Noncancer Risk Assessment: A Probabilistic Alternative to Current Practice

Based on imperfect data and theory, agencies such as the United States Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) currently derive “reference doses” (RfDs) to guide risk managers charged with ensuring that human exposures to chemicals are below population thresholds. The RfD for a chemical is typically reported as a single number, even though it is widely acknowledged that there are significant uncertainties inherent in the derivation of this number.

In this article, the authors propose a probabilistic alternative to the EPA's method that expresses the human population threshold as a probability distribution of values (rather than a single RfD value), taking into account the major sources of scientific uncertainty in such estimates. The approach is illustrated using much of the same data that USEPA uses to justify their current RfD procedure.

Like the EPA's approach, our approach recognizes the four key extrapolations that are necessary to define the human population threshold based on animal data: animal to human, human heterogeneity, LOAEL to NOAEL, and subchronic to chronic. Rather than using available data to define point estimates of “uncertainty factors” for these extrapolations, the proposed approach uses available data to define a probability distribution of adjustment factors. These initial characterizations of uncertainty can then be refined when more robust or specific data become available for a particular chemical or class of chemicals.

Quantitative characterization of uncertainty in noncancer risk assessment will be useful to risk managers who face complex trade-offs between control costs and protection of public health. The new approach can help decision-makers understand how much extra control cost must be expended to achieve a specified increase in confidence that the human population threshold is not being exceeded.     

Frequency-dependent interference by magnetic fields of nerve growth factor-induced neurite outgrowth in PC-12 cells

We have shown that 50 Hz sinusoidal magnetic fields within the 5-10 micro Tesla (μT) rms range cause an intensity-dependent reduction in nerve growth factor (NGF) stimulation of neurite outgrowth (NO) in PC-12 cells. Here we report on the frequency dependence of this response over the 15-70 Hz range at 5 Hz intervals. Primed PC-12 cells were plated in collagen-coated, 60 mm plastic petri dishes with or without 5 ng/ml NGF and were exposed to sinusoidal magnetic fields for 22 h in a CO₂ incubator at 37 °C. One 1,000-turn coil, 20 cm in diameter, generated vertically oriented magnetic fields. The dishes were stacked on the center axis of the coil to provide a range of intensities between 3.5 and 9.0 μT rms. The flux density of the ambient DC magnetic field was 37 μT vertical and 19 μT horizontal. The assay consisted of counting over 100 cells in the central portion (radius ≤0.3 cm) of each dish and scoring cells positive for NO. Sham exposure of cells treated identically with NGF demonstrated no difference in the percentage of cells with NO between exposed and magnetically shielded locations within the incubator. Analysis of variance demonstrated flux density-dependent reductions in NGF-stimulated NO over the 35-70 Hz frequency range, whereas frequencies between 15 Hz and 30 Hz produced no obvious reduction. The results also demonstrated a relative maximal sensitivity of cells at 40 Hz with a possible additional sensitivity region at or above 70 Hz. These findings suggest a biological influence of perpendicular AC/DC magnetic fields different from those identified by the ion parametric resonance model, which uses strictly parallel AC/DC fields. © 1995 Wiley-Liss, Inc.     

Experimental Oesophagostomum dentatum infection in the pig: Worm populations resulting from single infections with three doses of larvae

This report describes the effect of different dose levels of infection upon worm burdens and development and fecundity of the parasites. Three groups each of 40, 9-week-old, helminth naïve pigs were inoculated once with either 2000 (group A), 20,000 (group B), or 200,000 (group C) infective third stage larvae of Oesophagostomum dentatum. Subgroups of 5 pigs from each major group were killed 3, 6, 11, 14, 18, 25, 34 and 47 days post inoculation (p.i.) and the large intestinal worm burdens were determined. Faecal egg counts were determined at frequent intervals after day 13 p.i. There were no overt clinical signs of gastrointestinal helminthosis during the experiment. Faecal egg counts became positive in groups A and B at around day 19 p.i., whereas most pigs in the high dose group C did not have positive egg counts until day 27–33 p.i. and some pigs remained with zero egg counts until the end of the study. Throughout the experiment the worm populations in group C consisted mainly of immature larval stages, while those in groups A and B were predominantly adult stages after days 14–18. Adult worms from the low dose group A were significantly longer than those from group C. At high population densities, stunted development of worms and reduced fecundity among female worms were found. Furthermore, there was a tendency for the distribution of the worms within the intestine to be altered with increasing population size.     

Sensitivity of Escherichia coli acrA mutants to psoralen plus near-ultraviolet radiation

The sensitivity to psoralen plus near-ultraviolet radiation (PUVA) was compared in a pair of E. coli strains differing at the acrA locus. Survival was determined for both bacteria and phage lambda. AcrA mutant cells were 40 times more sensitive than wild type to the lethal effect of PUVA. Free lambda phage exposed to PUVA survived as well when plated on acrA mutants as on wild type. In contrast, prophage lambda CI857 ind carried in lysogenic acrA strains was hypersensitive to PUVA. The enhanced sensitivity of bacterial and lambda DNA, when inside acrA cells, was paralleled by an increased photobinding of radiolabelled psoralens in the mutant. Binding was increased specifically to DNA rather than to nucleic acids in general. The difference in psoralen-binding ability determined by the acrA gene persisted after permeabilizing treatment of the cells. The results suggest that the acrA mutation causes an alteration specifically in the environment of the cellular DNA so as to allow increased intercalation and photobinding of psoralens.     

The mutagenicity and DNA-damaging activity of cyclic aliphatic sulfuric acid esters.

The cyclic aliphatic sulfuric acid esters 1,2-ethylene sulfate (ESF), 1,3-propylene sulfate (PSF) and 1,3-butylene sulfate (BSF) have been tested for their mutagenic and DNA-damaging activity. Mutagenicity of the compounds was established with his-auxotrophic indicator strains of Salmonella typhimurium using the in vitro plate test and the host-mediated assay technique with mice as host animals. The DNA-damaging activity was tested in a repair test with Proteus mirabilis mutants defective in DNA repair.In the repair test with a set of P. mirabilis strains (PG713 hcr^?rec^?: PG273 hcr⁺rec⁺) PSF and BSF showed a preferential growth inhibition of the repair-defective strain suggesting DNA-damaging activity of these chemicals. No such activity was found for ESF using the same concentrations of 5 and 15 μmol/plate.All cyclic sulfates revert the tester strain TA1535 of S. typhimurium in vitro indicating their ability to induce base substitutions. Compared with the reference compounds dimethyl sulfate (DMS), diethyl sulfate (DES), 1,3-propane sulfone (PPS) and 1,4-butane sulfone (BTS) the mutagenic activity in the plate test can be described as follows: PPS > PSF > BSF > BTS > ESF > DES > DMS.Dose-response studies in the host-mediated assay with tester strain TA1950 of S. typhimurium as genetic indicator system revealed a linear dosedependency of mutagenic activity. For PPS and PSF the lowest effective dose (LED) has been established as 10 μmol/kg. The LED for BSF and BTS was 50 μmol/kg, DMS and DES were mutagenic in doses of 2500 μmol/kg, while ESF was only weakly mutagenic with a LED of 5000 μmol/kg.The dose-response studies in the host-mediated assay and the results obtained in the in vitro spot test demonstrate similarities in the mutagenic action of the cyclic sulfates PSF and BSF and the respective sulfones, while the stronger alkylating compound ESF was a weak mutagen both in vitro and in vivo.     

Estimating ecotoxicological risk and impact using indigenous aquatic microbial communities

Emphasis has increased on accuracy in predicting the effect that anthropogenic stress has on natural ecosystems. Although toxicity tests low in environmental realism, such as standardized single species procedures, have been useful in providing a certain degree of protection to human health and the environment, the accuracy of such tests for predicting the effects of anthropogenic activities on complex ecosystems is questionable. The use of indigenous communities of microorganisms to assess the hazard of toxicants in aquatic ecosystems has many advantages. Theoretical and practical aspects of microbial community tests are discussed, particularly in related to widely cited problems in the use of multispecies test systems for predicting hazard. Further standardization of testing protocols using microbial colonization dynamics is advocated on the basis of previous studies, which have shown these parameters to be useful in assessing risk and impact of hazardous substances in aquatic ecosystems.     

A Further Problem of Interval Estimation of an Unknown Regressor in Model I of Linear Regression

For the model y = α + βx + ? (model I) of linear regression we dealt with in KUHNERT and HORN (1980) the determination of a confidence interval for that x₀ where the expectation Ey reaches a given value y₀. Here we start with realizations of random variables y (i = 1,…, m) being independent of x which are given in addition to the realizations of-y. Now y₀ denotes the unknown value of \documentclass{article}\pagestyle{empty}\begin{document}$ \mathop \sum \limits_{i = 1}^m $\end{document} ciEy and x₀ the x-value where the expectation Ey reaches that value y₀. For this x₀ we give a confidence interval. Applications stem from dose response assays.     

Safety of ethanolic kava extract: Results of a study of chronic toxicity in rats

BACKGROUNDS: Recently, potential liver toxicity was discussed with the intake of kava extract preparations (Piper methysticum) as anxiolytic drugs. The aim of this study was to test chronic toxicity in rats by oral application of an ethanolic kava full extract. METHODS: Wistar rats of both sexes were fed 7.3 or 73 mg/kg body weight of ethanolic kava extract for 3 and 6 months. The animals were examined for changes in body weight, hematological and liver parameters, and macroscopical and microscopical histological changes in the major organs. RESULTS: No signs of toxicity could be found. CONCLUSIONS: The results are in accordance with the medical experience regarding the use of kava preparations and the long tradition of kava drinking in the South Pacific island states. Specifically, the results do not back the suspicion of potential liver toxicity.