Models to predict lake annual mean total phosphorus

A lake is a product of processes in its watershed, and these relationships should be empirically quantifiable. Yet few studies have made that attempt. This study quantifies and ranks variables of significance to predict annual mean values of total phosphorus (TP) in small glacial lakes. Several new empirical models based on water chemistry variables, on map parameters of the lake and its catchment, and combinations of such variables are presented. Each variable provides only a limited (statistical) explanation of the variation in annual mean values of TP among lakes. The models are markedly improved by accounting for the distribution of the characteristics (e.g., the mires) in the watershed. The most important map parameters were the proportion of the watershed lying close to the lake covered by rocks and open land (as determined with the drainage area zonation method), relief of the drainage area, lake area and mean depth. These empirical models can be used to predict annual mean TP but only for lakes of the same type. The model based on map parameters (r ²=0.56) appears stable. The effects of other factors/variables not accounted for in the model (like redox-induced internal loading and anthropogenic sources) on the variation in annual mean TP may then be estimated quantitatively by residual analysis. A new mixed model (which combines a dynamic mass-balance approach with empirical knowledge) was also developed. The basic objective was to put the empirical results into a dynamic framework, thereby increasing predictive accuracy. Sensitivity tests of the mixed model indicate that it works as intended. However, comparisons against independent data for annual mean TP show that the predictive power of the mixed model is low, likely because crucial model variables, like sedimentation rate, runoff rate, diffusion rate and precipitation factor, cannot be accurately predicted. These model variables vary among lakes, but this mixed model, like most dynamic models, assumed that they are constants.     

The management of European estuaries: A comparison of the features,controls and management framework of the Tagus (Portugal) and Humber (England)

The paper describes the local, national, European and wider-area framework, statutes, and formal and voluntary mechanisms for managing European estuaries. These aspects are discussed in relation to two large and representative estuarine systems, the Tagus, Portugal, and the Humber, on the English North Sea coast As estuaries are sites of many activities and uses, most of which are encouraged or at least condoned, management has the role of preventing and resolving conflicts between those uses and users. Accepted uses of estuaries include the discharge and dumping of waste materials, fin and shell-fisheries, conservation, land reclamation, natural usage, abstraction by industry, and recreation. Estuarine management is now being carried out within the constraints of local and regional government planning, planning and activities of water pollution control bodies, fisheries control bodies, and navigation and port authorities The Tagus and Humber estuaries support all of the above activities and uses, and have controls within a European legislative framework but have differing histories of management and planning in order to resolve conflicts. In addition the Humber is subject to controls placed on North Sea areas. The paper discusses the relevant national and European legislation (Directives) and accepted practices for management. Furthermore, the paper discusses the formulation and practice of estuarine management plans as used by various bodies (nature conservation, water quality and regional authority). It is of particular note that the lessons from these two estuaries are relevant to many other European estuaries.     

水稻主要病虫综合防治专家系统—系统外壳的研制

按照国家八五项目要求,以水稻病虫害管理知识为背景,笔者构建了水稻主要病虫综防专家系统外壳（ESRIPM）．并初步建立了珠江三角洲稻区主要害虫综合防治专家系统,系统中提出一种知识的组织方法,成功地把模型引入专家系统中．本系统具有知识编辑、咨询、专家系统;系统维护、4个一级子系统,系统中已装入三化螟,稻飞虱,稻纵卷叶螟等害虫综防管理的知识,并通过调试．本系统采用下拉式菜单,人机界面友好,操作简单．此专家系统外壳也适用建立其它各种害虫管理的专家系统．     

植物定植图微机显示与管理系统

介绍了运用软件工程的方法和数据库技术研究开发的南京中山植物园植物定植图微机显示与管理系统。详细介绍了系统的目标,系统的实现,应用软件的研制及应用效果。     

深圳福田红树林鸟类自然保护区水禽生态环境的建设

论述了深圳福田红树林鸟类自然保护区水禽的种类、组成及其数量;水禽在保护区各地段的分布、繁殖规律、种类数量的变化及其变化原因;并阐明水禽生态环境建设的重要性及其建设措施。     

Use of paired plots and multivariate analysis for the determination of goat grazing preference

Abstract. Goat grazing is examined as a possible tool for grassland management. In this paper, goat grazing preferences are described. The proportion of biomass of particular species eaten by a goat was estimated on the basis of comparison of paired quadrats. The control quadrats were clipped before grazing and their biomass was compared with the biomass in grazed quadrats. Estimates of the proportion consumed were calculated for frequent species; they were significantly different among species; the most preferred species was Polygonum bistorta, a species with broad, soft, nutritious leaves. The least grazed species were Agrostis tenuis and Galium harcynicum. Various indices of food selectivity (e.g. forage ratio, electivity index) were calculated and their behaviour was compared. Canonical Correspondence Analysis and Redundancy Analysis with appropriate covariates reflecting the block design of the experiment were used to evaluate overall changes in species composition and yielded results similar to those from the direct estimation of the proportion consumed.     

Integrated planning and management of freshwater habitats,including wetlands

Freshwater habitats play a very important role in sustaining human activities. Natural functions of wetlands, and other freshwater habitats, generate a wide array of resources that directly or indirectly support the economic and social welfare of diverse groups of people. This role is being seriously weakened as a result of inappropriate planning and management approaches which fail to maintain the functional integrity of the freshwater ecosystems with the result that the flow and quality of resources is degraded. This paper illustrates some of the major functions of wetlands and presents a case for developing integrated planning and management practices that protect the health and productivity of freshwater wetlands and seek to optimise the sustainable use of the flows of resources they generate.     

Best Linear Unbiased Prediction (BLUP) for regional yield trials: a comparison to additive main effects and multiplicative interaction (AMMI) analysis

Multilocation trials are often used to analyse the adaptability of genotypes in different environments and to find for each environment the genotype that is best adapted; i.e. that is highest yielding in that environment. For this purpose, it is of interest to obtain a reliable estimate of the mean yield of a cultivar in a given environment. This article compares two different statistical estimation procedures for this task: the Additive Main Effects and Multiplicative Interaction (AMMI) analysis and Best Linear Unbiased Prediction (BLUP). A modification of a cross validation procedure commonly used with AMMI is suggested for trials that are laid out as a randomized complete block design. The use of these procedure is exemplified using five faba bean datasets from German registration trails. BLUP was found to outperform AMMI in four of five faba bean datasets.