Can occupancy patterns be used to predict distributions in widely separated geographic regions?

Occupancy models, that describe the presence and absence patterns of a species in a given area, are increasingly being used to predict the occurrence of the species in unsurveyed sites, as an aid to conservation planning. In this paper, we consider whether conclusions about local distributions derived from one landscape can be extrapolated to others. We found that habitat patchiness influenced the distribution and abundance of the host-specific moth Wheeleria spilodactylus in a similar way in two landscapes widely separated geographically. In both geographic regions, the spatial location (positive effect of connectivity), and quantity of resource (positive effect of host plant density) increased the likelihood that the moth would be present, consistent with the expectations of metapopulation dynamics. Though some biological attributes of the species appeared to be slightly different, including population density and the timing of the life cycle (phenology), occupancy patterns in one landscape accurately predict occupancy in the other landscape. Our results suggest that it maybe possible to make predictions from one landscape to another, even when the landscapes are widely separated.     

Genetic population structure and call variation in a passerine bird, the satin bowerbird, Ptilonorhynchus violaceus

Geographic variation in vocalizations is widespread in passerine birds, but its origins and maintenance remain unclear. One hypothesis to explain this variation is that it is associated with geographic isolation among populations and therefore should follow a vicariant pattern similar to that typically found in neutral genetic markers. Alternatively, if environmental selection strongly influences vocalizations, then genetic divergence and vocal divergence may be disassociated. This study compared genetic divergence derived from 11 microsatellite markers with a metric of phenotypic divergence derived from male bower advertisement calls. Data were obtained from 16 populations throughout the entire distribution of the satin bowerbird, an Australian wet-forest-restricted passerine. There was no relationship between call divergence and genetic divergence, similar to most other studies on birds with learned vocalizations. Genetic divergence followed a vicariant model of evolution, with the differentiation of isolated populations and isolation-by-distance among continuous populations. Previous work on Ptilonorhynchus violaceus has shown that advertisement call structure is strongly influenced by the acoustic environment of different habitats. Divergence in vocalizations among genetically related populations in different habitats indicates that satin bowerbirds match their vocalizations to the environment in which they live, despite the homogenizing influence of gene flow. In combination with convergence of vocalizations among genetically divergent populations occurring in the same habitat, this shows the overriding importance that habitat-related selection can have on the establishment and maintenance of variation in vocalizations.     

The role of temperature in determining distributions and coexistence of three species of Plestiodon

The Common Five-Lined Skink (Plestiodon fasciatus), Southeastern Five-Lined Skink (P. inexpectatus), and Broadheaded Skink (P. laticeps) are all found in forested ecosystems of the southeastern United States and occur in apparent sympatry. No aspect of their ecology has been quantitatively shown to be different. Differences in their natural history, such as northern extent of geographic range, observations of differences in habitat preference, and differing physiological responses to temperature, implicate the thermal environment as a potential niche dimension by which these organisms partition resources. Here we show that the northernmost extent of each species' range can be adequately discriminated by temperature extremes and that their preferred habitats differ in canopy cover, mean temperature, and daily maximum temperatures. These differences are supported by observations in the field. Based upon these findings and observations, we conclude that these species may be able to exist in such close proximity due to differences in their thermal niche, particularly the two like-sized species, P. fasciatus and P. inexpectatus. P. laticeps is a much larger lizard as an adult and functionally coexists with its congeners, potentially by partitioning resources along a different axis.     

Natural selection. IV. The Price equation

The Price equation partitions total evolutionary change into two components. The first component provides an abstract expression of natural selection. The second component subsumes all other evolutionary processes, including changes during transmission. The natural selection component is often used in applications. Those applications attract widespread interest for their simplicity of expression and ease of interpretation. Those same applications attract widespread criticism by dropping the second component of evolutionary change and by leaving unspecified the detailed assumptions needed for a complete study of dynamics. Controversies over approximation and dynamics have nothing to do with the Price equation itself, which is simply a mathematical equivalence relation for total evolutionary change expressed in an alternative form. Disagreements about approach have to do with the tension between the relative valuation of abstract versus concrete analyses. The Price equation's greatest value has been on the abstract side, particularly the invariance relations that illuminate the understanding of natural selection. Those abstract insights lay the foundation for applications in terms of kin selection, information theory interpretations of natural selection and partitions of causes by path analysis. I discuss recent critiques of the Price equation by Nowak and van Veelen.     

A GIS-based simulation program to predict multi-species size-structure dynamics for natural forests in Hokkaido, northern Japan

A simulation program that runs on a geographic information system (GIS) was developed to predict the multi-species size-structure dynamics of forest stands. Because important characteristics of a forest stand, including woody biomass accumulation, carbon storage, commercial value of timber, and functions for environmental conservation, can be inferred from the size structures of the component populations, management plans can be made from the predictions of the size-structure dynamics. For example, the simulation can incorporate various forms of thinning; forest managers can then try several thinning plans in simulated forest stands and choose the appropriate plan that achieves the best results. Using GIS to predict the size-structure dynamics of forest stands is of practical importance, because GIS has been used widely in forest management and can easily handle spatial distributions of environmental information (e.g., climate, geology, soils) that may influence tree performance. To predict size-structure dynamics, the program numerically solves a continuum equation that describes size-structure dynamics based on growth and mortality rates of individual trees. When predicting size-structure dynamics of a forest stand, the program obtains the environmental information of the stand from a database stored in the GIS and calculates environmental factors such as warmth index and potential evapotranspiration/precipitation ratio that influence growth and mortality rates. The simulation program calculates growth and mortality rates using published growth and mortality models that incorporate the effects of size of the individual, competition between trees, and abiotic environmental factors. To demonstrate the effects of abiotic environmental factors on the multi-species size-structure dynamics, sensitivity analyses were conducted. The size-structure dynamics varied in a way that was predictable from the responses of the growth and mortality rates to variations in the abiotic environmental factors. To demonstrate the size-structure dynamics in different locations, five test runs of the simulation program were also performed using the same initial size-structure and five different sets of abiotic environmental conditions from five locations. At the end of the simulation, the predicted size structures differed because the growth and mortality rates differed among the five locations. Finally, the response of the size structure to thinning was clarified. The result showed how the size structure of a component species in a forest stand is dependent on the presence of other species.     

Inheritance of leaf geranylflavanone production and seed production within and among chemically distinct populations of Mimulus aurantiacus

Most models to account for variation in defensive chemical production in plants assume that defensive chemical production is a quantitative trait determined by the additive effects of many genes, and that defensive chemical production is genetically negatively correlated with fitness. The inheritance of quantities of geranylflavanones and seed production, an estimate of female fitness, was studied in reciprocal crosses between several chemically distinct populations of Mimulus aurantiacus to test those assumptions. Genetic analyses using reciprocal crosses were used to test for maternal or paternal genetic effects. The quantities of individual geranylflavanones of the hybrids generally were inherited with dominance or over-dominance. Reciprocal genetic effects were rarely found. Within populations, leaf resin production in M. aurantiacus was independent of seed production. Results are consistent with previous reports suggesting that any evolutionary change in geranylflavanone production within populations may be constrained by low levels of genetic variation in geranylflavanone production.     

Diversity and geographic distribution of benthic foraminifera: a molecular perspective

The diversity and distribution of modern benthic foraminifera has been extensively studied in order to aid the paleoecological interpretation of their fossil record. Traditionally, foraminiferal species are identified based on morphological characters of their organic, agglutinated or calcareous tests. Recently, however, new molecular techniques based on analysis of DNA sequences have been introduced to study the genetic variation in foraminifera. Although the number of species for which DNA sequence data exist is still very limited, it appears that morphology-based studies largely underestimated foraminiferal diversity. Here, we present two examples of the use of DNA sequences to examine the diversity of benthic foraminifera. The first case deals with molecular and morphological variations in the well-known and common calcareous genus Ammonia. The second case presents molecular diversity in the poorly documented group of monothalamous (single-chambered) foraminifera. Both examples perfectly illustrate high cryptic diversity revealed in almost all molecular studies. Molecular results also confirm that the majority of foraminiferal species have a restricted geographic distribution and that globally distributed species are rare. This is in opposition to the theory that biogeography has no impact on the diversity of small-sized eukaryotes. At least in the case of foraminifera, size does not seem to have a main impact on dispersal capacities. However, the factors responsible for the dispersal of foraminiferal species and the extension of their geographic ranges remain largely unknown. Special Issue: Protist diversity and geographic distribution. Guest editor: W. Foissner.     

Morphological relationships among populations in the Sorex caecutiens/shinto group (Eulipotyphla, Soricidae) in East Asia, with a description of a new subspecies from Cheju Island, Korea

We investigated the morphological relationships among eight populations of Sorex caecutiens/shinto group in East Asia using 11 cranial and dental characters and four external characters. Univariate and multivariate analyses of these characters failed to distinguish S. caecutiens and S. shinto. Morphological characters were, in fact, continuous between populations. Sorex shinto from Honshu was similar to S. caecutiens from the Korean peninsula and Primorye in skull dimensions and to S. caecutiens from Hokkaido-Sakhalin in external dimensions. Sorex caecutiens from Cheju Island is morphologically similar to S. shinto from Sado and Shikoku islands. These three insular populations were characterized by having large body sizes. Sorex caecutiens from Cheju was the largest of the S. caecutiens/shinto group in East Asia. This shrew from Cheju was classified definitively as S. caecutiens on DNA data, but has a unique morphology among S. caecutiens populations in East Asia. We therefore regard this Sorex shrew on Cheju Island as a new subspecies of S. caecutiens and designate it S. c. hallamontanus Abe and Oh.     

A spatio‐temporal framework for efficient inventories of natural resources: A case study with submersed macrophytes

Questions: Does a reduced nutrient load in open water increase species richness and the importance of regional and local site characteristics for species abundance and spatial distribution? Can we build lake‐specific models of macrophyte abundance and distribution based on site characteristics in order to prepare a cost‐efficient framework for future surveys? Location: Lake Constance, 47°39′N, 9°18′E. Methods: Generalized additive models (GAMs) were used to predict the potential distributions of eight species and overall species richness. Submersed macrophyte distribution in 1993 was compared with corresponding data from 1978, when eutrophication was at its maximum. Results: Spatial predictions for eight species and overall species richness were relatively accurate and independent of water chemistry. Depth was confirmed as a main predictor of species distribution, while effective fetch distance was retained in many models. Mineralogical variables of sediment composition represent allogenic and autogenic sediment sources and their east‐west gradient in Lake Constance corresponded to east‐west gradients of species distribution and richness. GAMs appeared more efficient than generalized linear models (GLMs) for modelling species responses to environmental gradients. Conclusions: Reduced trophic status increases species richness and the importance of regional and local site characteristics for species abundance and distribution. Our models represent a spatio‐temporal framework for future lake monitoring purposes and allow the development of effective monitoring; this could be generalized for many ecosystem types and would be particularly efficient for large lakes such as Lake Constance.     

Spatial and temporal analyses of water quality and phytoplankton biomass in an urbanized versus a relatively pristine salt marsh estuary

The robust growth of coastal communities in the southeastern United States is putting unique pressures on estuarine resources. Urbanization of estuarine systems may alter ecosystem function and thus affect the spatial scale and magnitude of nutrient concentrations and primary production temporally and spatially. We examined the spatial and temporal patterns of nutrient and chlorophyll a (Chl a) concentrations in two shallow well-mixed estuaries, (1) a developed estuary, Murrells Inlet (MI), South Carolina, and (2) a relatively pristine estuary, North Inlet (NI), South Carolina. The summer chlorophyll a maximum in MI was characteristically higher than in NI, which may be indicative of eutrophication. Correlations between salinity and inorganic nutrients (N and P) suggest that nutrient import from upland sources may be more pronounced in MI during stochastic precipitation events. Although inorganic nutrient concentrations between the estuaries were similar overall, during a wet period, inorganic N concentration in MI was increased to a greater extent than in NI, while only minimal increases in inorganic P were observed in both estuaries. Chlorophyll a concentrations decreased from the dry to wet period. Geographic Information System (GIS) plots of intensive spatial sampling in MI indicated spatial gradients of nutrient concentrations within this estuary that appeared to be consistent over time. These observations were investigated in more detail using regression analyses to examine the influences of coastal dilution and nutrient sources on relationships between water quality constituents. Results indicate the importance of stochastic rain events in affecting the linkages of estuarine processes to upland runoff in the urbanized estuary, MI.