Facing environmental predictability with different sources of epigenetic variation

Different sources of epigenetic changes can increase the range of phenotypic options. Environmentally induced epigenetic changes and stochastic epimutations are, respectively, associated with phenotypic plasticity and diversifying bet‐hedging. Their relative contribution is thus expected to reflect the capacity of a genotype to face distinct changes since these strategies are differentially selected according to environmental uncertainty. To test this hypothesis, we assessed the sources of epigenetic changes on clonal fish from predictable (lakes) or unpredictable (intermittent streams) environments. DNA methylation of clones from natural conditions revealed contrasting contribution of environmentally induced versus stochastic changes according to their origins. These differences were validated in common garden experiments. Consistent with theoretical models, distinct sources of epigenetic variation prevail according to the environmental uncertainty. However, both sources act conjointly, suggesting that plasticity and random processes are complementary strategies. This represents a rigorous approach for further exploring the capacity of organisms to respond to environmental conditions.     

Fluctuating natural selection accounts for the evolution of diversification bet hedging

Natural environments are characterized by unpredictability over all time scales. This stochasticity is expected on theoretical grounds to result in the evolution of ‘bet-hedging’ traits that maximize the long term, or geometric mean fitness even though such traits do not maximize fitness over shorter time scales. The geometric mean principle is thus central to our interpretation of optimality and adaptation; however, quantitative empirical support for bet hedging is lacking. Here, I report a quantitative test using the timing of seed germination—a model diversification bet-hedging trait—in Lobelia inflata under field conditions. In a phenotypic manipulation study, I find the magnitude of fluctuating selection acting on seed germination timing—across 70 intervals throughout five seasons—to be extreme: fitness functions for survival are complex and multimodal within seasons and significantly dissimilar among seasons. I confirm that the observed magnitude of fluctuating selection is sufficient to account for the degree of diversification behaviour characteristic of individuals of this species. The geometric mean principle has been known to economic theory for over two centuries; this study now provides a quantitative test of optimality of a bet-hedging trait in nature.     

Global change impacts on arid zone ecosystems: Seedling establishment processes are threatened by temperature and water stress

Recruitment for many arid‐zone plant species is expected to be impacted by the projected increase in soil temperature and prolonged droughts associated with global climate change. As seed dormancy is considered a strategy to avoid unfavorable conditions, understanding the mechanisms underpinning vulnerability to these factors is critical for plant recruitment in intact communities, as well as for restoration efforts in arid ecosystems. This study determined the effects of temperature and water stress on recruitment processes in six grass species in the genus Triodia R.Br. from the Australian arid zone. Experiments in controlled environments were conducted on dormant and less‐dormant seeds at constant temperatures of 25°C, 30°C, 35°C, and 40°C, under well‐watered (Ψ_soil = −0.15 MPa) and water‐limited (Ψ_soil = −0.35 MPa) conditions. Success at three key recruitment stages—seed germination, emergence, and survival—and final seed viability of ungerminated seeds was assessed. For all species, less‐dormant seeds germinated to higher proportions under all conditions; however, subsequent seedling emergence and survival were higher in the more dormant seed treatment. An increase in temperature (35–40°C) under water‐limited conditions caused 95%–100% recruitment failure, regardless of the dormancy state. Ungerminated seeds maintained viability in dry soil; however, when exposed to warm (30–40°C) and well‐watered conditions, loss of viability was greater from the less‐dormant seeds across all species. This work demonstrates that the transition from seed to established seedling is highly vulnerable to microclimatic constraints and represents a critical filter for plant recruitment in the arid zone. As we demonstrate temperature and water stress‐driven mortality between seeds and established seedlings, understanding how these factors influence recruitment in other arid‐zone species should be a high priority consideration for management actions to mitigate the impacts of global change on ecosystem resilience. The knowledge gained from these outcomes must be actively incorporated into restoration initiatives.     

Flexible dispersal dimorphism in zooplankton resting eggs: an example of repeated phenotypic coin flipping?

Theory predicts that spatio‐temporal variation in habitat suitability will promote selection for dispersal. In addition to movement in space, dispersal gains an extra dimension in freshwater zooplankton because resting eggs can disperse in time as well, via dormancy. Potential trade‐offs between both strategies, however, remain largely unexplored. Using a temporary pool fairy shrimp population as a model, we tested for consistent differences in buoyancy among resting eggs during consecutive inundations in a standardized laboratory experiment and explored a potential trade‐off between dispersal (floaters versus sinkers) and dormancy (high versus low hatching fractions). Although discrete dispersal morphs were present, this trait was not fixed. Irrespective of their dispersal phenotype during previous inundations, floating eggs hatched more frequently than sinking eggs. Egg morphology did not affect buoyancy and, between inundations, approximately half of the eggs changed their dispersal phenotype. Although this mechanism has affinities with conservative bet hedging and adaptive coin flipping, it is unique because the dispersal phenotype can switch at the onset of each inundation. Despite possible selection against dispersal at the population level, such a strategy ensures variation in dispersal ability at any moment and could promote population persistence in a metapopulation context. © 2013 The Linnean Society of London, Biological Journal of the Linnean Society, 2013, 110 , 749–756.     

Climate and geographic trends in hatch delay of the treehole mosquito,Aedes triseriatus Say (Diptera: Culicidae)

Eggs of Aedes triseriatus mosquitoes are stimulated to hatch when inundated with water, but only a small fraction of eggs from the same batch will hatch for any given stimulus. Similar hatching or germination patterns are observed in desert plants, copepods, rotifers, insects, and many other species. Bet hedging theory suggests that parents stagger offspring emergence into vulnerable life history stages in order to avoid catastrophic reproductive failures. For Ae. triseriatus, a treehole breeding mosquito, immediate hatching of an entire clutch leaves all of the parent's progeny vulnerable to extinction in the event of a severe drought. Natural selection has likely favored parents that pursued a bet hedging strategy where the risk of reproductive failure is distributed over time. Considering treehole mosquitoes, bet hedging theory could be used to predict that hatch delay would be positively correlated with the likelihood of drought. To test this prediction, we collected Ae. triseriatus from habitats that varied widely in mean annual precipitation and exposed them to several hatch stimuli in the laboratory. Here we report that, as predicted, Ae. triseriatus eggs from high precipitation regions showed less hatch delay than areas of low precipitation. This strategy probably allows Ae. triseriatus to cope with the wide variety of climatic conditions that it faces in its extensive geographical range.     

Bet‐hedging and germination in the Australian arid zone shrub Acacia ligulata

The diaspore of the Australian arid zone shrub Acacia ligulata is dispersed by birds and ants. To investigate the benefits of providing a dispersal structure attractive to both groups, we compared the germination response and viability of seeds eaten by birds, handled by ants or collected from trees to simulated precursors of germination: scarification, fire and rainfall were simulated. Seed germination and viability were related to the degree of preheating disturbance to the seed coat. Heating increased the germinability of seeds not scarified or eaten by birds. In the absence of heating, ingestion by birds increased germinability. Heating increased the mortality of seeds. Our results suggest that ingestion of seeds by birds may break seed dormancy and hence enable some seeds to germinate soon after dispersal. Alternatively, seeds not eaten by birds are likely to remain dormant until sufficiently scarified by soil or stimulated by fire. Consequently, in areas such as the Simpson Desert, A. ligulata may be able to use a range of seedling establishment ‘windows’ provided by monsoon rains, post‐fire environments and unseasonal winter rains, and also spread the risk of unsuccessful seedling establishment by retaining dormant seeds in the seedbank.     

Does multiple paternity affect seed mass in angiosperms? An experimental test in Dalechampia scandens

Flowers fertilized by multiple fathers may be expected to produce heavier seeds than those fertilized by a single father. However, the adaptive mechanisms leading to such differences remain unclear, and the evidence inconsistent. Here, we first review the different hypotheses predicting an increase in seed mass when multiple paternity occurs. We show that distinguishing between these hypotheses requires information about average seed mass, but also about within‐fruit variance in seed mass, bias in siring success among pollen donors, and whether siring success and seed mass are correlated. We then report the results of an experiment on Dalechampia scandens (Euphorbiaceae), assessing these critical variables in conjunction with a comparison of seed mass resulting from crosses with single vs. multiple pollen donors. Siring success differed among males when competing for fertilization, but average seed mass was not affected by the number of fathers. Furthermore, paternal identity explained only 3.8% of the variance in seed mass, and siring success was not correlated with the mass of the seeds produced. Finally, within‐infructescence variance in seed mass was not affected by the number of fathers. These results suggest that neither differential allocation nor sibling rivalry has any effect on the average mass of seeds in multiply sired fruits in D. scandens. Overall, the limited paternal effects observed in most studies and the possibility of diversification bet hedging among flowers (but not within flowers), suggest that multiple paternity within fruits or infructescence is unlikely to affect seed mass in a large number of angiosperm species.     

Minimal nutrient requirements for induction of germination of Aspergillus niger conidia

Aspergillus niger reproduces asexually by forming conidia. Here, the minimal nutrient requirements were studied that activate germination of A. niger conidia. To this end, germination was monitored in time using an oCelloScope imager. Data was used as input in an asymmetric model to describe the process of swelling and germ tube formation. The maximum number of spores (P_max) that were activated to swell and to form germ tubes was 32.54% and 20.51%, respectively, in minimal medium with 50 mM glucose. In contrast, P_max of swelling and germ tube formation was <1% in water or 50 mM glucose. Combining 50 mM glucose with either NaNO₃, KH₂PO4, or MgSO4 increased P_max of swelling and germination up to 15.25% and 5.4%, respectively, while combining glucose with two of these inorganic components further increased these P_max values up to 25.85% and 10.99%. Next, 10 mM amino acid was combined with a phosphate buffer and MgSO₄. High (e.g. proline), intermediate and low (e.g. cysteine) inducing amino acids were distinguished. Together, a combination of an inducing carbon source with either inorganic phosphate, inorganic nitrogen or magnesium sulphate is the minimum requirement for A. niger conidia to germinate.     

Natural sequence variants of yeast environmental sensors confer cell‐to‐cell expression variability

Living systems may have evolved probabilistic bet hedging strategies that generate cell‐to‐cell phenotypic diversity in anticipation of environmental catastrophes, as opposed to adaptation via a deterministic response to environmental changes. Evolution of bet hedging assumes that genotypes segregating in natural populations modulate the level of intraclonal diversity, which so far has largely remained hypothetical. Using a fluorescent P_met17‐GFP reporter, we mapped four genetic loci conferring to a wild yeast strain an elevated cell‐to‐cell variability in the expression of MET17, a gene regulated by the methionine pathway. A frameshift mutation in the Erc1p transmembrane transporter, probably resulting from a release of laboratory strains from negative selection, reduced P_met17‐GFP expression variability. At a second locus, cis‐regulatory polymorphisms increased mean expression of the Mup1p methionine permease, causing increased expression variability in trans. These results demonstrate that an expression quantitative trait locus (eQTL) can simultaneously have a deterministic effect in cis and a probabilistic effect in trans. Our observations indicate that the evolution of transmembrane transporter genes can tune intraclonal variation and may therefore be implicated in both reactive and anticipatory strategies of adaptation.     

Selection for increased allocation to offspring number under environmental unpredictability

According to life-history theory, the evolution of offspring size is constrained by the trade-off between allocation of resources to individual offspring and the number of offspring produced. Existing models explore the ecological consequences of offspring size, whereas number is invariably treated simply as an outcome of the trade-off with size. Here I ask whether there is a direct evolutionary advantage of increased allocation to offspring number under environmental unpredictability. Variable environments are expected to select for diversification in the timing of egg hatch and seed germination, yet the dependence of the expression of diversification strategies, and thus parental fitness, on offspring number has not previously been recognized. I begin by showing that well-established sampling theory predicts that a target bethedging diversification strategy is more reliably achieved as offspring number increases. I then use a simulation model to demonstrate that higher offspring number leads to greater geometric mean fitness under environmental uncertainty. Natural selection is thus expected to act directly to increase offspring number under assumptions of environmental unpredictability in season quality.