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131.
132.
On nonparametric multivariate binary discrimination 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
133.
Heiko Götte Marietta Kirchner Meinhard Kieser 《Biometrical journal. Biometrische Zeitschrift》2020,62(3):627-642
Defining the target population based on predictive biomarkers plays an important role during clinical development. After establishing a relationship between a biomarker candidate and response to treatment in exploratory phases, a subsequent confirmatory trial ideally involves only subjects with high potential of benefiting from the new compound. In order to identify those subjects in case of a continuous biomarker, a cut-off is needed. Usually, a cut-off is chosen that resulted in a subgroup with a large observed treatment effect in an exploratory trial. However, such a data-driven selection may lead to overoptimistic expectations for the subsequent confirmatory trial. Treatment effect estimates, probability of success, and posterior probabilities are useful measures for deciding whether or not to conduct a confirmatory trial enrolling the biomarker-defined population. These measures need to be adjusted for selection bias. We extend previously introduced Approximate Bayesian Computation techniques for adjustment of subgroup selection bias to a time-to-event setting with cut-off selection. Challenges in this setting are that treatment effects become time-dependent and that subsets are defined by the biomarker distribution. Simulation studies show that the proposed method provides adjusted statistical measures which are superior to naïve Maximum Likelihood estimators as well as simple shrinkage estimators. 相似文献
134.
Diego I. Gallardo;Márcia Brandão;Jeremias Leão;Marcelo Bourguignon;Vinicius Calsavara; 《Biometrical journal. Biometrische Zeitschrift》2024,66(6):e202300257
We introduce a new modelling for long-term survival models, assuming that the number of competing causes follows a mixture of Poisson and the Birnbaum-Saunders distribution. In this context, we present some statistical properties of our model and demonstrate that the promotion time model emerges as a limiting case. We delve into detailed discussions of specific models within this class. Notably, we examine the expected number of competing causes, which depends on covariates. This allows for direct modeling of the cure rate as a function of covariates. We present an Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm for parameter estimation, to discuss the estimation via maximum likelihood (ML) and provide insights into parameter inference for this model. Additionally, we outline sufficient conditions for ensuring the consistency and asymptotic normal distribution of ML estimators. To evaluate the performance of our estimation method, we conduct a Monte Carlo simulation to provide asymptotic properties and a power study of LR test by contrasting our methodology against the promotion time model. To demonstrate the practical applicability of our model, we apply it to a real medical dataset from a population-based study of incidence of breast cancer in São Paulo, Brazil. Our results illustrate that the proposed model can outperform traditional approaches in terms of model fitting, highlighting its potential utility in real-world scenarios. 相似文献
135.
Aleksandra Margetić David Nannemann Jens Meiler Daniel Huster Stephan Theisgen 《生物化学与生物物理学报:生物膜》2014
GCAPs are neuronal Ca2 +-sensors playing a central role in light adaptation. GCAPs are N-terminally myristoylated membrane-associated proteins. Although, the myristoylation of GCAPs plays an important role in light adaptation its structural and physiological roles are not yet clearly understood. The crystal-structure of GCAP-1 shows the myristoyl moiety inside the hydrophobic core of the protein, stabilizing the protein structure; but 2H-solid-state NMR investigations on the deuterated myristoyl moiety of GCAP-2 in the presence of liposomes showed that it is inserted into the lipid bilayer. In this study, we address the question of the localization of the myristoyl group of Ca2 +-bound GCAP-2, and the influence of CHAPS-, DPC-micelles and DMPC/DHPC-bicelles on the structure, and on the localization of the myristoyl group, of GCAP-2 by solution-state NMR. We also carried out the backbone assignment. Characteristic chemical shift differences have been observed between the myristoylated and the non-myristoylated forms of the protein. Our results support the view that in the absence of membrane forming substances the myristoyl moiety is buried inside a hydrophobic pocket of GCAP-2 similar to the crystal structure of GCAP-1. Addition of CHAPS-micelles and DMPC/DHPC-bicelles cause specific structural changes localized in and around the myristoyl binding pocket. We interpret these changes as an indication for the extrusion of the myristoyl moiety from its binding pocket and its insertion into the hydrophobic interior of the membrane mimic. On the basis of the backbone chemical shifts, we propose a structural model of myristoylated GCAP-2 in the presence of Ca2 + and membrane mimetics. 相似文献
136.
M. WILLIAMS R. BELL L. SPADAVECCHIA L. E. STREET M. T. VAN WIJK† 《Global Change Biology》2008,14(7):1517-1530
Monitoring and understanding global change requires a detailed focus on upscaling, the process for extrapolating from the site‐specific scale to the smallest scale resolved in regional or global models or earth observing systems. Leaf area index (LAI) is one of the most sensitive determinants of plant production and can vary by an order of magnitude over short distances. The landscape distribution of LAI is generally determined by remote sensing of surface reflectance (e.g. normalized difference vegetation index, NDVI) but the mismatch in scales between ground and satellite measurements complicates LAI upscaling. Here, we describe a series of measurements to quantify the spatial distribution of LAI in a sub‐Arctic landscape and then describe the upscaling process and its associated errors. Working from a fine‐scale harvest LAI–NDVI relationship, we collected NDVI data over a 500 m × 500 m catchment in the Swedish Arctic, at resolutions from 0.2 to 9.0 m in a nested sampling design. NDVI scaled linearly, so that NDVI at any scale was a simple average of multiple NDVI measurements taken at finer scales. The LAI–NDVI relationship was scale invariant from 1.5 to 9.0 m resolution. Thus, a single exponential LAI–NDVI relationship was valid at all these scales, with similar prediction errors. Vegetation patches were of a scale of ~0.5 m and at measurement scales coarser than this, there was a sharp drop in LAI variance. Landsat NDVI data for the study catchment correlated significantly, but poorly, with ground‐based measurements. A variety of techniques were used to construct LAI maps, including interpolation by inverse distance weighting, ordinary Kriging, External Drift Kriging using Landsat data, and direct estimation from a Landsat NDVI–LAI calibration. All methods produced similar LAI estimates and overall errors. However, Kriging approaches also generated maps of LAI estimation error based on semivariograms. The spatial variability of this Arctic landscape was such that local measurements assimilated by Kriging approaches had a limited spatial influence. Over scales >50 m, interpolation error was of similar magnitude to the error in the Landsat NDVI calibration. The characterisation of LAI spatial error in this study is a key step towards developing spatio‐temporal data assimilation systems for assessing C cycling in terrestrial ecosystems by combining models with field and remotely sensed data. 相似文献
137.
Sinha SK Troxel AB Lipsitz SR Sinha D Fitzmaurice GM Molenberghs G Ibrahim JG 《Biometrics》2011,67(3):1119-1126
For analyzing longitudinal binary data with nonignorable and nonmonotone missing responses, a full likelihood method is complicated algebraically, and often requires intensive computation, especially when there are many follow-up times. As an alternative, a pseudolikelihood approach has been proposed in the literature under minimal parametric assumptions. This formulation only requires specification of the marginal distributions of the responses and missing data mechanism, and uses an independence working assumption. However, this estimator can be inefficient for estimating both time-varying and time-stationary effects under moderate to strong within-subject associations among repeated responses. In this article, we propose an alternative estimator, based on a bivariate pseudolikelihood, and demonstrate in simulations that the proposed method can be much more efficient than the previous pseudolikelihood obtained under the assumption of independence. We illustrate the method using longitudinal data on CD4 counts from two clinical trials of HIV-infected patients. 相似文献
138.
139.
Phenology model from surface meteorology does not capture satellite-based greenup estimations 总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4
Seasonal temperature change in temperate forests is known to trigger the start of spring growth, and both interannual and spatial variations in spring onset have been tied to climatic variability. Satellite dates are increasingly being used in phenology studies, but to date that has been little effort to link remotely sensed phenology to surface climate records. In this research, we use a two‐parameter spring warming phenology model to explore the relationship between climate and satellite‐based phenology. We employ daily air temperature records between 2000 and 2005 for 171 National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration weather stations located throughout New England to construct spring warming models predicting the onset of spring, as defined by the date of half‐maximum greenness (D50) in deciduous forests as detected from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectrometer. The best spring warming model starts accumulating temperatures after March 20th and when average daily temperatures exceed 5°C. The accumulated heat sums [heating degree day (HDD)] required to reach D50 range from 150 to 300 degree days over New England, with the highest requirements to the south and in coastal regions. We test the ability of the spring warming model to predict phenology against a null photoperiod model (average date of onset). The spring warming model offers little improvement on the null model when predicting D50. Differences between the efficacies of the two models are expressed as the ‘climate sensitivity ratio’ (CSR), which displays coherent spatial patterns. Our results suggest that northern (beech‐maple‐birch) and central (oak‐hickory) hardwood forests respond to climate differently, particularly with disparate requirements for the minimum temperature necessary to begin spring growth (3 and 6°C, respectively). We conclude that spatial location and species composition are critical factors for predicting the phenological response to climate change: satellite observations cannot be linked directly to temperature variability if species or community compositions are unknown. 相似文献
140.
Performance of a clonal species in patchy environments: effects of environmental context on yield at local and whole-plant scales 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Yield of the clonal plant Glechoma hederacea was compared at different spatial scales, in heterogeneous and homogeneous environments providing the same amount of nutrients.
For the heterogeneous treatments, environments were created with different patch sizes and different degrees of contrast in
nutrient concentration between patches of different quality. Total clone yield differed by almost 2.5-fold across treatments,
being highest in environments with large patches and high contrast, lowest in environments with small patches and high contrast,
and intermediate under homogeneous conditions. Compared with plants in homogeneous conditions, there were significant increases
or decreases in yield at all scales of measurement in many of the heterogeneous treatments. These effects on yield reflected
a combination of local responses to growing conditions and modification of these responses due to physiological integration
with other parts of the plant growing in contrasting conditions, supporting the proposal of de Kroon et al. (2005 New Phytol 166:73–82). The results show that plant yield at all scales is strongly dependent on environmental context, and
that maximum yield can only be realized under a limited range of heterogeneous conditions. 相似文献