A simulation study of three methods for estimating selective values and survival rates from recapture data

The methods ofManly (1973),Manly (1975) andManly (1977) for estimating survival rates and relative survival rates from recapture data have been compared by computer simulation. In the simulations batches of two types of animal were “released” at one point in “time” and recapture samples were taken at “daily” intervals from then on. The various methods of estimation were then used to estimate, the daily survival rates of type 1 and type 2 animals, and also the survival rate of the type 2 animals relative to the type 1 animals. Simulation experiments were designed to examine (a) the bias in estimates, (b) the relative precision of different methods of estimation, (c) the validity of confidence intervals for true parameter values, and (d) the effect on estimates of the failure of certain assumptions.     

How to Use the Two Sample t-Test

This work discusses how two sample t-tests behave when applied to data that may violate the classical statistical assumptions of independence, heteroscedasticity and Gaussianity. The usual two sample t-statistic based on a pooled variance estimate and the Welch-Aspin statistic are treated in detail. Practical “rules-of-thumb” are given along with their applications to various examples so that readers will easily be able to use such tests on their own data sets.     

Sequence stratigraphy and paleo-oceanography of an open-marine mixed carbonate/siliciclastic succession (Late Jurassic,Southern Germany)

Summary The Late Jurassic epicontinental sea of South Germany protruded far to the North forming a wide bay which was rimmed by shallow-water platforms (Swiss and French Jura). This wide shelf is characterized by extensive downslope mud accumulations including siliceous sponge buildups. The bioherms are aligned along the more pericontinental parts of this shelf, which graded to the South into the Helvetic Basin of the Tethys Ocean. Five sedimentary cycles of Oxfordian to Middle Kimmeridgian age (ox. 2–ox. 3, ki.1.–ki.1.2, ki.3, ki.1.3–ki.2.1, ki. 2.1–ki. 2.2) were used for interregional correlation. Each cycle is characterized by a vertical suite from marl to pure limestone. The bases of the marls are characterized by abundant open-marine fossils, glauconite and phosphate (fish teeth and pellets) and interpreted as condensed sections. Deepening is indicated by bioherms changing their growth form before demise from large structures into small isolated buildups, which commonly occur within deeper water. Sequence boundaries, are present at the transition from marl into limestone. Two phases (middle ki. 1.3 and ki. 1/2) of debris-flow deposition, one accompanied by the sudden spreadout of biostromes and basinward shift of bioherms, are interpreted as lowstand phases associated with sequence boundaries. The remaining sedimentary cycles described here lack such lowstand deposits. Instead, corresponding positions in the cycles are characterized by omission features. This problem is still unresolved. It may either be due to sediment trapping on the ramp or to a changing origin of the cycles compared. It is proposed here that highstand sediments, having higher contents of fine-grained siliciclastics than lowstand deposits, formed during a humid and warm climate with high rates of continued runoff and sediment transport. Lowstand deposits consist of pure offbank carbonates, because the associated drier climate reduced fluvial input of terrigenous material. Corresponding patterns of climatic change are also seen in platform sediments from the Swiss Jura Range; however, climatic cycles correlate with eustatic sea level fluctuations in only about 50% of the cases. This misfit may partially result from problems with biostratigraphic correlation (boreal— Tethyan). Small-scale sedimentary cycles with an average duration of 66’000 years (Mutabilis chron, ki. 2) to 95’000 years (Planula chron, ox. 3) provide a tool for detailed stratigraphic correlation in biostromes, small scale lenticular bioherms (1–2 m thickness) and large bedded bioherms (many tens of metres thickness). Interruptions of bioherm growth are due to temporal oxygen deficiency related to plankton blooms. The bathymetrically deepest bioherms-small and lenticular in shape—therefore suffered the highest number of ecological break-downs, whereas massive bioherms continuously remained above the critical level.     

Multi-stage sampling for population estimation

Summary Multi-stage sampling is a convenient technique suited to the desnity estimation of biological populations living in habitats with complicated structures. This paper describes a general method of its application to population estimation in which the preliminary information on the spatial distribution pattern of the population under study can be incorporated as the parameters of the mean crowding-mean relationship. The formulae that are necessary to perform sequential or double sampling plans for its efficient application are derived. The procedure of application of the method is explained with a numerical example. This study was supported by science research fund from the Ministry of Education.     

A mathematical analysis of physiological and morphological aspects of wound closure

A computational algorithm to study the evolution of complex wound morphologies is developed based on a model of wound closure by cell mitosis and migration due to Adam [Math Comput Model 30(5–6):23–32, 1999]. A detailed analysis of the model provides estimated values for the incubation and healing times. Furthermore, a set of inequalities are defined which demarcate conditions of complete, partial and non-healing. Numerical results show a significant delay in the healing progress whenever diffusion of the epidermic growth factor responsible for cell mitosis is slower than cell migration. Results for general wound morphologies show that healing is always initiated at regions with high curvatures and that the evolution of the wound is very sensitive to physiological parameters.      

Developmental and environmental factors affecting level of self-incompatibility response in <Emphasis Type="Italic">Brassica rapa</Emphasis> L.

We performed artificial self-pollination throughout the period of sexual reproduction in six inbred lines of Brassica rapa, a plant with sporophytic self-incompatibility (SI). The level of SI changed between each pollination date in all lines, suggesting the effects of both internal and external factors. To further investigate the potential factors affecting the changes in the level of SI, multiple regression was performed, with plant line, seeding date, and temperature and humidity on the day of pollination (external factors) and plant age (internal factor) as explanatory variables. The factors affecting the change in the level of SI differed between the lines, and temperature and plant age had especially large effects. The level of SI was reduced by maximum temperatures >24°C on the pollination day, but this effect was no longer significant at maximum temperatures >28°C. High temperatures before flowering also influenced the reduction of SI. The level of SI was particularly reduced at plant age 0.75 (i.e., the last quarter of the flowering period), and a significant positive interaction between average temperature and plant age was found. This is the first study to quantify the change in the level of SI in plants across the entire period of sexual reproduction and to analyze the relationship between the change in rate of seed set and various external and internal factors.     

Depositional system and response to sea level oscillations of the senonian rudist-bearing carbonate shelves. Examples from central Mediterranean areas

Summary  In the Late Cretaceous the carbonate platforms modified the organization of their depositional systems owing to vast and complex geologic events. In this view, detailed analyses have been made on Senonian shelf-to-slope rudist-bearing limestones resting on pre-Coniacian erosive surfaces or slope facies in the Nurra region (northwestern Sardinia, Italy), in the central-southern Apennines and in the Gargano area (central-southern Italy). The main characteristic of the analyzed deposits is the spreading of rudists in a context of foramol-type calcite-dominated benthonic sediment-producer communities. The reconstructed Senonian depositional environments match a large complex of unprotected shelves that produced loose, diagenetically stable mollusc-dominated bioclastic debris which were not involved in significantin situ cementation processes. High energy episodes led to repeated and more or less total remobilization of the sedimentary sheet. On the shelves, both storm- and wind-induced currents and waves exercised a strong driving control on the sedimentary arrangement of the shifting biogenic sediments. The latter constituted large coalescing sheets of winnowed, loose, fine-to-coarse skeletal sands. Sandy sediments were easily involved in remobilization processes across the shelves toward the redepositional sites. Transport modality largely depended on the granular composition of the sediments. The early and almost continuous sweeping of the finer fraction (bioeroded-derived silt) resulted in an effective pre-sorting of the skeletal debris stored in the Senonian open shelf settings.In situ preservation potentiality of the produced skeletal material was low and huge amounts of sands may have concurred in forming slope aprons. In the studied successions a two-stage evolution is documented during the Senonian.