Estimation of population attributable fractions from fitted incidence ratios and exposure survey data, with an application to electromagnetic fields and childhood leukemia

Standard presentations of epidemiological results focus on incidence-ratio estimates derived from regression models fit to specialized study data. These data are often highly nonrepresentative of populations for which public-health impacts must be evaluated. Basic methods are provided for interval estimation of attributable fractions from model-based incidence-ratio estimates combined with independent survey estimates of the exposure distribution in the target population of interest. These methods are illustrated in estimation of the potential impact of magnetic-field exposures on childhood leukemia in the United States, based on pooled data from 11 case-control studies and a U.S. sample survey of magnetic-field exposures.     

Generalized estimating equations for ordinal categorical data: arbitrary patterns of missing responses and missingness in a key covariate

We propose methods for regression analysis of repeatedly measured ordinal categorical data when there is nonmonotone missingness in these responses and when a key covariate is missing depending on observables. The methods use ordinal regression models in conjunction with generalized estimating equations (GEEs). We extend the GEE methodology to accommodate arbitrary patterns of missingness in the responses when this missingness is independent of the unobserved responses. We further extend the methodology to provide correction for possible bias when missingness in knowledge of a key covariate may depend on observables. The approach is illustrated with the analysis of data from a study in diagnostic oncology in which multiple correlated receiver operating characteristic curves are estimated and corrected for possible verification bias when the true disease status is missing depending on observables.     

水葫芦苗(Halerpestes cymbalaris)的生长特征研究

以调查统计的方法在中国科学院海北定位站研究了高寒湿地植物水葫芦苗无性系的生长特征、形态特征以及能量分配规律。结果表明：匍匐茎只有1条的水葫芦苗最多,占35．29％,匍匐茎有4条的水葫芦苗只占8．82％。同一水葫芦苗无性系中,随着匍匐茎数目的增多,分株数、间隔子数、茎总长和匍匐茎比节问重变小。分株一般在第一级最高,末级较低;第1条匍匐茎的间隔子较长。随水葫芦苗匍匐茎数目的增多,用于无性繁殖的分株干重比例逐渐增加,用于有性繁殖的花的干重比例下降。水葫芦苗无性系这种生长特征、形态特征以及能量分配规律是其生物—生态学特性和所处高寒湿地生境共同决定的。     

The effect of density-dependent treatment and behavior change on the dynamics of HIV transmission

In this work, we propose a model for heterosexual transmission of HIV/AIDS in a population of varying size with an intervention program in which treatment and/or behavior change of the infecteds occur as an increasing function of the density of the infected class in the population. This assumption has socio-economic implications which is important for public health considerations since density-dependent treatment/behavior change may be more cost-saving than a program where treatment/behavior change occurs linearly with respect to the number of infecteds. We will make use of the conservation law of total sexual contacts which enables us to reduce the two-sex model to a simpler one-sex formulation. Analytical results will be given. Unlike a similar model with linear treatment/behavior change in Hsieh (1996) where conditions were obtained for the eradication of disease, we will show that density-dependent treatment/behavior change cannot eradicate the disease if the disease is able to persist without any treatment/behavior change. This work demonstrates the need to further understand how treatment/behavior change occurs in a society with varying population.     

Identification of taxonomic and epidemiological relationships among Campylobacter species by numerical analysis of AFLP profiles

Amplified fragment length polymorphism (AFLP)-based profiling was performed on 138 strains representing all named Campylobacter species and subspecies. Profiles of 15/16 species comprised 6 to greater than 100 fragments and were subjected to numerical analysis. The mean similarity of 48 duplicate, outbreak and/or 'identical' strain profiles exceeded 94%. Species were clearly distinguished at the 17.90% similarity (S-) level in the dendrogram. Subspecies of Campylobacter jejuni and Campylobacter hyointestinalis, and biovars of Campylobacter lari and Campylobacter sputorum were distinguished at higher S-levels. All outbreak or 'genetically identical' strains of C. jejuni subsp. jejuni, Campylobacter coli, C. hyointestinalis and C. sputorum clustered at S-levels >92% and were distinguished from unrelated strains. Numerical analysis of AFLP profiles is useful for concurrent identification of taxonomic and epidemiological relationships among most Campylobacter species.     

乐陵金丝小枣区生态环境地质特征

乐陵金丝小枣区生态环境地质研究表明,层状沉积的河流相及其变异体,心、底土层层位为壤质、粘壤质的土体构型,以不稳定原生矿物为主的土壤,中性或微碱性的重碳酸盐型地球化学环境,钾素丰富、理化性状良好的潮土、褐土化潮土、盐化潮土为该枣区生态环境地质特征的重要标志．对枣生长发育适宜区进行了划分．     

The DiversiLab system versus pulsed-field gel electrophoresis: Characterisation of extended spectrum β-lactamase producing Escherichia coli and Klebsiella pneumoniae

Fast and reliable epidemiological typing methods for identifying outbreaks and epidemic strains of extended spectrum β-lactamase (ESBL) producing Enterobacteriaceae are urgently needed. The DiversiLab system (DL) has been proposed for these purposes. We compared DL to pulsed-field gel electrophoresis (PFGE) on a national collection of ESBL-producing Escherichia coli (n = 258; of which 226 isolates were typeable with PFGE) and Klebsiella pneumoniae (n = 48) isolated in 2007. For E. coli the Wallace coefficients showed that the probability of two isolates of the same DL type having the same PFGE type was only 19.8% and the probability of two isolates of the same PFGE type having the same DL type was 90.4%. For K. pneumoniae the Wallace coefficients showed that the probability of two isolates of the same DL type having the same PFGE type was 100% and the probability of two isolates of the same PFGE type having the same DL type was 79%, indicating that for this K. pneumoniae strain collection DL was slightly more discriminatory. Only four of 48 isolates had discordant results with the two methods. In E. coli 42% of the isolates were sequence type 131 and these isolates were related at > 95% similarity with DL and at ≥ 60% similarity with PFGE. In summary, for E. coli DL performed well in identifying isolates related by PFGE, but overestimated the genetic relatedness in the studied collection. This indicates that DL could be a primary screening method for excluding unrelated isolates. Isolates shown to be related must be confirmed with a more discriminatory method. For K. pneumoniae, DL discriminated well but overestimated the diversity of the isolates compared to PFGE, assuming a risk of missing possible genetic relatedness.     

海金沙配子体形态学特征的新观察

海金沙[Lygodium japonicum(Thunb)Sw.]是常见的药用蕨类之一。在人工培养条件下,利用光学显微镜详细观察其配子体发育的过程。在前人工作的基础上,补充了丝状体较短,2~3细胞长,片状体和幼原叶体发育多样,成熟原叶体心形,具单细胞或两细胞的毛状体,单细胞的假根,内含叶绿体或根尖膨大等,从海金沙配子体特征看说明其为系统进化的中间类群。孢子人工培养得到大量的海金沙幼孢子体,为保护性开发利用该资源奠定基础。     

中国腹茧症15年流行病学特征

目的:探讨中国近15年腹茧症的流行病学特征和诊疗经验.方法:总结中国1994年1月-2009年1月问的腹茧症文献资料.结果:中国近15年共报道903例腹茧症,男女比例为1:1.35,平均年龄33.14岁,51.7%分布在华东地区,90.5%以不同表现形式的肠梗阻为主要表现,70.5%属于弥漫型腹茧症,40.2%患者无大网膜,手术以包膜切除为主.结论:腹茧症主要分布在华东地区,术前诊断困难,切除包膜和松解粘连是治疗本病的有效方法.     

海洋细菌E18菌株的生物学特性及其蓝紫色素稳定性的研究

从海泥中分离获得一株海洋细菌Ｅ18菌株,发现其具有稳定产生蓝紫色素的特性。对该菌的形态特征、培养特征及生理生化特征进行了研究。对该菌的分子鉴定结果表明,该菌为假交替单胞菌属细菌。萃取该菌的色素,并试验光、紫外线、热、pH、氧化剂及还原剂对该色素的影响,结果表明：该色素的最大吸收峰为579nm,紫外光对其稳定性无影响,但自然光对其有一定的消色作用。60℃～80℃温度范围对色素有一定的增色作用,而90℃以上高温可使色素消色。色素在pH3～9区域内稳定。色素对还原剂Na₂SO₃较为稳定, 而高浓度的氧化剂H₂O₂可使色素改变颜色。