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91.

Aim

To develop a causal understanding of the drivers of Species distribution model (SDM) performance.

Location

United Kingdom (UK).

Methods

We measured the accuracy and variance of SDMs fitted for 518 species of invertebrate and plant in the UK. Our measure of variance reflects variation among replicate model fits, and taxon experts assessed model accuracy. Using directed acyclic graphs, we developed a causal model depicting plausible effects of explanatory variables (e.g. species' prevalence, sample size) on SDM accuracy and variance and quantified those effects using a multilevel piecewise path model.

Results

According to our model, sample size and niche completeness (proportion of a species' niche covered by sampling) directly affect SDM accuracy and variance. Prevalence and range completeness have indirect effects mediated by sample size. Challenging conventional wisdom, we found that the effect of prevalence on SDM accuracy is positive. This reflects the facts that sample size has a positive effect on accuracy and larger sample sizes are possible for widespread species. It is possible, however, that the omission of an unobserved confounder biased this effect. Previous studies, which reported negative correlations between prevalence and SDM accuracy, conditioned on sample size.

Main conclusions

Our model explicates the causal basis of previously reported correlations between SDM performance and species/data characteristics. It also suggests that niche completeness has similarly large effects on SDM accuracy and variance as sample size. Analysts should consider niche completeness, or proxies thereof, in addition to sample size when deciding whether modelling is worthwhile.  相似文献   
92.
Understanding the composition of urban wildlife communities is crucial to promote biodiversity, ecosystem function and links between nature and people. Using crowdsourced data from over five million eBird checklists, we examined the influence of urban characteristics on avian richness and function at 8443 sites within and across 137 global cities. Under half of the species from regional pools were recorded in cities, and we found a significant phylogenetic signal for urban tolerance. Site-level avian richness was positively influenced by the extent of open forest, cultivation and wetlands and avian functional diversity by wetlands. Functional diversity co-declined with richness, but groups including granivores and aquatic birds occurred even at species-poor sites. Cities in arid areas held a higher percentage of regional species richness. Our results indicate commonalities in the influence of habitat on richness and function, as well as lower niche availability, and phylogenetic diversity across the world's cities.  相似文献   
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94.
The isolation of chloroplast DNA fromChlamydomonas reinhardtii requires the efficient separation of this AT-rich genome from the GC-rich nuclear genome by density-gradient centrifugation. We describe a simple and efficient method for separating these DNA fractions by using a sodium iodide gradient in combination with the DNA-binding dye, bisbenzimide. The yield of chloroplast DNA is close to the theoretical maximum and the DNA is suitable for restriction enzyme analysis and cloning. This method is applicable to the isolation of AT-rich plastid genomes from other organisms and may be appropriate as a general method for separating species of DNA that differ in their AT/GC ratios. An erratum to this article is available at .  相似文献   
95.
96.
Developmental profiles for a number of molting fluid (MF) enzyme activities were established and related to the progress of pupal cuticle degradation during the four days that precede the eclosion of adult tobacco hornworms. Cuticle degrading activity, molting fluid protease 1 (MFP-1), and molting fluid protease 2 (MFP-2) all increased in activity at the time that loss of material from the old cuticle occurred. In contrast, chitinase and β-acetylglucosaminidase activities did not parallel weight loss from the old cuticle. These results are consistent with the hypothesis that proteolytic activity is a prerequisite for the action of chitinase on cuticle chitin. © 1993 Wiley-Liss, Inc.  相似文献   
97.
Understanding what drives changes in tree mortality as well as the covariates influencing trees' response is a research priority to predict forest responses to global change. Here, we combined drone photogrammetry and ground-based data to assess the influence of crown exposure to light (relative to total crown area), growth deviations (relative to conspecifics), tree size, and species' wood density (as a surrogate for light-demanding and shade-tolerant life-history strategies) on the mortality of 984 canopy trees in an Amazon terra firme forest. Trees with lower wood density were less prone to die when their proportion of crown was more exposed to sunlight, but this relationship with relative crown exposure weakened and slightly reversed as wood density increased. Trees growing less than their species average had higher mortality, especially when the species' wood density decreased. The role of wood density in determining the survival of canopy trees under varying light conditions indicates differential responses of light-demanding versus shade-tolerant species. Our results highlight the importance of accounting for life-history strategies, via plant functional types, in vegetation dynamic models aiming to predict forest demography under a rapidly changing climate. Abstract in Spanish is available with online material.  相似文献   
98.
99.
The pressure chamber and the thermocouple psychrometer often provide different values when used to estimate plant water potential. One hypothesis to explain the discrepancy between instruments is that water movement between the xylem and symplast occurs during pressurization in the pressure chamber. Pressure chamber and thermocouple psychrometer measurements of Pinus ponderosa (Laws.) seedling shoots and mature Quercus agrifolia (Nee) shoots showed that the discrepancy is greater for Quercus. It was hypothesized that the xylem water content-water potential relationship of these species would explain the magnitude of the discrepancy between instruments. The xylem water holding capacity alone, however, does not explain the difference between species. The larger discrepancy in Quercus is likely due to a greater volume of water held in the xylem relative to the volume held in the symplast.  相似文献   
100.
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