An application of the theoretical group methods to modeling of complex systems

The applicability of theoretical group methods to studying complex physical and biological systems with the potential of self-organization was demonstrated. The problem of calculating climate sensitivity parameters taking into account the cyclone-anticyclone structure of the atmosphere optically dense in the infrared region is considered as an example.     

Acetic acid and acidification accelerate chronological and replicative aging in yeast

Comment on: Murakami C, et al. Cell Cycle 2012; 11:3087-96.     

鄱阳湖生态经济区生态系统服务价值预测与驱动力

鄱阳湖生态经济区是我国第一个上升到国家战略的生态经济区。利用鄱阳湖生态经济区2004、2008、2012、2016年的MODIS数据,获得4个对应期的土地利用/覆盖数据,参照修订的单位面积生态系统服务价值当量表与灰色GM(1,1)模型,预测了2016-2024年(间隔2 a)的生态系统服务价值数据,并对引起生态服系统务价值变化的驱动力进行了分析。结果表明,鄱阳湖生态经济区在2004-2016年间,草地、建设用地和未利用地面积增加,耕地、林地、水域面积减少,但2016-2024年的预测值变化率仅为-0.17%,表明该研究区生态系统服务价值即将进入一个相对稳定的状态;驱动力分析表明,人为综合干扰在空间分布上以中等影响强度干扰为主,城镇化率是区域总生态系统服务价值降低的首要驱动力,其次分别为非农业人口、人口密度、第一产业GDP、第二产业GDP、固定资产投资额、总GDP及第三产业GDP。建议加强土地利用规划与调控,控制城镇化建设用地扩展,调整产业结构、降低污染,促进鄱阳湖生态经济区总生态系统服务价值的提升。     

Technologies for integrating biological data

The process of building a new database relevant to some field of study in biomedicine involves transforming, integrating and cleansing multiple data sources, as well as adding new material and annotations. This paper reviews some of the requirements of a general solution to this data integration problem. Several representative technologies and approaches to data integration in biomedicine are surveyed. Then some interesting features that separate the more general data integration technologies from the more specialised ones are highlighted.     

Synchrony of Seed Dispersal, Hydrology and Local Climate in a Semi-arid River Reach in California

The temporal availability of propagules is a critical factor in sustaining pioneer riparian tree populations along snowmelt-driven rivers because seedling establishment is strongly linked to seasonal hydrology. River regulation in semi-arid regions threatens to decouple seed development and dispersal from the discharge regime to which they evolved. Using the lower Tuolumne River as a model system, we quantified and modeled propagule availability for Populus fremontii (POFR), Salix gooddingii (SAGO), and Salix exigua (SAEX), the tree and shrub species that dominate near-channel riparian stands in the San Joaquin Basin, CA. A degree-day model was fit to field data of seasonal seed density and local temperature from three sites in 2002–2004 to predict the onset of the peak dispersal period. To evaluate historical synchrony of seed dispersal and seasonal river hydrology, we compared peak spring runoff timing to modeled peak seed release periods for the last 75 years. The peak seed release period began on May 15 for POFR (range April 23–June 10), May 30 for SAGO (range May 19–June 11) and May 31 for SAEX (range May 8–June 30). Degree-day models for the onset of seed release reduced prediction error by 40–67% over day-of-year means; the models predicted best the interannual, versus site-to-site, variation in timing. The historical analysis suggests that POFR seed release coincided with peak runoff in almost all years, whereas SAGO and SAEX dispersal occurred during the spring flood recession. The degree-day modeling approach reduce uncertainty in dispersal timing and shows potential for guiding flow releases on regulated rivers to increase riparian tree recruitment at the lowest water cost.     

Plant physiology in theory and practice: An analysis of the WBE model for vascular plants

The theoretical model of West, Brown and Enquist (hereafter WBE) proposed the fractal geometry of the transport system as the origin of the allometric scaling laws observed in nature. The WBE model has either been criticized for some restrictive and biologically unrealistic constraints or its reliability debated on the evidence of empirical tests. In this work, we revised the structure of the WBE model for vascular plants, highlighting some critical assumptions and simplifications and discuss them with regard to empirical evidence from plant anatomy and physiology. We conclude that the WBE model had the distinct merit of shedding light on some important features such as conduit tapering. Nonetheless, it is over-simplistic and a revised model would be desirable with an ontogenetic perspective that takes some important phenomena into account, such as the transformation of the inner sapwood into heartwood and the effect of hydraulic constraints in limiting the growth in height.     

Safety zones for a Sclerotinia sclerotiorum-based mycoherbicide: Accounting for regional and yearly variation in climate

Variation in the width of 'safety zones' for sheep and dairy pasture treated with a Sclerotinia sclerotiorum (Lib.) de Bary-based mycoherbicide was quantified using 10 years of climate data from each of five regions in New Zealand. Acceptable and risk-averse zones were defined as the maximum distances in any direction from a treated pasture where 'added:natural' ratios of air-borne S. sclerotiorum spores are 1:1 and 1:10, respectively. The 10-year mean 1:1 safety zone had zero width for sheep pasture at all locations, and was at most, 50 m wide for dairy pasture. The width of the 10-year mean 1:10 zone varied regionally from 314 to 443 m for sheep and from 175 to 280 m for dairy pasture, and the 90th percentile 1:10 zones were up to 41% wider. Linear relationships between safety zone width and mean wind speed were evident and these could be used to derive region-specific safety zones.     

Poplar genomics is getting popular: the impact of the poplar genome project on tree research

Trees, due to their long life-span, have characteristics that distinguish them from annual, herbaceous plants. It is likely that many of these properties are based on a tree-specific genetic foundation. The U.S. Department of Energy initiated a genome-sequencing project for Populus, a model perennial plant. Through international collaboration and input to the sequencing effort, the annotated whole genome sequence of Populus trichocarpa will be released to the public in early 2004. This genomic resource will, for the first time, allow comparison between a perennial and an annual plant on a whole genome basis and therefore provide clues for molecular research on tree-specific questions like dormancy, development of a secondary cambium, juvenile-mature phase change, or long-term host-pest interactions. The approximately 520 Mbp of annotated genomic sequence will complement and expand the knowledge provided so far by the 125,000 ESTs from poplar that are available in public databases. This article introduces the international poplar research programmes and points out the significance of the poplar genome project for plant research.     

原发性肝癌患者术后癌因性疲乏的影响因素及其预测模型构建

摘要 目的：分析原发性肝癌患者术后癌因性疲乏（CRF）的影响因素并构建预测模型。方法：选取2020年1月～2023年1月湖南师范大学附属第一医院收治接受手术治疗的200例原发性肝癌患者,根据术后3个月是否存在CRF将患者分为CRF组（124例）和非CRF组（76例）。单因素和多因素Logistic回归分析影响原发性肝癌患者术后CRF的因素并构建其预测模型。通过受试者工作特征（ROC）曲线分析预测模型对原发性肝癌患者术后CRF的预测价值。结果：单因素分析显示,CRF组病程长于非CRF组,Child-Pugh分级B级、美国东部肿瘤协作组功能状态（ECOG）评分1～2分、辅助化疗、医疗付费方式自费、抑郁/焦虑比例高于非CRF组,文化程度高中及以上、家庭月收入＞3000元、高度社会支持度比例低于非CRF组（P＜0.05）。多因素Logistic回归分析显示,病程延长、Child-Pugh分级B级、ECOG评分1～2分、辅助化疗、医疗付费方式自费、抑郁/焦虑为影响原发性肝癌患者术后CRF的独立危险因素,家庭月收入＞3000元、高度社会支持为独立保护因素（P＜0.05）。原发性肝癌患者术后CRF的预测模型方程：Logit（P）=P/1-P=-1.252+0.409×病程+0.839×Child-Pugh分级+1.378×ECOG评分+1.055×辅助化疗+1.476×医疗付费方式-0.793×家庭月收入+0.883×抑郁/焦虑-1.260×社会支持度。霍斯默-莱梅肖检验P＞0.05。ROC曲线分析显示,模型预测原发性肝癌患者术后CRF的曲线下面积为0.910,敏感度为87.10%,特异度为85.53%。结论：病程、Child-Pugh分级、ECOG评分、辅助化疗、医疗付费方式、抑郁/焦虑、家庭月收入、社会支持度为影响原发性肝癌患者术后CRF的因素,基于此构建的预测模型对原发性肝癌患者术后CRF的预测价值较高,可能有助于临床早期发现和干预原发性肝癌患者术后CRF,以改善患者预后。     

Assessing differential gene expression with small sample sizes in oligonucleotide arrays using a mean-variance model

The identification of the genes that are differentially expressed in two-sample microarray experiments remains a difficult problem when the number of arrays is very small. We discuss the implications of using ordinary t-statistics and examine other commonly used variants. For oligonucleotide arrays with multiple probes per gene, we introduce a simple model relating the mean and variance of expression, possibly with gene-specific random effects. Parameter estimates from the model have natural shrinkage properties that guard against inappropriately small variance estimates, and the model is used to obtain a differential expression statistic. A limiting value to the positive false discovery rate (pFDR) for ordinary t-tests provides motivation for our use of the data structure to improve variance estimates. Our approach performs well compared to other proposed approaches in terms of the false discovery rate.