Local bandwidth selection for kernel estimation of population densities with line transect sampling

Seber (1986, Biometrics 42, 267-292) suggested an approach to biological population density estimation using kernel estimates of the probability density of detection distances in line transect sampling. Chen (1996a, Applied Statistics 45, 135-150) and others have employed cross validation to choose a global bandwidth for the kernel estimator or have suggested adaptive kernel estimation (Chen, 1996b, Biometrics 52, 1283-1294). Because estimation of the density is required at only a single point, we investigate a local bandwidth selection procedure that is a modification of the method of Schucany (1995, Journal of the American Statistical Association 90, 535-540) for nonparametric regression. We report on simulation results comparing the proposed method and a local normal scale rule with cross validation and adaptive estimation. The local bandwidths and normal scale rule produce estimates with mean squares that are half the size of the others in most cases. Consistency results are also provided.     

Reducing variability of crossvalidation for smoothing-parameter choice

One of the attractions of crossvalidation, as a tool for smoothing-parameterchoice, is its applicability to a wide variety of estimatortypes and contexts. However, its detractors comment adverselyon the relatively high variance of crossvalidatory smoothingparameters, noting that this compromises the performance ofthe estimators in which those parameters are used. We show thatthe variability can be reduced simply, significantly and reliablyby employing bootstrap aggregation or bagging. We establishthat in theory, when bagging is implemented using an adaptivelychosen resample size, the variability of crossvalidation canbe reduced by an order of magnitude. However, it is arguablymore attractive to use a simpler approach, based for exampleon half-sample bagging, which can reduce variability by approximately50%.     

Hypothesis testing in semiparametric additive mixed models

We consider testing whether the nonparametric function in a semiparametric additive mixed model is a simple fixed degree polynomial, for example, a simple linear function. This test provides a goodness-of-fit test for checking parametric models against nonparametric models. It is based on the mixed-model representation of the smoothing spline estimator of the nonparametric function and the variance component score test by treating the inverse of the smoothing parameter as an extra variance component. We also consider testing the equivalence of two nonparametric functions in semiparametric additive mixed models for two groups, such as treatment and placebo groups. The proposed tests are applied to data from an epidemiological study and a clinical trial and their performance is evaluated through simulations.     

Bayesian Hierarchical Functional Data Analysis Via Contaminated Informative Priors

Summary .  A variety of flexible approaches have been proposed for functional data analysis, allowing both the mean curve and the distribution about the mean to be unknown. Such methods are most useful when there is limited prior information. Motivated by applications to modeling of temperature curves in the menstrual cycle, this article proposes a flexible approach for incorporating prior information in semiparametric Bayesian analyses of hierarchical functional data. The proposed approach is based on specifying the distribution of functions as a mixture of a parametric hierarchical model and a nonparametric contamination. The parametric component is chosen based on prior knowledge, while the contamination is characterized as a functional Dirichlet process. In the motivating application, the contamination component allows unanticipated curve shapes in unhealthy menstrual cycles. Methods are developed for posterior computation, and the approach is applied to data from a European fecundability study.     

Simple testing procedures for the Holling type II model

In this paper, we consider predator–prey data that can be viewed as solutions to a planar system of ordinary differential equations (ODE) observed with random error. The ODE system admits a limit cycle, while the random error is supposed to act additively in the log-scale. One of the oldest such systems is Holling’s type II model. In spite of its simplicity, it is still very popular in data analyses, although more sophisticated models have been introduced in the literature. We propose a simple way of deciding whether a set of predator–prey pairs is indicative or not of a departure from this basic model by exploiting the geometric properties of the solution in the phase plane. To illustrate our method, we use simulated and real data.     

Glioma-Derived miRNA-Containing Extracellular Vesicles Induce Angiogenesis by Reprogramming Brain Endothelial Cells

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