Modelling the distribution of Aspalathus linearis (Rooibos tea): implications of climate change for livelihoods dependent on both cultivation and harvesting from the wild

Aspalathus linearis (Burm. f.) R. Dahlgren (rooibos) is endemic to the Fynbos Biome of South Africa, which is an internationally recognized biodiversity hot spot. Rooibos is both an invaluable wild resource and commercially cultivated crop in suitable areas. Climate change predictions for the region indicate a significant warming scenario coupled with a decline in winter rainfall. First estimates of possible consequences for biodiversity point to species extinctions of 23% in the long term in the Fynbos Biome. Bioclimatic modelling using the maximum entropy method was used to develop an estimate of the realized niche of wild rooibos and the current geographic distribution of areas suitable for commercially production. The distribution modelling provided a good match to the known distribution and production area of A. linearis. An ensemble of global climate models that assume the A2 emissions scenario of high energy requirements was applied to develop possible scenarios of range/suitability shift under future climate conditions. When these were extrapolated to a future climate (2041–2070) both wild and cultivated tea exhibited substantial range contraction with some range shifts southeastwards and upslope. Most of the areas where range expansion was indicated are located in existing conservation areas or include conservation worthy vegetation. These findings will be critical in directing conservation efforts as well as developing strategies for farmers to cope with and adapt to climate change.     

α-2,6-Difluorophenyl-N-Tert-Butylnitrone: A Spin Trap for Distinguishing Different Types of Alkyl Radicals Based on Long-Range Fluorine Hyperfine Splitting

α-2.6-Difluorophenyl-N-tert-butylnitrone (F₂PBN) was synthesized and evaluated. A number of alkyl adducts of F₂PBN were studied by ESR/ENDOR. An additional hyperfine splitting (a triplet of doublets of doublets) is reported. The existence of two (one large, one small) F-hfsc's from the ortho-fluorine atoms in the phenyl ring of most alkyl adducts was confirmed by ENDOR spectroscopy.     

Stimulus-evoked slow potential shifts and changes in [K+]0 of the frog optic tectum

Summary In 17 frogs (Rana esculenta var ridibunda) immobilised with succinyl choline the optic tectal surface was stimulated by trains of electrical pulses or by a flash to the contralateral eye. Sustained potential shifts (SPSs) and changes in extracellular potassium concentration ( [K⁺]₀) were simultaneously recorded.In response to electrical stimulation SPSs of maximal amplitudes (1.19±0.1 mV) were recorded between 50 and 200 m in depth and maximal [K⁺]₀ (0.69 ±0.08 mM) between 100 and 350 m. The changes of SPS and [K⁺]₀ showed a close similarity in experiments with changes in voltage, pulse duration and frequency of stimuli within a train. The induced SPS had a duration of 28±1.54 s, the [K⁺]₀ of 32±1.23 s.The flash stimulus induced an SPS and [K⁺]₀ of maximal amplitudes between 50 and 200 m in depth with values of 0.57±0.1 mV and 0.29±0.03 mM respectively. An additional wave with a latency of ca 1 s and a duration of ca 3 s arose on the background of the SPS to a flash stimulus, associated with an additional increase in [K⁺]₀.It is considered that the accumulation of K⁺ in extra-cellular space, with neuronal activity, results in depolarization of radial processes of ependymal glia. This is reflected in the neuropil of the upper layers of the optic tectum as an SPS.We would like to dedicate this article to the memory of Alexander Roitbak who died as a result of a tragic accident while this paper was in press. He will be remembered fondly especially for his contributions to understanding of the functions of Neuroglia. E.V.O., P.R.L., T.A.R.     

Range-wide distribution of genetic diversity in the North American tree Juglans cinerea: a product of range shifts, not ecological marginality or recent population decline

The spatial distribution of genetic diversity is a product of recent and historical ecological processes, as well as anthropogenic activities. A current challenge in population and conservation genetics is to disentangle the relative effects of these processes, as a first step in predicting population response to future environmental change. In this investigation, we compare the influence of contemporary population decline, contemporary ecological marginality and postglacial range shifts. Using classical model comparison procedures and Bayesian methods, we have identified postglacial range shift as the clear determinant of genetic diversity, differentiation and bottlenecks in 29 populations of butternut, Juglans cinerea L., a North American outcrossing forest tree. Although butternut has experienced dramatic 20th century decline because of an introduced fungal pathogen, our analysis indicates that recent population decline has had less genetic impact than postglacial recolonization history. Location within the range edge vs. the range core also failed to account for the observed patterns of diversity and differentiation. Our results suggest that the genetic impact of large-scale recent population losses in forest trees should be considered in the light of Pleistocene-era large-scale range shifts that may have had long-term genetic consequences. The data also suggest that the population dynamics and life history of wind-pollinated forest trees may provide a buffer against steep population declines of short duration, a result having important implications for habitat management efforts, ex situ conservation sampling and population viability analysis.     

Evolution of the gall wasp-host plant association

Gall wasps, or cynipids, form the second largest radiation of galling insects with more than 1300 described species. According to current views, the first cynipids were phytophagous and developed in herb stems of the Asteraceae without modifying plant growth or development. The first galls were supposedly multichambered stem swellings, and subsequent trends involved increase in gall complexity and reduction in the number of larval chambers. Gall wasps also have many of the features believed to be characteristic for phytophagous insects radiating in parallel with their host plants. We tested these hypotheses by mapping characters onto a recent estimate of higher cynipid relationships from a morphology-based analysis of exemplar taxa, controlling for phylogenetic uncertainty using bootstrapping. Characters were also mapped onto a metatree including all gall wasps, assembled from phylogenetic analyses as well as recent classifications. The results contradict many of the current hypotheses. The first cynipids with extant descendants were not Asteraceae stem feeders but induced distinct single-chambered galls in reproductive organs of herbaceous Papaveraceae, or possibly Lamiaceae. There has been a general trend toward more complex galls but the herb-stem feeders evolved from ancestors inducing distinct galls and their larval chambers are best understood as cryptic galls. Woody hosts have been colonized only three times, making the apparently irreversible transition from herbs to woody hosts one of the most conservative features of the gall wasp-host plant association. The evolution of host plant preferences is characterized by colonization of preexisting host-plant lineages rather than by parallel cladogenesis. Cynipids are mono- or oligophagous and host-plant choice is strongly phylogenetically conserved. Yet, the few major host shifts have involved remarkably distantly related plants. Many shifts have been onto plant species already exploited by other gall wasps, suggesting that interspecific parasitism among cynipids facilitates colonization of novel host plants.     

Adaptive peak shifts in a heterogenous environment

The problem of moving from one coadapted gene complex to a better one can be divided into two steps: first the advantageous combination has to appear and then it has to take over the population. Selection can have contrasting effects on the two stages. When selection is weak intermediate forms are frequent, and the advantageous combination appears easily. Spreading of that advantageous combination, on the other hand, tends to be hard, as recombination acts to break it. The opposite is true when selection is strong. Spreading is easier, but if selection is also strong against the intermediate forms, the appearance of the beneficial combination becomes an extremely rare event.This inherent contrast in the optimal conditions for the two stages raises the possibility that proximity of areas differing in the intensity of selection may significantly shorten the expected waiting time for a peak shift. We studied this phenomenon in a haploid two-locus diallelic model of two neighboring subpopulations. Our results show that limited migration between the two areas might shorten the waiting time for a peak shift by orders of magnitude in comparison with either complete isolation or complete mixing. Implications for peripheral evolution and speciation are discussed.     

Unblocked statistical-coil tetrapeptides in aqueous solution: quantum-chemical computation of the carbon-13 NMR chemical shifts

We recently reported a theoretical characterization of representative ensembles of statistical-coil conformations for tetrapeptides with unblocked termini in aqueous solution, at pH 7. The results showed good agreement between the computed Boltzmann-averaged and experimentally-determined values for both the vicinal coupling constants ³J_NH and the -proton chemical shifts. Here, we carry out a cluster analysis of the ensembles of conformations generated in that study, and use them to compute the Boltzmann-averaged values of the quantum-chemical ¹³C chemical shifts for different amino acids in the unblocked tetrapeptides GGXA (where X stands for Phe, Arg, His, Glu, Ile, Lys, Gln, Tyr, Leu, Thr, Ala, Gly and Val). The values of the ¹³C chemical shifts in these thirteen amino acids (for which experimental data are available) were computed by using Density Functional Theory with a 6–311+G(2d,p) basis set. Good agreement is found in terms of both the correlation coefficient (R) and standard deviations of the difference between the computed Bolztmann-averaged and the NMR-determined values for the ¹³C chemical shifts. These results suggest that it may be possible to build a reliable theoretically-derived database of chemical shifts for statistical-coil residues. The results of the current study contribute to our understanding of the relations between chemical shifts, dihedral angles and vicinal coupling constants, ³J_NH. In addition, they can shed light as to how the statistical-coilconformation is related to the conformational preference of more structured states, such as the -helical conformation.