Assessing Statistical Significance in Microarray Experiments Using the Distance Between Microarrays

We propose permutation tests based on the pairwise distances between microarrays to compare location, variability, or equivalence of gene expression between two populations. For these tests the entire microarray or some pre-specified subset of genes is the unit of analysis. The pairwise distances only have to be computed once so the procedure is not computationally intensive despite the high dimensionality of the data. An R software package, permtest, implementing the method is freely available from the Comprehensive R Archive Network at http://cran.r-project.org.     

Enrichment and Stratification for Predementia Alzheimer Disease Clinical Trials

The tau and amyloid pathobiological processes underlying Alzheimer disease (AD) progresses slowly over periods of decades before clinical manifestation as mild cognitive impairment (MCI), then more rapidly to dementia, and eventually to end-stage organ failure. The failure of clinical trials of candidate disease modifying therapies to slow disease progression in patients already diagnosed with early AD has led to increased interest in exploring the possibility of early intervention and prevention trials, targeting MCI and cognitively healthy (HC) populations. Here, we stratify MCI individuals based on cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) biomarkers and structural atrophy risk factors for the disease. We also stratify HC individuals into risk groups on the basis of CSF biomarkers for the two hallmark AD pathologies. Results show that the broad category of MCI can be decomposed into subsets of individuals with significantly different average regional atrophy rates. By thus selectively identifying individuals, combinations of these biomarkers and risk factors could enable significant reductions in sample size requirements for clinical trials of investigational AD-modifying therapies, and provide stratification mechanisms to more finely assess response to therapy. Power is sufficiently high that detecting efficacy in MCI cohorts should not be a limiting factor in AD therapeutics research. In contrast, we show that sample size estimates for clinical trials aimed at the preclinical stage of the disorder (HCs with evidence of AD pathology) are prohibitively large. Longer natural history studies are needed to inform design of trials aimed at the presymptomatic stage.     

Epidemiology and Outcome of Severe Sepsis and Septic Shock in Intensive Care Units in Mainland China

Introduction

Information about sepsis in mainland China remains scarce and incomplete. The purpose of this study was to describe the epidemiology and outcome of severe sepsis and septic shock in mixed ICU in mainland China, as well as the independent predictors of mortality.

Methods

We performed a 2-month prospective, observational cohort study in 22 closed multi-disciplinary intensive care units (ICUs). All admissions into those ICUs during the study period were screened and patients with severe sepsis or septic shock were included.

Results

A total of 484 patients, 37.3 per 100 ICU admissions were diagnosed with severe sepsis (n = 365) or septic shock (n = 119) according to clinical criteria and included into this study. The most frequent sites of infection were the lung and abdomen. The overall ICU and hospital mortality rates were 28.7% (n = 139) and 33.5% (n = 162), respectively. In multivariate analyses, APACHE II score (odds ratio[OR], 1.068; 95% confidential interval[CI], 1.027–1.109), presence of ARDS (OR, 2.676; 95%CI, 1.691–4.235), bloodstream infection (OR, 2.520; 95%CI, 1.142–5.564) and comorbidity of cancer (OR, 2.246; 95%CI, 1.141–4.420) were significantly associated with mortality.

Conclusions

Our results indicated that severe sepsis and septic shock were common complications in ICU patients and with high mortality in China, and can be of help to know more about severe sepsis and septic shock in China and to improve characterization and risk stratification in these patients.     

Surface N balances and reactive N loss to the environment from global intensive agricultural production systems for the period 1970-2030

Data for the historical years 1970 and 1995 and the FAO-Agriculture Towards 2030 projection are used to calculate N inputs (N fertilizer, animal manure, biological N fixation and atmospheric deposition) and the N export from the field in harvested crops and grass and grass consumption by grazing animals. In most industrialized countries we see a gradual increase of the overall N recovery of the intensive agricultural production systems over the whole 1970-2030 period. In contrast, low N input systems in many developing countries sustained low crop yields for many years but at the cost of soil fertility by depleting soil nutrient pools. In most developing countries the N recovery will increase in the coming decades by increasing efficiencies of N use in both crop and livestock production systems. The surface balance surplus of N is lost from the agricultural system via different pathways, including NH3 volatilization, denitrification, N2O and NO emissions, and nitrate leaching from the root zone. Global NH3-N emissions from fertilizer and animal manure application and stored manure increased from 18 to 34 Tg·yr-1 between 1970 and 1995, and will further increase to 44 Tg·yr-1 in 2030. Similar developments are seen for N2O-N (2.0 Tg·yr-1 in 1970, 2.7 Tg·yr-1 in 1995 and 3.5 Tg·yr-1 in 2030) and NO-N emissions (1.1 Tg·yr-1 in 1970, 1.5Tg·yr-1 in 1995 and 2.0 Tg·yr-1 in 2030).     

Resurgence of HIV Infection among Men Who Have Sex with Men in Switzerland: Mathematical Modelling Study

Background

New HIV infections in men who have sex with men (MSM) have increased in Switzerland since 2000 despite combination antiretroviral therapy (cART). The objectives of this mathematical modelling study were: to describe the dynamics of the HIV epidemic in MSM in Switzerland using national data; to explore the effects of hypothetical prevention scenarios; and to conduct a multivariate sensitivity analysis.

Methodology/Principal Findings

The model describes HIV transmission, progression and the effects of cART using differential equations. The model was fitted to Swiss HIV and AIDS surveillance data and twelve unknown parameters were estimated. Predicted numbers of diagnosed HIV infections and AIDS cases fitted the observed data well. By the end of 2010, an estimated 13.5% (95% CI 12.5, 14.6%) of all HIV-infected MSM were undiagnosed and accounted for 81.8% (95% CI 81.1, 82.4%) of new HIV infections. The transmission rate was at its lowest from 1995–1999, with a nadir of 46 incident HIV infections in 1999, but increased from 2000. The estimated number of new infections continued to increase to more than 250 in 2010, although the reproduction number was still below the epidemic threshold. Prevention scenarios included temporary reductions in risk behaviour, annual test and treat, and reduction in risk behaviour to levels observed earlier in the epidemic. These led to predicted reductions in new infections from 2 to 26% by 2020. Parameters related to disease progression and relative infectiousness at different HIV stages had the greatest influence on estimates of the net transmission rate.

Conclusions/Significance

The model outputs suggest that the increase in HIV transmission amongst MSM in Switzerland is the result of continuing risky sexual behaviour, particularly by those unaware of their infection status. Long term reductions in the incidence of HIV infection in MSM in Switzerland will require increased and sustained uptake of effective interventions.     

Toll-Like Receptor (TLR2 and TLR4) Polymorphisms and Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

Toll-like receptors (TLRs) participate in the defence against bacterial infections that are common in patients with Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD). We studied all tagging SNPs in TLR2 and TLR4 and their associations with the level and change over time of both FEV(1) and sputum inflammatory cells in moderate-to-severe COPD. Nine TLR2 SNPs and 17 TLR4 SNPs were genotyped in 110 COPD patients. Associations of SNPs with lung function and inflammatory cells in induced sputum were analyzed cross-sectionally with linear regression and longitudinally with linear mixed-effect models. Two SNPs in TLR2 (rs1898830 and rs11938228) were associated with a lower level of FEV(1) and accelerated decline of FEV(1) and higher numbers of sputum inflammatory cells. None of the TLR4 SNPs was associated with FEV(1) level. Eleven out of 17 SNPs were associated with FEV(1) decline, including rs12377632 and rs10759931, which were additionally associated with higher numbers of sputum inflammatory cells at baseline and with increase over time. This is the first longitudinal study showing that tagging SNPs in TLR2 and TLR4 are associated with the level and decline of lung function as well as with inflammatory cell numbers in induced sputum in COPD patients, suggesting a role in the severity and progression of COPD.     

Denial of Risk Behavior Does Not Exclude Asymptomatic Anorectal Sexually Transmitted Infection in HIV-Infected Men

Background

The Centers for Disease Control recommend screening for asymptomatic sexually transmitted infection (STI) among HIV-infected men when there is self-report of unprotected anal-receptive exposure. The study goals were: (1) to estimate the validity and usefulness for screening policies of self-reported unprotected anal-receptive exposure as a risk indicator for asymptomatic anorectal infection with Neisseria gonorrhoeae (GC) and/or Chlamydia trachomatis (CT). (2) to estimate the number of infections that would be missed if anal diagnostic assays were not performed among patients who denied unprotected anorectal exposure in the preceding month.

Methods and Findings

Retrospective analysis in HIV primary care and high resolution anoscopy (HRA) clinics. HIV-infected adult men were screened for self-reported exposure during the previous month at all primary care and HRA appointments. Four sub-cohorts were defined based on microbiology methodology (GC culture and CT direct fluorescent antibody vs. GC/CT nucleic acid amplification test) and clinical setting (primary care vs. HRA). Screening question operating characteristics were estimated using contingency table methods and then pooled across subcohorts. Among 803 patients, the prevalence of anorectal GC/CT varied from 3.5–20.1% in the 4 sub-cohorts. The sensitivity of the screening question for self-reported exposure to predict anorectal STI was higher in the primary care than in the HRA clinic, 86–100% vs. 12–35%, respectively. The negative predictive value of the screening question to predict asymptomatic anorectal STI was ≥90% in all sub-cohorts. In sensitivity analyses, the probability of being an unidentified case among those denying exposure increased from 0.4–8.1% in the primary care setting, and from 0.9–18.8% in the HRA setting as the prevalence varied from 1–20%.

Conclusion

As STI prevalence increases, denial of unprotected anal-receptive exposure leads to an increasingly unacceptable proportion of unidentified asymptomatic anorectal STI if used as a criterion not to obtain microbiologic assays.     

鸡IL-18成熟蛋白基因的克隆及分子进化分析

根据已发表的鸡白介素18(IL-18)基因序列设计合成引物,以植物凝集素(PHA)和脂多糖(LPS)激活的AA肉鸡脾细胞mRNA为模板,通过RT-PCR扩增出编码鸡IL-18成熟蛋白的eDNA。将该eDNA克隆于pUCm-T载体,并对其进行测序,结果表明所克隆的核苷酸片段包含了全部成熟蛋白编码基因,成熟蛋白编码区507个核苷酸,编码169个氧基酸。把该基因编码的鸡成熟IL-18蛋白氨基酸序列与已公布的禽及哺乳动物IL-8成熟蛋白基因氧基酸序列进行比较,其同源性分别在96．5％～100％和20．1％～26．6％之间,分子系统进化树分析表明鸡IL-18与哺乳动物IL-18有共同的祖先,亲源关系较近,但在免疫系统选择性压力下,形成独特的种族特异性。鸡IL-18基因的克隆为体外表达鸡IL-18蛋白及作为免疫佐剂应用于预防接种的研究奠定了基础。     

Human Leukocyte Antigen Class I Supertypes and HIV-1 Control in African Americans

The role of human leukocyte antigen (HLA) class I supertypes in controlling human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) infection in African Americans has not been established. We examined the effects of the HLA-A and HLA-B alleles and supertypes on the outcomes of HIV-1 clade B infection among 338 African American women and adolescents. HLA-B58 and -B62 supertypes (B58s and B62s) were associated with favorable HIV-1 disease control (proportional odds ratio [POR] of 0.33 and 95% confidence interval [95% CI] of 0.21 to 0.52 for the former and POR of 0.26 and 95% CI of 0.09 to 0.73 for the latter); B7s and B44s were associated with unfavorable disease control (POR of 2.39 and 95% CI of 1.54 to 3.73 for the former and POR of 1.63 and 95% CI of 1.08 to 2.47 for the latter). In general, individual alleles within specific B supertypes exerted relatively homogeneous effects. A notable exception was B27s, whose protective influence (POR, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.35 to 0.94) was masked by the opposing effect of its member allele B*1510. The associations of most B supertypes (e.g., B58s and B7s) were largely explained either by well-known effects of constituent B alleles or by effects of previously unimplicated B alleles aggregated into a particular supertype (e.g., B44s and B62s). A higher frequency of HLA-B genotypic supertypes correlated with a higher mean viral load (VL) and lower mean CD4 count (Pearson''s r = 0.63 and 0.62, respectively; P = 0.03). Among the genotypic supertypes, B58s and its member allele B*57 contributed disproportionately to the explainable VL variation. The study demonstrated the dominant role of HLA-B supertypes in HIV-1 clade B-infected African Americans and further dissected the contributions of individual class I alleles and their population frequencies to the supertype effects.African Americans in the United States have been affected disproportionately by the human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) epidemic. They accounted for only 13% of the U.S. population but for 47% of AIDS cases diagnosed in the United States in 2006 (14, 17). An HIV-1 vaccine would be of enormous benefit to this subpopulation. One strategy for HIV-1 vaccine development seeks to capitalize on the recognition and destruction of HIV-1-infected cells by cytotoxic T lymphocytes (CTLs) (32, 33, 35).CTL recognition is critically dependent on binding, presentation, and cell surface display of a variety of antigenic peptides (epitopes) by extremely polymorphic human leukocyte antigen (HLA) molecules. As the relative importance of increasing numbers of HIV-1 epitopes for individual HLA class I molecules has been recognized (9, 16), the feasibility of developing a vaccine tailored to every epitope and HLA specificity has come to seem more remote. Conceptualization of epitope specificity in terms of broad groupings (supertypes) of HLA molecules may provide a rational but simpler approach to this challenge.Several efforts have succeeded at consolidating the huge spectrum of individual HLA class I alleles into four HLA-A and five HLA-B supertype categories (37-39), based on the ability of different HLA class I molecules to present similar epitopes. Unlike individual allele frequencies, which vary greatly across ethnic groups, all nine supertypes (comprising most, but not all, HLA-A and HLA-B alleles) are present in all human populations. This more uniform representation of allele groups may confer an advantage in the form of balancing selection (38).HLA alleles within one supertype that share epitope binding specificities might be expected to demonstrate similar associations with HIV-1 outcomes or vaccine response; conversely, alleles within a supertype that differ substantially in function might be expected to show differential responses to natural infection or vaccines designed on the basis of supertype (2). Functional heterogeneity of alleles within the supertypes could be due to differences in the class I alleles themselves (e.g., variable epitope avidity or tolerance to viral mutations), in host background (genetic epistasis), or in the virus (e.g., clade-related epitope specificities or viral escape).Previous work has detected associations between the HLA class I supertypes and HIV-1 outcomes for Caucasians with clade B infections (34, 44) and for native Africans with clade A or C infections (23, 28). We are unaware of studies among African Americans in the context of clade B HIV-1 infection or of any systematic attempt to tease apart the independent contributions of supertypes and their individual class I alleles to HIV-1 outcomes. Here we document the frequencies of the HLA class I alleles and supertypes in the Reaching for Excellence in Adolescent Care and Health (REACH) and HIV Epidemiologic Research Study (HERS) cohorts, and we report the relative effects of those alleles and supertypes on the degree of HIV-1 disease control.