Antennal and behavioural responses of Heortia vitessoides females to host plant volatiles of Aquilaria sinensis

This study investigated volatiles from Aquilaria sinensis (Lour.) Gilg (Thymelaeaceae) leaves that attracted Heortia vitessoides Moore (Lepidoptera: Crambidae). Volatiles from young and old A. sinensis leaves were identified and quantified by gas chromatography–mass spectrometry and gas chromatography‐electroantennogram detection. Both wind tunnel bioassays and field tests were conducted to measure the attraction of adults to synthetic blends of volatiles from leaves of different maturations. Consistent electroantennographic activity was obtained for nine and three compounds from headspace collections of young and old A. sinensis leaves, respectively. Qualitative and quantitative differences were found among two odour profiles. In wind tunnel experiments, the fresh young leaves proved to be more attractive to females than old leaves. A nine‐component mixture, including hexanal, limonene, 2‐hexanol, octanal, (Z)‐3‐hexenyl acetate, (Z)‐3‐hexen‐1‐ol, nonanal, decanal, and 2,6,10‐trimethyl‐dodecane (with a ratio of 2:16:9:4:63:100:13:10:5) from young leaves attracted moths significantly more than the three‐component mixture of nonanal, decanal, and 2,6,10‐trimethyl‐dodecane (with a ratio of 11:14:26) from old leaves. Further subtractive bioassays conducted in the wind tunnel showed that both the complete nine‐component mixture and a subtracted four‐component mixture of hexanal, (Z)‐3‐hexenyl acetate, nonanal, and decanal (with a ratio of 2:63:13:10) elicited equivalent responses in females. All components in the four‐component blend were essential for optimal attraction. In a field trial using the nine‐ and four‐component blends, more moths were captured using both blends than in traps baited with hexane only. Our study indicates that the odour blends of young leaves play an important role in H. vitessoides host plant recognition. The mechanisms behind host recognition and age‐dependent changes in leaf chemistry are discussed.     

UMPU and Alternative Tests for Association in 2 × 2 Tables

The use of the uniformly most powerful among the unbiased (UMPU) test was recently suggested for the study of gametic association between two polymorphic loci as an alternative to the Fisher's exact test (Zapata and Alvarez, 1997, Annals of Human Genetics 61, 71-77). However, the proposed test is not UMPU for two-sided alternatives. In this study, we present the UMPU test, discuss criticisms against the use of randomized tests, and compare the power of several tests. We show that, in many practical cases, the use of the UMPU test is less than desirable and propose the alternative adjusted-more extreme tables (A-MET) and the equal-tails (ET) tests. We suggest that some of the general arguments against the use of randomized tests can be alleviated by a newly proposed extended p-value definition.     

Alternatives to the Chi-Square Test of Homogeneity in 2×2 Tables and to Fisher's Exact Test

In comparing two independent binomial proportions by modified X² tests: Gart's modified likelihood-ratio, Overall and Starbuck's “tailored F”, Pearson's adjusted X²[=X² multiplied by (n - 1)/n] and its skewness-corrected version proposed by Berchtold, it was found that the last two have error probabilities that in the mean are close to the significance level.     

A remark on a paper by misra

MISRA (1978) sets confidence intervals for a double linear compound of multivariate normal regression coefficients by using ROY'S maximum root test criterion. The exact test statistic to be used is STUDENT'S t. The t statistic gives narrower confidence bounds than those given by ROY's maximum root statistic. A result given by MORRISON (1975, p. 18, equation 10) for profile analysis is also obtained by using the STUDENT'S t test.     

Further Results in Indices for Diagnostic Screening II

This article is in continuation of a previous one on properties of diagnostic indices (Bennett, 1976). Results are presented on biases in sample estimates of the sensitivity (ξ) and specificity (η) of a diagnostic test T for a disease, as well as their asymptotic variances. The problem of combining estimates of ξ, η from various clinical centres and obtaining appropriate confidence limits is also discussed. A numerical example is also given. (Tables 1a, b). The log-linear model for ξ, η is also discussed.     

Using distance matrices to choose between competing theories and an application to the origin of modern humans

This paper examines competing theories for cases in which both the data and the hypotheses can be represented as distance matrices. A test due to Dow & Cheverud has been used for such comparisons in anthropology, but when data are spatially, temporally, or phylogenetically autocorrelated, this test may be far too liberal. We examine a classification procedure based on ratios of probabilities obtained from Mantel tests of the competing hypotheses and find that design matrices describing only lag-one connections and those eliminating common connections of competing hypotheses are the most informative. We apply this method to simulated gene-frequency data in a 7×7 chessboard representing a stepping-stone model and discriminate between alternative theories with a 7% misclassification rate. We also apply these techniques to the current controversy concerning the origin of anatomically modern humans by testing design matrices representing regional continuity and single African origins. The outcome for lag-one matrices and those showing only unique lag-one differences indicate that the single African origin of anatomically modern humans fits the distance matrix based on 165 characters of 83 fossil crania better than the competing theory. However, we also tested a design matrix describing single origin out of southwest Asia. This design matrix was clearly most similar to the data in all tested cases. These results make the regional-continuity theory a less likely explanation for the observed cranial differences than the two single-origin theories. Of these, single southwest Asian origins seems the more likely interpretation of the data.     

Information Gain of Psychophysiological Detection of Deception in Forensic and Screening Settings

We adapted and applied the Wells and Olson’s (2002) Information Gain Analyses to examine the relative usefulness of a common psycho-physiological deception detection (PDD) technique, the Comparison Question Test, in forensic and screening settings as compared to unassisted lay and professional persons. We found that in forensic settings PDD provided substantial improvements in information gain over unassisted laypersons across nearly the complete range of the base rate of guilt. This was true for accuracy estimates based on laboratory and field data. At p(guilt) = 0.9, a benchmark set by critics of PDD, PDD provided 27 times the information gain of credibility decisions made by unassisted lay persons. Analyses of a screening PDD indicated that only deceptive outcomes provide useful information gain at relevant low base rates of guilt. These results strongly support the use of PDD in forensic settings and have implications for how screening PDD results are used.