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141.
Summary Within many taxa the age of maturity is not simply positively correlated with the adult lifespan; the two variables are proportional to each other. The dimensionless number which is the constant of proportionality thus becomes something to be predicted by life history theory.  相似文献   
142.
Vegetative dormancy, that is the temporary absence of aboveground growth for ≥ 1 year, is paradoxical, because plants cannot photosynthesise or flower during dormant periods. We test ecological and evolutionary hypotheses for its widespread persistence. We show that dormancy has evolved numerous times. Most species displaying dormancy exhibit life‐history costs of sprouting, and of dormancy. Short‐lived and mycoheterotrophic species have higher proportions of dormant plants than long‐lived species and species with other nutritional modes. Foliage loss is associated with higher future dormancy levels, suggesting that carbon limitation promotes dormancy. Maximum dormancy duration is shorter under higher precipitation and at higher latitudes, the latter suggesting an important role for competition or herbivory. Study length affects estimates of some demographic parameters. Our results identify life historical and environmental drivers of dormancy. We also highlight the evolutionary importance of the little understood costs of sprouting and growth, latitudinal stress gradients and mixed nutritional modes.  相似文献   
143.
144.
Tropical forests play a critical role in carbon and water cycles at a global scale. Rapid climate change is anticipated in tropical regions over the coming decades and, under a warmer and drier climate, tropical forests are likely to be net sources of carbon rather than sinks. However, our understanding of tropical forest response and feedback to climate change is very limited. Efforts to model climate change impacts on carbon fluxes in tropical forests have not reached a consensus. Here, we use the Ecosystem Demography model (ED2) to predict carbon fluxes of a Puerto Rican tropical forest under realistic climate change scenarios. We parameterized ED2 with species‐specific tree physiological data using the Predictive Ecosystem Analyzer workflow and projected the fate of this ecosystem under five future climate scenarios. The model successfully captured interannual variability in the dynamics of this tropical forest. Model predictions closely followed observed values across a wide range of metrics including aboveground biomass, tree diameter growth, tree size class distributions, and leaf area index. Under a future warming and drying climate scenario, the model predicted reductions in carbon storage and tree growth, together with large shifts in forest community composition and structure. Such rapid changes in climate led the forest to transition from a sink to a source of carbon. Growth respiration and root allocation parameters were responsible for the highest fraction of predictive uncertainty in modeled biomass, highlighting the need to target these processes in future data collection. Our study is the first effort to rely on Bayesian model calibration and synthesis to elucidate the key physiological parameters that drive uncertainty in tropical forests responses to climatic change. We propose a new path forward for model‐data synthesis that can substantially reduce uncertainty in our ability to model tropical forest responses to future climate.  相似文献   
145.
The Pacific walrus (Odobenus rosmarus divergens) is a candidate to be listed as an endangered species under United States law, in part, because of climate change‐related concerns. While the population was known to be declining in the 1980s and 1990s, its recent status has not been determined. We developed Bayesian models of walrus population dynamics to assess the population by synthesizing information on population sizes, age structures, reproductive rates, and harvests for 1974–2015. Candidate models allowed for temporal variation in some or all vital rates, as well as density dependence or density independence in reproduction and calf survival. All selected models indicated that the population underwent a multidecade decline, which began moderating in the 1990s, and that annual reproductive rate and natural calf survival rates rose over time in a density‐dependent manner. However, selected models were equivocal regarding whether the natural juvenile survival rate was constant or decreasing over time. Depending on whether juvenile survival decreased after 1998, the population growth rate either increased during 1999–2015 or stabilized at a lesser level of decline than seen in the 1980s. The probability that the population was still declining in 2015 ranged from 45% to 87%.  相似文献   
146.
Variable spatial and temporal environments are known to affect the population dynamics of plants, but studies of local scale variability and its relationship to demographic change within a population remain limited. Using mapped plants, we examined the population dynamics of a coastal grassland endemic, Silene douglasii var. oraria, in two habitats over 10 yr. We hypothesized that ecological differences between rocky and grassy habitats might influence demographic parameters, including adult survival, growth, and density. Soil pH, soil moisture. and other abiotic variables differed little between habitats, but microsite differences in light, soil depth. and vegetation height were related to variation in Silene density and plant circumference. We also found significantly higher population densities, lower adult mortality, and more juvenile recruitment in rocky areas. Finite rates of population growth varied across years and habitats (lambda = 0.82-1.12). with different patterns evident in the two habitats. In both, observed population sizes in 1992 were similar to matrix projections using 1982-1985 data. Populations declined in size in some years despite high adult survivorship and variable recruitment. More intensive study of seedlings is needed, including experimental evaluation of the role of light and competition. However, the habitat-specific differences we observed imply that ecological studies and conservation plans developed for rare plants should consider the effect of local scale variability on demography.  相似文献   
147.
Bouzillé  J. B.  Bonis  A.  Clément  B.  Godeau  M. 《Plant Ecology》1997,132(1):39-48
Juncus gerardi populations demonstrated a logistic growth curve during the colonization stage. Shoot production by vegetative multiplication was virtually continuous from December to June. Experiments suggested that the stabilisation stage of the demographic curve reflected water deficit. Taller, fertile, winter and early spring cohorts could be distinguished from shorter, infertile end of spring and beginning of summer cohorts. Shoot emergence began in March and terminated at the end of June, when water becomes a limiting factor due to a period of water shortage, typical of the thermo-atlantic climate. Spatial extension of populations was due to rhizome growth, which ceased during flowering.Flowering in May temporarily checked growth in shoot height of all emerged cohorts. No cost of reproduction was demonstrated concerning the rate of appearance of new shoots.Although fertile shoots were taller than vegetative shoots, their growth rates were significantly lower from April onwards. The tallest fertile shoots produced the most capsules.Energy allocation to seed production is the only possible means for long-term establishment of new genotypes, and vegetative multiplication appears as the principal source of recruitment of new modules in Juncus gerardi.Resource allocation patterns in this clonal species are discussed in relation to the ecological background in the concerned marshlands and with theoretical proposals derived from models of spatial colonization strategies in clonal plants.Nomenclature: follows Flora Europaea (Tutin et al., 1964ndash;1980).  相似文献   
148.
Abstract. We studied plant diversity of the understory vascular vegetation in 40 yr-old plantations (immature stands) and old-growth forest stands on southwestern Vancouver Island, British Columbia, Canada. Site-specific comparisons using several indices of species diversity were made between: (1) immature stands segregated according to the canopy cover and dominant canopy tree species; and (2) immature and old-growth stands. There were no significant differences (P < 0.05) among immature stands in species richness (S) and the Shannon-Wiener index (H′), in relation to the canopy cover or in S, H′ and evenness (E) in relation to the dominant canopy tree species. Using the same indices, the plant diversity varied with edaphic conditions (represented by five site associations) and time (represented by two developmental stages). At both stand- and site levels, plant diversity increased with increasing soil moisture, from slightly dry to moist sites, and with increasing plant-available soil nitrogen in both immature and old-growth stands; and the plant diversity of immature stands across the sites studied was considerably lower than in old-growth stands, regardless of site association. The indices of plant diversity, floristic similarity indices, and species turnover rates indicated that the immature stands had their plant diversity at a minimum, but a drastic loss of diversity expected in the stem exclusion stage had not materialized. We attributed decline in plant diversity to the absence of old-growth structural features in immature stands. Several measures to foster the stand-level diversity were proposed.  相似文献   
149.
Abstract. 14 old, unlogged, Picea-dominated stands in the moist cool Sub-Boreal Spruce biogeoclimatic subzone of central British Columbia, Canada, were sampled to describe canopy heterogeneity, regeneration patterns and tree population age structures. These stands are composed of Picea engelmannii × glauca hybrids, Abies lasiocarpa and lesser amounts of Pinus contorta and Populus tremuloides, and had survived 124–343 yr since the last stand-destroying wildfire. Canopy cover was patchy and highly variable (ranging from 30.5 % to 86.4 %) but was not significantly related to stand age. Vertical canopy structure was less variable, reflecting the shade-tolerance and live crown ratios (length of live canopy expressed relative to tree height) of component species: 18.8 % for Populus, 20.2 % for Pinus, 46.7 % for Picea and 51.4 % for Abies. Individual stands varied considerably in their population structures and in their stand development trajectories, yet some patterns are evident. Survivors of the initial post-disturbance cohort of trees took 51 to 118 yr (mean = 80, s.d. = 20) to establish. Some stands had all tree species present during stand initiation, while other stands indicated early successional roles for Populus and Pinus, or a late successional role for Abies. Abies recruitment, while often slow in the beginning, occurs uniformly throughout the history of most stands, reflecting the high shade-tolerance of this species. Picea is often recruited in high densities early in stand development, and then (after long periods of exclusion) may be displaced by Abies in some stands but maintains itself in others. Minor, single-tree disturbances (due to bark beetles, root rot, and windthrow) were important in accelerating the reinitiation of Picea in the understory. Results thus suggest that stands from this region can be self-perpetuating in the absence of fire. Yet, post-fire tree populations still clearly dominate these spruce-fir forests, for only the oldest stand had greater basal area in the replacement cohort than in the initial cohort.  相似文献   
150.
Gundersen et al . (2001 , Source-sink dynamics: how sinks affect demography of sources. Ecol. Lett. , 4, 14–21.) suggested that sinks can severely affect the demography of populations in source habitats. We propose this is a common result when animals lack cues associated with reduced fitness inside sinks and consequently select habitat inappropriately. These attractive sinks can result either from undetected risks of mortality (as in the experiment of Gundersen et al . 2001 ) or from undetected poor breeding probabilities (due to bioaccumulation of pesticides, for instance). Thus, individual habitat choice is a key process underlying source–sink dynamics.  相似文献   
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