Conditional Maximum Likelihood Estimation Following a Group Sequential Test

We consider estimation after a group sequential test. An estimator that is unbiased or has small bias may have substantial conditional bias (Troendle and Yu, 1999, Coburger and Wassmer, 2001). In this paper we derive the conditional maximum likelihood estimators of both the primary parameter and a secondary parameter, and investigate their properties within a conditional inference framework. The method applies to both the usual and adaptive group sequential test designs. (© 2004 WILEY‐VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA, Weinheim)     

Metazoan parasites of Engraulis ringens as tools for stock discrimination along the Chilean coast

The value of the metazoan parasites of the anchoveta Engraulis ringens as biological tags for stock discrimination is assessed. Three hundred and fifty-nine specimens, obtained from six landing ports in northern and central Chile (Arica, Antofagasta, Caldera, Coquimbo, Valparaiso and Talcahuano) covering a latitudinal gradient of c . 18°, were analysed. Six metazoan parasite species (three ectoparasites and three endoparasites) were obtained. A correspondence analysis suggested that anchoveta from northern and central Chile are comprised of two stocks. Identification of stocks was largely based on qualitative differences (absence in southern localities of the monogenean Pseudanthocotyloides heterocotyle , a parasite proper of engraulids, and the copepod Caligus sp.) and quantitative differences in the prevalence of infection for the remaining species. Inertia and mass value for the correspondence analysis supported the hypothesis of two stocks.     

Stable isotopic niche predicts fitness of prey in a wolf–deer system

Interindividual variation in niche presents a potentially central object on which natural selection can act. This may have important evolutionary implications because habitat use governs a suite of selective forces encountered by foragers. In a free-living native black-tailed deer, Odocoileus hemionus , population from coastal British Columbia, we used stable isotope analysis to identify individual variation in foraging niche and investigated its relationship to fitness. Using an intragenerational comparison of surviving and nonsurviving O. hemionus over 2 years of predation by wolves, Canis lupus, we detected resource-specific fitness. Individuals with isotopic signatures that suggested they foraged primarily in cedar ( Thuja plicata )-dominated and low-elevation hemlock ( Tsuga heterophylla )-dominated forest stands were more likely to be killed by C. lupus . High-quality forage in T. plicata stands, as indexed by protein content, may be involved in maintaining this foraging phenotype. Moreover, nonsurvivors diverged more than survivors from median isotopic signatures, suggesting selection against foraging specialization. Stable isotope analysis provides a novel opportunity to integrate ecological and selective landscapes in order to identify underlying ecological mechanisms of selection and provide insight into the maintenance of variability.  © 2007 The Linnean Society of London, Biological Journal of the Linnean Society , 2007, 90 , 125–137.     

Spatial organization and conformational peculiarities of the callatostatin family of neuropeptides.

The structures and conformational peculiarities of five members of the callatostatin family of neuropeptides, i.e. Leu- and Met-callatostatins, ranging in size from 8 to 16 amino acid residues have been investigated by a theoretical conformational analysis method. A comparative analysis of the conformational flexibilities of Met-callatostatin with those of the hydroxylated analogues, [Hyp2]- and [Hyp3]-Met-callatostatin has been carried out. Helically packed C-terminal pentapeptide in the structure of all investigated Leu-callatostatins are shown to be possible. The reason for the great number low-energy conformers for the callatostatin N-terminus is discussed.     

Daily activity of the pest slug Arion lusitanicus under laboratory conditions

The daily activity of the slug Arion lusitanicus was studied using time‐lapse video analysis in the laboratory. Under constant temperature (18°C) and 16–h photoperiod, the activity of slugs was measured in half‐hourly periods as locomotor activity, feeding or resting. Track lengths were determined using image analysis. Locomotion of A. lusitanicus was greatest at 5:30, 1.5 h after sunrise, and at 20:30, 1 h after sunset; least locomotor activity occurred between 13:00 and 14:00. The mean distance travelled by A. lusitanicus in 24 h was 10.8 m. The largest slug was the most active and the smallest the least. Slugs spent 68% of 24 hours resting, mainly under artificial shelter traps, 27% in locomotion and 4% feeding. Feeding occurred mainly during the hours of dakness (76%). All categories of behaviour investigated varied greatly between individuals and also between times of day. Homing to artificial shelters and other roost sites was regularly observed within 24 h (41%), but decreased considerably thereafter. The behavioural patterns proved to be in agreement with those found in a previous field investigation and are therefore also discussed with a view to their importance in pest control.     

Integrated palaeoecological and historical data in the service of fine-resolution land use and ecological change assessment during the last 1000 years in Rõuge, southern Estonia

Aims Our aim is to reconstruct decadal scale development of historical landscapes during the last 1000 years by means of fossil pollen analysis of annually laminated lake sediments, and detailed historical maps and documents. Location Lake Rõuge Tõugjärv (Estonia), a small lake with annually laminated lake sediments situated in a dense prehistoric setting. Methods The chronology of the palaeodata is based on the annual laminations supported by AMS ¹⁴C and ²¹⁰Pb dating and ¹³⁷Cs, ²⁴¹Am, and spheroidal carbonaceous particle marker horizons. The time‐scale and resolution allows fine sampling (the pollen samples generally comprise 3.5 years) and vegetation change reconstruction. Relevant source area of pollen (RSAP) of the lake was estimated, and the statistical zonation, rate of change, palynological richness, and DCA and PCA ordinations were generated on the basis of the pollen data. The historical calibration data set (maps, numerical information on population, domestic stock, farmland division, etc.) is based on archival material preserved in the Estonian Historical Archives. Results The topmost part (0–180 cm) of the sediment column of Lake Rõuge Tõugjärv, covering the last 1000 years, is visibly laminated carbonaceous gyttja. The varve chronology extends from ad 2000 to ad 1339, with a cumulative ± 9‐year error estimate. Beyond this the chronology is extrapolated using the ¹⁴C date and varve age–depth estimations. The simulation of the RSAP of Lake Tõugjärv shows that the major portion of the pollen loading originating from local vegetation is derived from plants growing within 2000 m of the sampling site. The pollen record divides into five statistically significant subgroups, which fall on the PCA plot into three clusters reflecting the general openness–closedness of the landscape. During the period between ad 1000 and 1200 (RT 1) the Rõuge area was generally wooded with birch, spruce and pine forests. The advancement of extensive farming gradually opened up the landscape between ad 1200 and 1650 (RT 2 and RT 3). The maximum openness of the landscape was reached between ad 1650 and 1875 (RT 4), with the most open period in the late eighteenth century. Historical maps from 1684 and 1870–99 and available quantitative data on population, domestic stock, farmland division, etc. show the same trend. The pollen data covering the last 125 years, and maps from 1935 and 1995, show the reduction of arable land in RSAP of the lake under investigation and the reduction of open land to an extent comparable with the end of the seventeenth century. Main conclusions The formation and development of the cultural landscape at Rõuge over the last 1000 years is characterized by rapid changes in floristic richness and rates of vegetation change attributed to certain historic processes in the RSAP. Five phases of landscape and social development are clearly distinguished during the last 1000 years. The decadal scale vegetation response to human‐induced forcing agrees with historical maps and documents and could be used for past landscapes prior to the period with solid historical data.