Evidence from rain-use efficiencies does not indicate extensive Sahelian desertification

Desertification is regarded as one of the major global environmental problems of the 20th century and the African Sahel is often quoted as the most seriously affected region. Previous attempts to map the occurrence and severity of desertification in the Sahel have been unsatisfactory, mainly because of the lack of any readily measured, objective indicators. We explore here the properties of the ratio of net primary production (NPP) to precipitation – the rain-use efficiency (RUE) – calculated from remotely sensed vegetation indices and rain gauge data. Negative deviations from the normal range of RUE values are shown to be an indicator of desertification. Observations of NPP of the entire Sahel were possible using satellite platforms for the period 1982–90, including the 1984 drought. The results suggest that NPP was remarkably resilient, a fact that was reflected in only little variation in the RUE during the period of study. Thus, in much of the region, NPP seems to be in step with rainfall, recovering rapidly following drought and not supporting the fears of widespread, subcontinental scale desertification taking place in the 9-year period that is studied. In fact the results show a small but systematic increase in RUE for the Sahel as a whole from 1982 to 1990, although some areas contained within the region did have persistently low values.     

Effective population size and persistence of Anopheles arabiensis during the dry season in West Africa

Abstract. The way that the malaria vectors Anopheles arabiensis and An.gambiae survive the dry season in sub-saharan Sahel or northern Savanna areas of Africa remains enigmatic. We examined this problem by calculating the effective sizes (N_e) of An.arabiensis populations for several locations in West Africa. An indirect/genetic procedure was used, comparing gene frequencies at several time intervals. The amount of drift which occurred provides an estimate of N_e. Most estimates of N_e were approximately 2000 individuals, probably close to the yearly minimum. This supports the hypothesis that populations of An.arabiensis in this region are continuous throughout the year, with many individuals surviving through the dry season, perhaps in a physiologically altered state, rather than extinction or severe bottlenecks during the dry season, followed by recolonization by a few individual survivors or immigrants in the subsequent rainy season.     

Rainfall variability and Twareg perceptions of climate impacts in Niger

A survey was conducted among the pastoral Twareg of Niger on their perceptions of rainfall impacts for each year from 1947 through 1988. The herders saw drought as a prolonged process with a multi-year onset that culminated in a single year of extreme crisis and abated gradually. The identified crisis years, 1973 and 1984, corresponded with historical rainfall data that showed each of these to have been the second consecutive year of extreme drought. Single years of drought, which may have served as red-flag signals of impending crisis scenarios, were not identified by the herders. Rainfall measurements from the zone of extensive cultivation, south of the pastoral habitat, did not correlate well with key crisis years or the herders' perceptions. Neither did national-level livestock market statistics. It was concluded that rainfall was a reliable indicator for a drought early warning system for the northern Sahel, provided that the measurements were taken from an ecologically-defined pastoral habitat.This paper was written while the author was a research affiliate at the University of Florida Center for African Studies.     

Remains of woody plants from Saouga, a medieval west African village

Charcoal, fruits and seeds of woody plants have been studied from a settlement mound in the Sahel of Burkina Faso. The archaeobotanical results provide information on economy and environmental conditions at the periphery of the medieval kingdom of Songhai at around 1000 A.D. Millet (Penniselum americanum) was the basic crop, cultivated in fields in which also grew useful trees (park savannas). Besides millet, fruits of the park savanna trees and other wild woody plants were an important part of the diet. Stratigraphical changes in the charcoal diagram indicate that millet production was intensified and the park savanna system established in the course of mound formation. The charcoal results show that the vegetation around 1000 A.D. was more diverse than today, containing many Sahelo-Sudanian elements which cannot be found in the area any more. This indicates slightly higher precipitation than today but also less severe human impact.     

Germination and establishment of Sahelian rangeland species

Summary In the context of a study on the dynamics of Sahelian rangelands, seed characteristics of about 30 species have been described, with particular attention to germination characteristics. Data on both form and weight of the seeds are presented. Germination was studied under controlled conditions in a climate room. Optimum conditions for germination were established, and the species were characterized by induction time, slope of germination vs. time curve and final germination percentage. The results obtained under climate room conditions appear to be correlated satisfactorily with the behaviour of the different species in the field.