Impacts of imperfect reference data on the apparent accuracy of species presence–absence models and their predictions

Aim To explore the impacts of imperfect reference data on the accuracy of species distribution model predictions. The main focus is on impacts of the quality of reference data (labelling accuracy) and, to a lesser degree, data quantity (sample size) on species presence–absence modelling. Innovation The paper challenges the common assumption that some popular measures of model accuracy and model predictions are prevalence independent. It highlights how imperfect reference data may impact on a study and the actions that may be taken to address problems. Main conclusions The theoretical independence of prevalence of popular accuracy measures, such as sensitivity, specificity, true skills statistics (TSS) and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), is unlikely to occur in practice due to reference data error; all of these measures of accuracy, together with estimates of species occurrence, showed prevalence dependency arising through the use of a non‐gold‐standard reference. The number of cases used also had implications for the ability of a study to meet its objectives. Means to reduce the negative effects of imperfect reference data in study design and interpretation are suggested.     

Hereditary nonpolyposis colorectal cancer family members' perceptions about the duty to inform and health professionals' role in disseminating genetic information

This study's aim was to ascertain hereditary nonpolyposis colorectal cancer (HNPCC) families' views on the duty to inform with particular focus on the role of health professionals in disseminating familial genetic information. Eighty members of 16 families with a clinical or molecular diagnosis of HNPCC completed qualitative interviews regarding views on family members' right to know and who should disseminate familial genetic information. Most indicated that everyone in the family should know about the presence of a mutation in the family, with family members themselves being the preferable informant, supported by health professionals who were seen as helpful in overcoming barriers. All but one respondent indicated that if a parent did not test and presumably did not inform his/her child about the family mutation, the child should be informed by other family members or by a health professional. Many were attuned to confidentiality concerns, but judged them to be outweighed by the importance of family members knowing about the mutation and undertaking proper surveillance. Respondents were more private about the disclosure of individual results to other family members, clearly distinguishing personal results from familial genetic information. These families with a hereditary colon cancer syndrome favor open sharing of genetic information within the family, and desire the supportive involvement of health care professionals in disseminating genetic information.     

Change in Body Size and Mortality: Results from the Melbourne Collaborative Cohort Study

Background

The association between change in weight or body mass index, and mortality is widely reported, however, both measures fail to account for fat distribution. Change in waist circumference, a measure of central adiposity, in relation to mortality has not been studied extensively.

Methods

We investigated the association between mortality and changes in directly measured waist circumference, hips circumference and weight from baseline (1990–1994) to wave 2 (2003–2007) in a prospective cohort study of people aged 40–69 years at baseline. Cox regression, with age as the time metric and follow-up starting at wave 2, adjusted for confounding variables, was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for change in body size in relation to mortality from all causes, cardiovascular disease and cancer.

Results

There were 1465 deaths (109 cancer, 242 cardiovascular disease) identified during an average 7.7 years of follow-up from 21 298 participants. Compared to minimal increase in body size, loss of waist circumference (HR: 1.26; 95% CI: 1.09–1.47), weight (1.80; 1.54–2.11), or hips circumference (1.35; 1.15–1.57) were associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality, particularly for older adults. Weight loss was associated with cardiovascular disease mortality (2.40; 1.57–3.65) but change in body size was not associated with obesity-related cancer mortality.

Conclusion

This study confirms the association between weight loss and increased mortality from all-causes for older adults. Based on evidence from observational cohort studies, weight stability may be the recommended option for most adults, especially older adults.     

The mechanism of nitrogen monoxide (NO)-mediated iron mobilization from cells. NO intercepts iron before incorporation into ferritin and indirectly mobilizes iron from ferritin in a glutathione-dependent manner.

Nitrogen monoxide (NO) is a cytotoxic effector molecule produced by macrophages that results in Fe mobilization from tumour target cells which inhibits DNA synthesis and mitochondrial respiration. It is well known that NO has a high affinity for Fe, and we showed that NO-mediated Fe mobilization is markedly potentiated by glutathione (GSH) generated by the hexose monophosphate shunt [Watts, R.N. & Richardson, D.R. (2001) J. Biol. Chem. 276, 4724-4732]. We hypothesized that GSH completes the coordination shell of an NO[bond]Fe complex that is released from the cell. In this report we have extended our studies to further characterize the mechanism of NO-mediated Fe mobilization. Native PAGE 59Fe-autoradiography shows that NO decreased ferritin-59Fe levels in cells prelabelled with [59Fe]transferrin. In prelabelled cells, ferritin-59Fe levels increased 3.5-fold when cells were reincubated with control media between 30 and 240 min. In contrast, when cells were reincubated with NO, ferritin-59Fe levels decreased 10-fold compared with control cells after a 240-min reincubation. However, NO could not remove Fe from ferritin in cell lysates. Our data suggest that NO intercepts 59Fe on route to ferritin, and indirectly facilitates removal of 59Fe from the protein. Studies using the GSH-depleting agent, L-buthionine-(S,R)-sulphoximine, indicated that the reduction in ferritin-59Fe levels via NO was GSH-dependent. Competition experiments with NO and permeable chelators demonstrated that both bind a similar Fe pool. We suggest that NO requires cellular metabolism in order to effect Fe mobilization and this does not occur via passive diffusion down a concentration gradient. Based on our results, we propose a model of glucose-dependent NO-mediated Fe mobilization.     

Bicyclic peptidomimetic tetrahydrofuro[3,2-b]pyrrol-3-one and hexahydrofuro[3,2-b]pyridine-3-one based scaffolds: synthesis and cysteinyl proteinase inhibition

A stereoselective synthesis of (3aS,6aR)-tetrahydrofuro[3,2-b]pyrrol-3-ones and (3aS,7aR)-hexahydrofuro[3,2-b]pyridine-3-ones has been developed through Fmoc protected scaffolds 12 and 13. A key design element within these novel bicyclic scaffolds, in particular the 5,5-fused system, was the inherent stability of the cis-fused geometry in comparison to that of the corresponding trans-fused. Since the bridgehead stereocentre situated beta to the ketone was of a fixed and stable configuration, the fact that cis ring fusion is both kinetically and thermodynamically stable with respect to trans ring fusion provides chiral stability to the bridgehead stereocentre that is situated alpha to the ketone. To exemplify this principle, building blocks 12 and 13 were designed, prepared and utilised in a solid phase combinatorial synthesis of peptidomimetic inhibitors 10, 45a-e, 11 and 46. Both series were chirally stable with 5,5-series 10 and 45a-e exhibiting potent in vitro activity against a range of CAC1 cysteinyl proteinases. Compound 10, a potent and selective inhibitor of cathepsin K, possessed good primary DMPK properties along with promising activity in an in vitro cell-based human osteoclast assay of bone resorption.     

Serological evidence of an antibody response in farmed southern bluefin tuna naturally infected with the blood fluke Cardicola forsteri

In this study, adaptive immune response was investigated in farmed southern bluefin tuna, Thunnus maccoyii, infected with a sanguinicolid Cardicola forsteri. A cohort (Cohort₂₀₀₅) of southern bluefin tuna was sampled between March 2005 and August 2006. Samples were taken at the transfer of wild caught tuna to sea cages and then at regular intervals. Parasite intensity, abundance and prevalence data were recorded. An ELISA was developed to detect and quantify an antibody response against the blood fluke in southern bluefin tuna serum. Intensity and prevalence of the blood fluke were shown to peak in May 2005 at 10.9 flukes per infected fish (SE = 1.72) and 97.5% prevalence and then decreased to low prevalence (10%) and intensity (1.0). There were no significant changes in prevalence or intensity in 2006. Antibody titres and seroprevalence increased from 1.37 U μl⁻¹ and 10% at transfer in March 2005 to reach a peak in December 2005 of 25.86 U μl⁻¹ (SE = 6.26 U μl⁻¹) and 66.66%. No significant changes were observed in antibody titres for the same cohort of fish during 2006. Parasitological and serological values from Cohort₂₀₀₅ were compared to a 2006 cohort (Cohort₂₀₀₆) in March 2006 and August 2006 to determine if prior infection in Cohort₂₀₀₅ elicited any protection against infection in 2006. Although significant differences were not observed in intensities between cohorts it was shown that Cohort₂₀₀₅ had significantly lower abundances and prevalences of blood fluke infection than Cohort₂₀₀₆. Although there was no significant difference in mean antibody titres between cohorts in March 2006, the mean antibody titre of Cohort₂₀₀₆ was significantly greater than that of Cohort₂₀₀₅ in August 2006. No significant differences were observed in seroprevalence. This is one of the few studies to demonstrate the development of acquired resistance in fish against a parasite in an aquaculture environment under natural infection conditions.     

Small tropical forest trees have a greater capacity to adjust carbon metabolism to long-term drought than large canopy trees

The response of small understory trees to long-term drought is vital in determining the future composition, carbon stocks and dynamics of tropical forests. Long-term drought is, however, also likely to expose understory trees to increased light availability driven by drought-induced mortality. Relatively little is known about the potential for understory trees to adjust their physiology to both decreasing water and increasing light availability. We analysed data on maximum photosynthetic capacity (J_max, V_cmax), leaf respiration (R_leaf), leaf mass per area (LMA), leaf thickness and leaf nitrogen and phosphorus concentrations from 66 small trees across 12 common genera at the world's longest running tropical rainfall exclusion experiment and compared responses to those from 61 surviving canopy trees. Small trees increased J_max, V_cmax, R_leaf and LMA (71, 29, 32, 15% respectively) in response to the drought treatment, but leaf thickness and leaf nutrient concentrations did not change. Small trees were significantly more responsive than large canopy trees to the drought treatment, suggesting greater phenotypic plasticity and resilience to prolonged drought, although differences among taxa were observed. Our results highlight that small tropical trees have greater capacity to respond to ecosystem level changes and have the potential to regenerate resilient forests following future droughts.     

A comparison of reactive oxygen species metabolism in the rat aorta and vena cava: focus on xanthine oxidase

Reactive oxygen species (ROS) are important mediators in vascular biology. Venous function, although relevant to cardiovascular disease, is still understudied. We compared aspects of ROS metabolism between a major artery (the aorta) and a major vein (the vena cava, VC) of the rat, with the hypothesis that venous ROS metabolism would be overall increased compared with its arterial counterpart. Superoxide and hydrogen peroxide (H2O2) release in basal conditions was higher in VC compared with aorta. The antioxidant capacity for H2O2 was also higher in VC than in aorta. Exogenous superoxide induced a higher contraction in VC compared with aorta. Protein expression of three major ROS metabolizing enzymes, xanthine oxidase (XO), CuZn-SOD, and catalase, was higher in VC compared with aorta. Because XO seemed a likely source of the higher VC ROS levels, we examined it further and found higher mRNA expression and activity of XO in VC compared with aorta. We also investigated the impact of XO inhibition by allopurinol on aorta and VC functional responses to norepinephrine, ANG II, ET-1, and ACh. Maximal ET-1-mediated contraction was decreased by allopurinol in VC but not in the aorta. Our results suggest that there are overall differences in ROS metabolism between aorta and VC, with the latter operating normally at a higher set point, releasing but also being able to handle, higher ROS levels. We propose XO to be an important source for these differences. The result of this particular comparison may be reflective of a general arteriovenous contrast.     

Assessing the trypanocidal potential of natural and semi-synthetic diketopiperazines from two deep water marine-derived fungi

Human African trypanosomiasis (HAT, commonly known as African sleeping sickness) is categorized as a neglected disease, as it afflicts >50,000 people annually in sub-saharan Africa, and there are few formal programs in the world focused on drug discovery approaches for this disease. In this study, we examined the crude extracts of two fungal strains (Aspergillus fumigatus and Nectria inventa) isolated from deep water sediment which provided >99% growth inhibition at 1 μg/mL of Trypanosoma brucei, the causative parasite of HAT. A collection of fifteen natural products was supplemented with six semi-synthetic derivatives and one commercially available compound. Twelve of the compounds, each containing a diketopiperazine core, showed excellent activity against T. brucei (IC₅₀ = 0.002–40 μM), with selectivity over mammalian cells as great as 20-fold. The trypanocidal diketopiperazines were also tested against two cysteine protease targets Rhodesain and TbCatB, where five compounds showed inhibition activity at concentrations less than 20 μM. A preliminary activity pattern is described and analyzed.