The feasibility of age-specific travel restrictions during influenza pandemics

Background

Epidemiological studies have shown that imposing travel restrictions to prevent or delay an influenza pandemic may not be feasible. To delay an epidemic substantially, an extremely high proportion of trips (~99%) would have to be restricted in a homogeneously mixing population. Influenza is, however, strongly influenced by age-dependent transmission dynamics, and the effectiveness of age-specific travel restrictions, such as the selective restriction of travel by children, has yet to be examined.

Methods

A simple stochastic model was developed to describe the importation of infectious cases into a population and to model local chains of transmission seeded by imported cases. The probability of a local epidemic, and the time period until a major epidemic takes off, were used as outcome measures, and travel restriction policies in which children or adults were preferentially restricted were compared to age-blind restriction policies using an age-dependent next generation matrix parameterized for influenza H1N1-2009.

Results

Restricting children from travelling would yield greater reductions to the short-term risk of the epidemic being established locally than other policy options considered, and potentially could delay an epidemic for a few weeks. However, given a scenario with a total of 500 imported cases over a period of a few months, a substantial reduction in the probability of an epidemic in this time period is possible only if the transmission potential were low and assortativity (i.e. the proportion of contacts within-group) were unrealistically high. In all other scenarios considered, age-structured travel restrictions would not prevent an epidemic and would not delay the epidemic for longer than a few weeks.

Conclusions

Selectively restricting children from traveling overseas during a pandemic may potentially delay its arrival for a few weeks, depending on the characteristics of the pandemic strain, but could have less of an impact on the economy compared to restricting adult travelers. However, as long as adults have at least a moderate potential to trigger an epidemic, selectively restricting the higher risk group (children) may not be a practical option to delay the arrival of an epidemic substantially.     

An integrated analysis of molecular aberrations in NCI-60 cell lines

Background  

Cancer is a complex disease where various types of molecular aberrations drive the development and progression of malignancies. Large-scale screenings of multiple types of molecular aberrations (e.g., mutations, copy number variations, DNA methylations, gene expressions) become increasingly important in the prognosis and study of cancer. Consequently, a computational model integrating multiple types of information is essential for the analysis of the comprehensive data.     

A Factor Graph Nested Effects Model To Identify Networks from Genetic Perturbations

Complex phenotypes such as the transformation of a normal population of cells into cancerous tissue result from a series of molecular triggers gone awry. We describe a method that searches for a genetic network consistent with expression changes observed under the knock-down of a set of genes that share a common role in the cell, such as a disease phenotype. The method extends the Nested Effects Model of Markowetz et al. (2005) by using a probabilistic factor graph to search for a network representing interactions among these silenced genes. The method also expands the network by attaching new genes at specific downstream points, providing candidates for subsequent perturbations to further characterize the pathway. We investigated an extension provided by the factor graph approach in which the model distinguishes between inhibitory and stimulatory interactions. We found that the extension yielded significant improvements in recovering the structure of simulated and Saccharomyces cerevisae networks. We applied the approach to discover a signaling network among genes involved in a human colon cancer cell invasiveness pathway. The method predicts several genes with new roles in the invasiveness process. We knocked down two genes identified by our approach and found that both knock-downs produce loss of invasive potential in a colon cancer cell line. Nested effects models may be a powerful tool for inferring regulatory connections and genes that operate in normal and disease-related processes.     

Ethylene and apical dominance

Ethylene is involved in at least two discrete mechanisms in the control of apical dominance: the release of lateral buds from inhibition and their subsequent growth and development. Generally, high levels of freely diffusible ethylene in the apical region of the shoot are conducive to lateral-bud-outgrowth, while high ethylene levels in the region of the lateral buds themselves tend to be inhibitory. Threshold ethylene levels concerned with the release of buds from inhibition and with the growth that follows may differ between species. Thus, in some species (e.g. Gossypium ) lateral-bud growth proceeds in the continuing presence of ethylene supplied to the whole plant, whereas in others (e.g. Petunia ) the growth of the released lateral buds occurs only when the ethylene is remaved.
When ethylene production in Pisum nodal sections is enhanced by exomgenous auxin, growth of the attached buds is suppressed. In the intact plant system, unequivocal evidence has not been established for a role of endogenous ethylene acting directly on lateral buds to effect their inhibition. Apical dominance is not affected by the apptication of ethylene antagonists to the lateral buds of intact plants. Results from different studies have been inconsistent regarding the changes in endogenous ethylene levels in the node/lateral-bud tissue when the plant is decapitated or when auxin is applied to the stump of the decapitated plant to maintain lateral bud inhibition.
While exogenous ethylene supplied to the lateral bud generally increases inhibition, the availability of ethylene, regulated endogenously, is essential to the released bud on the decapitated plant in order to sustain its subsequent development into a lateral shoot. There is evidence that, in certain instances, endogenous ethylene may also be essential in the initial stages of bud development, e.g. in thee early growth that is promoted bmy auxin in Phaseolus or by kinetin in Avena .     

Diet-induced lipid accumulation in phospholipid transfer protein-deficient mice: its atherogenicity and potential mechanism

A high saturated fat diet induces free cholesterol and phospholipid accumulation in the plasma of phospholipid transfer protein (Pltp)-deficient mice. In this study, we examined the atherogenic consequence of this phenomenon and investigated the possible mechanism(s). Pltp KO/Apoe KO mice that were fed a coconut oil-enriched high-fat diet (COD) for 7 weeks had higher plasma free cholesterol (149%), phospholipids (15%), and sphingomyelin (54%) than Apoe KO controls. In contrast to chow-fed animals, COD-fed Pltp KO/Apoe KO mice had the same atherosclerotic lesion size as that of Apoe KO mice. Similar to Pltp KO mice, plasma from COD-fed Pltp KO/Apoe KO mice contained VLDL/LDL-sized lamellar particles. Bile measurement indicated that COD-fed Pltp KO mice have 33% less hepatic cholesterol output than controls. In conclusion, COD-fed, Pltp-deficient mice are no longer protected from atherosclerosis and have impaired biliary lipid secretion, which is associated with free cholesterol and phospholipid accumulation.     

Cycling of clock genes entrained to the solar rhythm enables plants to tell time: data from arabidopsis

Background and Aims An endogenous rhythm synchronized to dawn cannot time photosynthesis-linked genes to peak consistently at noon since the interval between sunrise and noon changes seasonally. In this study, a solar clock model that circumvents this limitation is proposed using two daily timing references synchronized to noon and midnight. Other rhythmic genes that are not directly linked to photosynthesis, and which peak at other times, also find an adaptive advantage in entrainment to the solar rhythm.Methods Fourteen datasets extracted from three published papers were used in a meta-analysis to examine the cyclic behaviour of the Arabidopsis thaliana photosynthesis-related gene CAB2 and the clock oscillator genes TOC1 and LHY in T cycles and N–H cycles.Key Results Changes in the rhythms of CAB2, TOC1 and LHY in plants subjected to non-24-h light:dark cycles matched the hypothesized changes in their behaviour as predicted by the solar clock model, thus validating it. The analysis further showed that TOC1 expression peaked ∼5·5 h after mid-day, CAB2 peaked close to noon, while LHY peaked ∼7·5 h after midnight, regardless of the cycle period, the photoperiod or the light:dark period ratio. The solar clock model correctly predicted the zeitgeber timing of these genes under 11 different lighting regimes comprising combinations of seven light periods, nine dark periods, four cycle periods and four light:dark period ratios. In short cycles that terminated before LHY could be expressed, the solar clock correctly predicted zeitgeber timing of its expression in the following cycle.Conclusions Regulation of gene phases by the solar clock enables the plant to tell the time, by which means a large number of genes are regulated. This facilitates the initiation of gene expression even before the arrival of sunrise, sunset or noon, thus allowing the plant to ‘anticipate’ dawn, dusk or mid-day respectively, independently of the photoperiod.     

Molecular characterization of Salmonella weltevreden isolated from poultry: evidence of conjugal transfer of plasmid and antibiotic resistance

Ten strains of Salmonella weltevreden isolated from poultry sources were examined and found to contain plasmid DNA ranging in size from 1.8 to 68.5 MD. All isolates were susceptible to carbenicillin, cephalothin, ceftriazone, gentamicin, kanamycin and nalidixic acid, but resistance to bacitracin (100%), penicillin G (100%), rifampicin (100%), sulphamethoxazole (100%), cefuroxime (80%) and tetracycline (60%) was recorded. The 55 MD plasmid of strain SW5 determined resistance to penicillin G and tetracycline, which was transmissible to the E. coli K12 recipient at a frequency of 3.52 x 10(-5) transconjugants per input donor cell. The results of arbitrarily primed polymerase chain reaction (AP-PCR), using two 10-mer oligonucleotides and PCR-ribotyping to differentiate between the ten strains of S. weltevreden were compared. The strains were separated into ten different genome types by AP-PCR but were indistinguishable by PCR-ribotyping. These results suggest that poultry may constitute a reservoir for disseminating antibiotic resistance and that AP-PCR may be a valuable tool for epidemiological studies.