Contribution of crop model structure,parameters and climate projections to uncertainty in climate change impact assessments

Climate change impact assessments are plagued with uncertainties from many sources, such as climate projections or the inadequacies in structure and parameters of the impact model. Previous studies tried to account for the uncertainty from one or two of these. Here, we developed a triple‐ensemble probabilistic assessment using seven crop models, multiple sets of model parameters and eight contrasting climate projections together to comprehensively account for uncertainties from these three important sources. We demonstrated the approach in assessing climate change impact on barley growth and yield at Jokioinen, Finland in the Boreal climatic zone and Lleida, Spain in the Mediterranean climatic zone, for the 2050s. We further quantified and compared the contribution of crop model structure, crop model parameters and climate projections to the total variance of ensemble output using Analysis of Variance (ANOVA). Based on the triple‐ensemble probabilistic assessment, the median of simulated yield change was ?4% and +16%, and the probability of decreasing yield was 63% and 31% in the 2050s, at Jokioinen and Lleida, respectively, relative to 1981–2010. The contribution of crop model structure to the total variance of ensemble output was larger than that from downscaled climate projections and model parameters. The relative contribution of crop model parameters and downscaled climate projections to the total variance of ensemble output varied greatly among the seven crop models and between the two sites. The contribution of downscaled climate projections was on average larger than that of crop model parameters. This information on the uncertainty from different sources can be quite useful for model users to decide where to put the most effort when preparing or choosing models or parameters for impact analyses. We concluded that the triple‐ensemble probabilistic approach that accounts for the uncertainties from multiple important sources provide more comprehensive information for quantifying uncertainties in climate change impact assessments as compared to the conventional approaches that are deterministic or only account for the uncertainties from one or two of the uncertainty sources.     

Anion-dependent Mg2+ influx and a role for a vacuolar H+-ATPase in sheep ruminal epithelial cells

The K+-insensitive component of Mg2+ influx in primary culture of ruminal epithelial cells (REC) was examined by means of fluorescence techniques. The effects of extracellular anions, ruminal fermentation products, and transport inhibitors on the intracellular free Mg2+ concentration ([Mg2+]i), Mg2+ uptake, and intracellular pH were determined. Under control conditions (HEPES-buffered high-NaCl medium), the [Mg2+]i of REC increased from 0.56 +/- 0.14 to 0.76 +/- 0.06 mM, corresponding to a Mg2+ uptake rate of 15 microM/min. Exposure to butyrate did not affect Mg2+ uptake, but it was stimulated (by 84 +/- 19%) in the presence of CO2/HCO(-)3. In contrast, Mg2+ uptake was strongly diminished if REC were suspended in HCO(-)3-buffered high-KCl medium (22.3 +/- 4 microM/min) rather than in HEPES-buffered KCl medium (37.5 +/- 6 microM/min). After switching from high- to low-Cl- solution, [Mg2+]i was reduced from 0.64 +/- 0.09 to 0.32 +/- 0.16 mM and the CO2/HCO(-)3-stimulated Mg2+ uptake was completely inhibited. Bumetanide and furosemide blocked the rate of Mg2+ uptake by 64 and 40%, respectively. Specific blockers of vacuolar H+-ATPase reduced the [Mg2+]i (36%) and Mg2+ influx (38%) into REC. We interpret this data to mean that the K+-insensitive Mg2+ influx into REC is mediated by a cotransport of Mg2+ and Cl- and is energized by an H+-ATPase. The stimulation of Mg2+ transport by ruminal fermentation products may result from a modulation of the H+-ATPase activity.     

Mouse phenotyping

Model organisms like the mouse are important tools to learn more about gene function in man. Within the last 20 years many mutant mouse lines have been generated by different methods such as ENU mutagenesis, constitutive and conditional knock-out approaches, knock-down, introduction of human genes, and knock-in techniques, thus creating models which mimic human conditions. Due to pleiotropic effects, one gene may have different functions in different organ systems or time points during development. Therefore mutant mouse lines have to be phenotyped comprehensively in a highly standardized manner to enable the detection of phenotypes which might otherwise remain hidden. The German Mouse Clinic (GMC) has been established at the Helmholtz Zentrum München as a phenotyping platform with open access to the scientific community (www.mousclinic.de; [1]). The GMC is a member of the EUMODIC consortium which created the European standard workflow EMPReSSslim for the systemic phenotyping of mouse models (http://www.eumodic.org/ [2]).     

Zero-Heat-Flux Thermometry for Non-Invasive Measurement of Core Body Temperature in Pigs

Hypothermia is a severe, unpleasant side effect during general anesthesia. Thus, temperature surveillance is a prerequisite in general anesthesia settings during experimental surgeries. The gold standard to measure the core body temperature (T_core) is placement of a Swan-Ganz catheter in the pulmonary artery, which is a highly invasive procedure. Therefore, T_core is commonly examined in the urine bladder and rectum. However, these procedures are known for their inaccuracy and delayed record of temperatures. Zero-heat-flux (ZHF) thermometry is an alternative, non-invasive method quantifying T_core in human patients by applying a thermosensoric patch to the lateral forehead. Since the porcine cranial anatomy is different to the human’s, the optimal location of the patch remains unclear to date. The aim was to compare three different patch locations of ZHF thermometry in a porcine hypothermia model. Hypothermia (33.0°C T_core) was conducted in 11 anesthetized female pigs (26-30kg). T_core was measured continuously by an invasive Swan-Ganz catheter in the pulmonary artery (T_pulm). A ZHF thermometry device was mounted on three different defined locations. The smallest average difference between T_pulm and T_ZHF during stable temperatures was 0.21 ± 0.16°C at location A, where the patch was placed directly behind the eye. Also during rapidly changing temperatures location A showed the smallest bias with 0.48 ± 0.29°C. Location A provided the most reliable data for T_core. Therefore, the ZHF thermometry patch should be placed directly behind the left temporal corner of the eye to provide a non-invasive method for accurate measurement of T_core in pigs.     

Structural properties of recombinant nonrepetitive and repetitive parts of major ampullate spidroin 1 from Euprosthenops australis: implications for fiber formation

Spider dragline silk proteins, spidroins, have a tripartite composition; a nonrepetitive N-terminal domain, a central repetitive region built up from many iterated poly-Ala and Gly rich blocks, and a C-terminal nonrepetitive domain. It is generally believed that the repetitive region forms intermolecular contacts in the silk fibers, while precise functions of the terminal domains have not been established. Herein, thermal, pH, and salt effects on the structure and aggregation and/or polymerization of recombinant N- and C-terminal domains, a repetitive segment containing four poly-Ala and Gly rich coblocks, and combinations thereof were studied. The N- and C-terminal domains have mainly alpha-helical structure, and interestingly, both form homodimers. Dimerization of the end domains allows spidroin multimerization independent of the repetitive part. Reduction of an intersubunit disulfide in the C-terminal domain lowers the thermal stability but does not affect dimerization. The repetitive region shows helical secondary structure but appears to lack stable folded structure. A protein composed of this repetitive region linked to the C-terminal domain has a mainly alpha-helical folded structure but shows an abrupt transition to beta-sheet structures upon heating. At room temperature, this protein self-assembles into macroscopic fibers within minutes. The secondary structures of none of the domains are altered by pH or salt. However, high concentrations of phosphate affect the tertiary structure and accelerate the aggregation propensity of the repetitive region. Implications of these results for dragline spidroin behavior in solution and silk fiber formation are discussed.     

CD48 stimulation by 2B4 (CD244)-expressing targets activates human NK cells

Human NK cells can be activated by a variety of different cell surface receptors. Members of the SLAM-related receptors (SRR) are important modulators of NK cell activity. One interesting feature of the SRR is their homophilic interaction, combining receptor and ligand in the same molecule. Therefore, SRR cannot only function as activating NK cell receptors, but also as activating NK cell ligands. 2B4 (CD244) is the only SRR that does not show homophilic interaction. Instead, 2B4 is activated by binding to CD48, a GPI-anchored surface molecule that is widely expressed in the hemopoietic system. In this study, we show that 2B4 also can function as an activating NK cell ligand. 2B4-expressing target cells can efficiently stimulate NK cell cytotoxicity and IFN-gamma production. Using soluble receptor fusion proteins and SRR-transfected cells, we show that 2B4 does not bind to any other SRR expressed on NK cells, but only interacts with CD48. Lysis of 2B4-expressing target cells can be blocked by anti-CD48 Abs and triggering of CD48 in a redirected lysis assay can stimulate NK cell cytotoxicity. This demonstrates that 2B4 can stimulate NK cell cytotoxicity and cytokine production by interacting with NK cell expressed CD48 and adds CD48 to the growing number of activating NK cell receptors.