Experimental evaluation of realized niche models for predicting responses of plant species to a change in environmental conditions

Abstract. We estimated, using logistic regression techniques, the realized niches of the four dominant species in an experimental marsh complex located in the Delta Marsh, Manitoba, Canada. These models were then used to predict the probability of occurrence of these species in selected elevation ranges when water levels were raised in 1985 either 0, 30 or 60 cm above the long-term normal water level. These realized-niche models were calculated using elevation and species data collected in 1980. After having been eliminated by two years of deep flooding, the emergent vegetation in this complex had been re-established during a drawdown beginning in either 1983 or 1984. Our hypothesis was that from 1985 to 1989 the frequencies of occurrence of species in selected elevation ranges would converge to their probabilities predicted from the 1980 logistic models. This was not borne out by our results. Actual frequencies and predicted probabilities of occurrence of a species were similar at best less than 40% and then mostly in the control (0 cm) treatment. The realized-niche models were not adequate to predict the distribution of emergents after an increase in water level in the short term because the emergent species did not migrate upslope. Emergent species in the medium and high treatments either (1) died out - Scolochloa festucacea and Scirpus lacustris - after 3 yr because they could not survive permanent flooding, (2) stayed where they were - Phragmites australis - because they were unable to move upslope through clonal growth, or (3) became more widespread - Typha glauca only because of the expansion of small local populations already established in 1985 in areas dominated formerly by other species.     

Blown away? Wind speed and foraging success in an acoustic predator

Mammal Research - Foraging animals must contend with fluctuating environmental variables that affect foraging success, including conditions like wind noise, which could diminish the usefulness of...     

Pattern-based clustering of daily weigh-in trajectories using dynamic time warping

“Smart”-scales are a new tool for frequent monitoring of weight change as well as weigh-in behavior. These scales give researchers the opportunity to discover patterns in the frequency that individuals weigh themselves over time, and how these patterns are associated with overall weight loss. Our motivating data come from an 18-month behavioral weight loss study of 55 adults classified as overweight or obese who were instructed to weigh themselves daily. Adherence to daily weigh-in routines produces a binary times series for each subject, indicating whether a participant weighed in on a given day. To characterize weigh-in by time-invariant patterns rather than overall adherence, we propose using hierarchical clustering with dynamic time warping (DTW). We perform an extensive simulation study to evaluate the performance of DTW compared to Euclidean and Jaccard distances to recover underlying patterns in adherence time series. In addition, we compare cluster performance using cluster validation indices (CVIs) under the single, average, complete, and Ward linkages and evaluate how internal and external CVIs compare for clustering binary time series. We apply conclusions from the simulation to cluster our real data and summarize observed weigh-in patterns. Our analysis finds that the adherence trajectory pattern is significantly associated with weight loss.     

Piping plover chick ecology following landscape-level disturbance

Population declines of disturbance-dependent species due to suppression of natural disturbances are realized across ecosystems. The piping plover (Charadrius melodus; plover), a disturbance-dependent and conservation-reliant shorebird that nests on sandy beaches and barrier islands on the Atlantic Coast, was listed under the United States Endangered Species Act in 1986. In 2012, Hurricane Sandy landed on Fire and Westhampton islands, barrier island nesting sites for plovers in New York, USA. Hurricane Sandy was a natural disturbance in this system, creating abundant nesting habitat. The number of chicks produced by a pair, or a population, is a direct measure of reproductive output, and gaining a better understanding of productivity and chick behavior following large-scale habitat creation may improve plover habitat management and potentially species persistence. We evaluated the effects of landscape features on habitat selection, behavior, and survival of plover broods using logistic regression, generalized linear mixed effects models, and survival models. Plover broods selected flatter sites with less dense vegetation than available at random. Chick foraging rates were highest in moist substrates and were lower in areas of higher nesting plover density. Chick survival was greater for broods that hatched earlier in the breeding season and increased as chicks aged. Generally, providing access to sites with flatter, moist substrates will likely result in higher quality brood rearing habitat on the landscape. Ultimately, vegetation removal and habitat management may be needed to reduce plover nesting density and ensure sufficient habitat, which may in turn improve plover chick survival. Moreover, sustaining natural landscape disturbances such as those resulting from storms, and not taking actions to prevent hurricane-created overwash, will allow these landscape features to persist.     

The relationships between brain, serum, and whole blood ChE activity in the wood mouse (Apodemus sylvaticus) and the common shrew (Sorex araneus) after acute sublethal exposure to dimethoate

Inhibition of cholinesterase (ChE) activity produced by a single acute intraperitoneal administration of dimethoate was studied in the wood mouse, Apodemus sylvaticus, and the common shrew, Sorex araneus, under laboratory conditions. ChE values from serum and whole blood were compared with those obtained from brain in order to obtain a non-destructive tool for predicting the severity of brain acetylcholinesterase (AChE) inhibition. In addition, serum and brain inhibition following oral exposure to dimethoate was also measured in the wood mouse. Normal ChE activity was higher in the brain and whole blood of the shrews than in wood mice. There was no difference between species in serum ChE activity. Exposure to dimethoate caused a dose-dependent reduction in ChE activity and there was a significant recovery in activity with increasing time after administration. In both species, serum and whole blood were more sensitive than brain for revealing organophosphate-induced ChE inhibition and serum was more sensitive than whole blood. Statistically significant relationships were defined between whole blood and brain ChE activity and between serum and brain ChE activity. Compared with serum, whole blood ChE activity was the more accurate predictor of brain AChE levels. The relationships between brain and serum ChE activity did not appear to be affected by the route of administration of the pesticide.     

Intramolecular domain-domain interactions and intermolecular self-association in bovine prothrombin. A potentiometric and laser light-scattering study

The interaction of bovine prothrombin with Ca²⁺ and Mg²⁺ ions was investigated by following H⁺ release as a function of metal ion concentration at pH 6 and pH 7.4 at high and low ionic strength. Prothrombin Ca²⁺ and Mg²⁺ binding is characterized by high- and low-affinity sites. M²⁺ binding at these sites is associated with intramolecular conformational changes and also with intermolecular self-association. The pH dependence of H⁺ release by M²⁺ is bell shaped and consistent with controlling pK_a values of 4.8 and 6.5. At pH 6 and low ionic strength, both Ca²⁺ and Mg²⁺ titrations following H⁺ release clearly show independent low- and high-affinity binding sites. Laser light scattering reveals that at pH 7.4 and low ionic strength, and at pH 6.0 and high ionic strength, the prothrombin molecular weight is between 73 and 98 kD. At pH 7.4 and high ionic strength, prothrombin is monomeric in the absence of metal ions, but appears to dimerize in the presence of M²⁺. At pH 6.0 and low ionic strength prothrombin exists as a dimer in the absence of metal ions and is tetrameric in the presence of Ca²⁺ and remains dimeric in the presence of Mg²⁺. These results and those for metal ion-dependent H⁺ release indicate that H⁺ release occurs concomitantly with association processes involving prothrombin.Abbreviations GLA -carboxyglutamic acid; fragment 1. amino terminal residues 1–156 of bovine prothrombin - MES 2-(N-morpholino) ethanesulfonic acid - MOPS 3-(N-morpholino) propanesulfonic acid - PS/PC phosphatidylserine/phosphatidylcholine vesicles - ionic strength     

Entry of immotile spermatozoa into zona-free hamster ova

We studied six men whose spermatozoa were immotile and possessed a variety of sperm tail structural abnormalities by electron microscopy. The semen of all six subjects had a normal percentage of oval forms and sperm undergoing capacitation and acrosome reaction. Despite the absence of motility, when incubated sperm from these subjects was added to a microdrop of medium containing zona pellucida-free hamster ova, sperm penetration or entry into the cytoplasm of from 1–9% of the eggs was evident with phase contrast microscopy. This latter finding suggests that, at least in this system, oocytes actively facilitate sperm incorporation. Penetration was absent when sperm of fertile men were rendered immotile, though still viable, by heat treatment.     

Analysis of gamma-carboxyglutamic acid via amino acid analysis.

Modifications of the analysis of protein-bound residues of γ-carboxyglutamic acid (Gla) via alkaline hydrolysis are presented. The method described allows easier sample manipulation than that heretofore required and insures quantitative recovery of hydrolyzed amino acids. A possible explanation of the shoulder which sometimes appears near Gla on some amino acid analyzers is presented.