Resolving the complex relationship between harmful algal blooms and environmental factors in the coastal waters adjacent to the Changjiang River estuary

The sea area adjacent to the Changjiang River estuary is the most notable region for harmful algal blooms (HABs¹) in China as both diatom and dinoflagellate blooms have been recorded in this region. Affected by the Changjiang diluted water (CDW²) and currents from the open ocean (i.e., Taiwan warm current, TWC³), the environmental conditions in the coastal waters adjacent to the Changjiang River estuary are quite complex. To obtain a better understanding of the mechanisms of HABs in this region, analyses based on field investigation data collected by the National Basic Research Priority Program (CEOHAB I⁴) were performed using principle component analysis (PCA⁵), multiple regression analysis (MRA⁶) and path analysis (PA⁷). The results suggested that phosphate and silicate are the major factors that directly affect the diatom bloom, while dissolved inorganic nitrogen (DIN⁸), temperature and turbidity are the factors that influence the dinoflagellate bloom. CDW and the TWC have different roles in affecting the two types of algal blooms. CDW, which has a high concentration of nitrate and silicate, is essential for the diatom bloom, while the intrusion of the TWC (mainly Kuroshio subsurface water that is rich in phosphate at the bottom) is critical for the maintenance of the dinoflagellate bloom. The results of this study offer a better understanding of the mechanisms of HABs in the East China Sea.     

Biological patterns and ecological indicators for Mediterranean fish and crustaceans below 1,000 m: a review

The Mediterranean Sea is a relatively deep, closed sea with high rates of fisheries exploitation. In recent years fishing activity has tended to shift towards deeper depths. At the same time, the Mediterranean displays some rather special hydrographic and biogeographic conditions. The present paper reviews the present state of knowledge of the fisheries, biology, and ecology of the deep-sea fish and crustacean species in the Mediterranean dwelling below 1,000 m with potential economic interest, placing special emphasis on the western basin, for which more data are available, as a basis for future studies of the ecology, biodiversity, and effects of climate change and exploitation in this zone. This review reveals that mediterranean deep-sea fishes and crustaceans employ highly conservative ecological strategies, and hence the low fecundity and low metabolic rates in a stable environment like the deep-sea make these populations highly vulnerable. Moreover, ripe females of the main species mentioned here concentrate in the deepest portions of their distribution ranges. Deep-sea fish and crustaceans have high trophic levels and low to medium omnivory index values. The ecological indices discussed here, in combination with the limited knowledge of deep-sea ecosystems, clearly call for an approach based on the Precautionary Principle.     

湖北省植被分类的研究 Ⅰ.自然植被

本文论述了湖北植被分类的原则、依据,植被分类的单位和命名,并拟订了5级分类系统,以植被型、群系、群丛作为主要分类单位。根据多年来全省野外调查资料分析,湖北植被划分为8个植被型组、13个植被型、66个群系组、152个群系、10个群丛。     

A mathematical model of the interactions in the mixed culture of invertebrates and algae in the “producer–consumer” aquatic biotic cycle

This paper presents a mathematical model of interactions between two herbivorous invertebrates (ciliate Paramecium caudatum and rotifer Brachionus plicatilis) and two planktonic algae (Chlorella vulgaris and Scenedesmus quadricauda) spatially segregated in two compartments of a chemostat–type experimental microcosm system. The model mimics a producer–consumer aquatic biotic cycle, describing the dynamics of the mixed culture of ciliates and rotifers, as consumer compartment, feeding on the mixed algal culture, as producer compartment, under N-limiting conditions. We experimentally found that metabolites of the alga Scenedesmus produce an adverse effect on the reproduction of ciliate Paramecium. Taking this effect into account improved the behavior of the model, the results of which came into qualitative agreement with the experimental results. Both our experimental and modeling approaches demonstrated that, even in conditions of a spatially–segregated producer-consumer biotic cycle, species coexistence is impossible either in the mixed algal culture or in the mixed invertebrate culture. Scenedesmus excluded Chlorella, whereas Brachionus excluded Paramecium.     

The Precautionary Principle and Chemical Regulation in the U.S.

Although the statutory goals for chemical regulation are consistent with the precau tionary principle, the current U.S. regulatory program governing synthetic chemicals generally adopts little precautionary controls for the manufacture of most chemicals. For the vast majority of chemicals in use, current law places the burden of producing scientific evidence on the regulatory agency, which actually may serve to discourage companies from testing the safety of their chemicals, since the results could then be used against them in regulatory proceedings. By contrast, for a small subset of chemicals — new chemicals that belong to suspect categories — regulatory controls are quite precautionary. The result of this schizophrenic approach to chemical regulation is a regulatory system that is characterized by the absence of preventative regulation for most existing chemicals, an inequitable barrier to entry for newer safer chemicals, and a lack of information upon which to understand the safety of most chemicals in the U.S. Informal reforms of the current regulatory program are already underway to provide a more consistent and precautionary approach to chemical regulation, although to fully advance the dual goals of regulatory consistency and precaution in the regulation of chemicals, legislative action is necessary.     

Research Implications of Science-Informed,Value-Based Decision Making

In ‘Hard’ science, scientists correctly operate as the ‘guardians of certainty,’ using hypothesis testing formulations and value judgements about error rates and time discounting that make classical inferential methods appropriate. But these methods can neither generate most of the inputs needed by decision makers in their time frame, nor generate them in a form that allows them to be integrated into the decision in an analytically coherent and transparent way. The need for transparent accountability in public decision making under uncertainty and value conflict means the analytical coherence provided by the stochastic Bayesian decision analytic approach, drawing on the outputs of Bayesian science, is needed. If scientific researchers are to play the rôle they should be playing in informing value-based decision making, they need to see themselves also as ‘guardians of uncertainty,’ ensuring that the best possible current posterior distributions on relevant parameters are made available for decision making, irrespective of the state of the certainty-seeking research. The paper distinguishes the actors employing different technologies in terms of the focus of the technology (knowledge, values, choice); the ‘home base’ mode of their activity on the cognitive continuum of varying analysis-to-intuition ratios; and the underlying value judgements of the activity (especially error loss functions and time discount rates). Those who propose any principle of decision making other than the banal ‘Best Principle,’ including the ‘Precautionary Principle,’ are properly interpreted as advocates seeking to have their own value judgements and preferences regarding mode location apply. The task for accountable decision makers, and their supporting technologists, is to determine the best course of action under the universal conditions of uncertainty and value difference/conflict.     

长臀鮠属鱼类多变量形态分析及物种有效性研究

采用形态度量学方法对分布于我国珠江水系、元江水系及海南岛诸水系的长臀属3种鱼类,共66尾个体的 43个测量性状进行了主成分分析。研究结果表明长臀属鱼类不能在形态上进行区别。作者认为长臀属鱼类 只存在一个有效种。     

鱼类亲代抚育行为的研究进展

亲代抚育行为（parental care behavior）是指动物对其后代或其亲缘后代提供保护和养育的所有活动,属于本能行为的一种,广泛存在于动物界之中。鱼类在其为数不多的科中充分发展了几乎所有类型的亲代抚育行为,因而成为研究该行为的最佳物种之一。随着威廉斯原理（Williams’s Principle）的提出和应用,人们对鱼类亲代抚育行为的探索逐步由定性向定量发展,普遍认同了在鱼类进化中,雄性抚育模式得以占据支配地位的缘由并非是因为雄性在抚育活动中获得了较多的利益,而是由于在获取相同利益时雄性损失的未来投资成本较雌性低的观点。近年来的研究证实,在亲代抚育过程中存在着某种动态调整机制,其中四个比较关键的影响因素分别为：亲本所抚育的子代数量、亲本先前的投资、亲本与被抚育子代间的遗传关联度和亲本未来的交配机会。     

A Minimum‐Cost Strategy for Cluster Recruitment

It is becoming increasingly common for the design of a clinical study to involve cluster samples. Very few researches investigated the appropriate number of clusters. None of them treat cluster size and the number of clusters as random variables. In reality, the recruitment of clusters can not be reached at one time and the cluster sizes are usually random. The longer the recruitment takes the more expensive the total study costs will be. This paper provides a strategy for sequential recruitment of clusters, which can minimize the total study cost. By treating the number of additional observational subjects required at each time point as a Markov Chain, we derive an iterative procedure for optimal strategy and study the property of this strategy, especially the duration of the cluster recruitment. This strategy is also extended to search for an optimal number of centers in a multi‐center clinical trial.