition dependent outcomes to survival, and is thus beneficial. There are important implications of these results to the management of natural aquatic ecosystems. For example, while enrichment may be beneficial to the microbial species during the summer months, it can lead to their decimation during spring run-off, when the natural dilution rate is higher.Research partially supported by an Ontario Graduate Scholarship. This author's contribution was motivated by results in her Ph.D. thesis at McMaster UniversityResearch supported by the National Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada.     

孤峰组最底部的牙形刺动物群

在孤峰组底部发现了包括Ｍｅｓｏｇｏｎｄｏｌｅｌｌａ ｎａｎｋｉｎｇｅｎｓｉｓ在内的牙形刺动物群。Ｇｏｎｄｏｌｅｌｌａ ｓｅｒｒａｔａ Ｃｌａｒｋ ｅｔ Ｅｔｈｉｎｇｔｏｎ,１９６２是Ｍｅｓｏｇｏｎｄｏｌｅｌｌａ ｎａｎｋｉｎｇｅｎｓｉｓ（Ｊｉｎ,１９６０）的同义名,Ｍｅｓｏｇｏｎｄｏｌｅｌｌａ ｎａｎｋｉｎｇｅｎｓｉｓ已被北美学者推荐为瓜达洛坪统底界的标志化石。因Ｍｅｓｏｇｏｎｄｏｌｅｌｌａ ｎａ     

心肺压力感受器持续卸荷对前臂血流、血管阻力及心率变异性谱的影响

低压值下体负压（ＬＢＮＰ）可仅使心肺压力感受器卸荷。采用－２ｋＰａＬＢＮＰ实验结果表明：ＬＢＮＰ既不引起动脉血压变化,也不引起心率改变,但却引起基础胸阻抗（Ｚ。）从对照的２１．８±０．４升高到２２．５±０．５Ω（Ｐ＜０．０１）,前臂血管阻力（ＦＶＲ）从１２．３±０．９升高到１９．９±１．４Ｕ（Ｐ＜０．０１）,前臂血流（ＦＢＦ）从对照时７．１±０．５降低到４．３±０．３ｍｌ·ｍｉｎ￣（－１）·１００ｍｌ￣（－１）,心率变异性谱（ＨＲＶ）未发生任何变化,即心肺压力感受器卸荷时心脏自主神经活动水平与均衡性不受影响。由于ＦＶＲ和ＦＢＦ的变化可间接反映外周血管交感传出活动水平,上述实验结果提示,心肺压力感受器对外周血管及心脏自主神经活动的调节可能存在机能分化现象。     

损毁和刺激垂体对大鼠痛阈的影响

采用局限性损毁和刺激垂体的方法,以行为测痛为指标,观察大鼠垂体在痛觉调节中的作用以及地塞米松（Ｄｅｘ）对其影响。实验结果显示,损毁垂体中间叶（ＩＬ）及邻近的前叶（ＡＬ）,大鼠痛阈明显低于手术前的痛阈（Ｐ＜０．０１）。电刺激垂体的上述同样部位,大鼠痛阈明显高于手术基础值及自身假刺激值（Ｐ＜０．００１）。经Ｄｅｘ处理的动物,电刺激垂体不再引起痛阈升高。结果表明,大鼠垂体ＩＬ及靠近ＡＬ与痛调节有关,这种     

水稻食叶类害虫等量损害系统与复合防治指标

稻纵卷叶螟Cnaphalocrocis.medinalis Guenèe中华稻蝗Oxya chinensis(Thunberg)稻苞虫Parnara guttatus (Bremer et Grey)是江苏地区水稻的主要食叶类害虫,取食水稻叶片,导致光合叶面积减少.剪叶模拟试验表明,水稻不同生育阶段叶面积损失率与产量损失率呈线性相关.其回归方程分蘖期、孕穗期、腊熟期分别为 D(I_t)=72.50759I_t^1.15906、D(I_t)=141.61737I_t^1.08002、D(I_t)=25.12434I_t^1.00569.在叶面积损失率相同的情况下,产量损失率孕穗期>分蘖期>腊熟期.试验通过三种害虫的各龄取食量,不同生育阶段水稻叶面积及为害与损失率之间的关系,建立了不同生育阶段的经济允许损害水平(EIL_t).并根据各种害虫的相对潜在取食量,计算了校正等量损害系数,为制订复合防治指标提供了依据.实践证明:以等量损害为单位的复合防治指标有较大的实用价值,生态效益、经济效益、社会效益明显.     

Response of cabbage head weight to simulated Lepidoptera defoliation

Studies were conducted to determine the effects of continuous constant amounts of artificial defoliation through the preheading and heading growth stages on head weight of cabbage. High levels of continuous artificial defoliation caused a reduction in head weight in all three years of the study, but the highest yield was always attained at some low level of preheading or heading defoliation. These results demonstrate that cabbage is tolerant to some levels of continuous defoliation before and after head formation. Results from this study are incorporated into a cost-benefit analysis to estimate an economic threshold.

---

Résumé L'étude a porté sur le poids des pommes de choux (Brassica oleracea) soumis à différentes intensités de défoliations répétées avant et pendant la formation des pommes. Pendant les trois années de l'étude, huit intensités de défoliation continue ont réduit le poids des pommes, mais le poids le plus élevé a toujours été obtenu avec une faible défoliation avant et pendant la formation des pommes. Ceci montre que le chou tolère une certaine défoliation avant et pendant la formation des pommes. Les résultats de cette étude ont été utilisés dans une analyse coût-bénéfice pour estimer le seuil économique de défoliation.