On the estimation of insect population by time unit collecting

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Contributions from the Entomological Laboratory, Kyoto University, No. 230.     

Use of the Gibbs Sampler to Obtain Conditional Tests, with Applications

A random sample is drawn from a distribution which admits aminimal sufficient statistic for the parameters. The Gibbs sampleris proposed to generate samples, called conditionally sufficientor co-sufficient samples, from the conditional distributionof the sample given its value of the sufficient statistic. Theprocedure is illustrated for the gamma distribution. Co-sufficientsamples may be used to give exact tests of fit; for the gammadistribution these are compared for size and power with approximatetests based on the parametric bootstrap.     

Hierarchical Bayesian Estimation for the Number of Species

This paper is concerned with the estimation of the number of species in a population through a fully hierarchical Bayesian model using the Metropolis algorithm. The proposed Bayesian estimator is based on Poisson random variables with means that are distributed according to some prior distributions with unknown hyperparameters. An empirical Bayes approach is considered and compared with the fully Bayesian approach based on biological data.     

Bayesian Construction of an Improved Parametric Test for Probability‐Based Individual Bioequivalence

Assuming a lognormally distributed measure of bioavailability, individual bioequivalence is defined as originally proposed by Anderson and Hauck (1990) and Wellek (1990; 1993). For the posterior probability of the associated statistical hypothesis with respect to a noninformative reference prior, a numerically efficient algorithm is constructed which serves as the building block of a procedure for computing exact rejection probabilities of the Bayesian test under arbitrary parameter constellations. By means of this tool, the Bayesian test can be shown to maintain the significance level without being over‐conservative and to yield gains in power of up to 30% as compared to the distribution‐free procedure which gained some popularity under the name TIER. Moreover, it is shown that the Bayesian construction also allows scaling of the probability‐based criterion with respect to the proportion of subjects exhibiting bioequivalent responses to repeated administrations of the reference formulation of the drug under study.     

Bayesian Inference for the Ratio of the Means of Two Normal Populations with Unequal Variances

The problem of making inferences about the ratio of two normal means has been addressed, both from the frequentist and Bayesian perspectives, by several authors. Most of this work is concerned with the homoscedastic case. In contrast, the situation where the variances are not equal has received little attention. Cox (1985) deals, within the frequentist framework, with a model where the variances are related to the means. His results are mainly based on Fieller's theorem whose drawbacks are well known. In this paper we present a Bayesian analysis of this model and discuss some related problems. An agronomical example is used throughout to illustrate the methods.