Detection and monitoring of HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma from plasma cfDNA fragmentation profiles

Most hepatocellular carcinomas (HCCs) are associated with hepatitis B virus infection (HBV) in China. Early detection of HCC can significantly improve prognosis but is not yet fully clinically feasible. This study aims to develop methods for detecting HCC and studying the carcinogenesis of HBV using plasma cell-free DNA (cfDNA) whole-genome sequencing (WGS) data. Low coverage WGS was performed for 452 participants, including healthy individuals, hepatitis B patients, cirrhosis patients, and HCC patients. Then the sequencing data were processed using various machine learning models based on cfDNA fragmentation profiles for cancer detection. Our best model achieved a sensitivity of 87.10% and a specificity of 88.37%, and it showed an increased sensitivity with higher BCLC stages of HCC. Overall, this study proves the potential of a non-invasive assay based on cfDNA fragmentation profiles for the detection and prognosis of HCC and provides preliminary data on the carcinogenic mechanism of HBV.