Learning from clinical medicine to improve the use of surrogates in ecology

Surrogates are used widely in ecology to detect or monitor changes in the environment that are too difficult or costly to assess directly. Yet most work on surrogates to date has been correlative, with little work on their predictive capacity or the circumstances under which they work. Our suggestion is to revisit and learn from research in the clinical medical sciences, including the causal statistical frameworks available to validate relationships between treatments, surrogate variables, and the outcome of interest. We adapt this medical thinking to ecology by providing a new framework that involves specification of the surrogate model, statistical validation, and subsequent evaluation in a range of spatial and temporal contexts. An inter‐disciplinary surrogate concept will allow for a more rigorous approach to validating and evaluating proxy variables, thus advancing the selection and application of surrogates in ecology. Synthesis We draw together ideas from the medical sciences to define an explicit surrogate concept that has not previously been used in ecology. We present a new framework for specifying surrogate models involving validation using a causal framework, and subsequent re‐evaluation in different spatial and temporal contexts – an approach closely aligned with that used by researchers in the clinical medical sciences. This rigorous method can advance the science underpinning the application of surrogates in ecology by shifting the focus away from correlative understanding to one that focuses instead on causation and prediction. An improved use of surrogates is imperative if we are to meet the challenge of properly measuring and understanding the multifarious and complex problems in contemporary ecology.     

The Body Adiposity Index (Hip Circumference ÷ Height1.5) Is Not a More Accurate Measure of Adiposity Than Is BMI,Waist Circumference,or Hip Circumference

Based on cross‐sectional analyses, it was suggested that hip circumference divided by height^1.5 ?18 (the body adiposity index (BAI)), could directly estimate percent body fat without the need for further correction for sex or age. We compared the prediction of percent body fat, as assessed by dual‐energy X‐ray absorptiometry (PBF_DXA), by BAI, BMI, and circumference (waist and hip) measurements among 1,151 adults who had a total body scan by DXA and circumference measurements from 1993 through 2005. After accounting for sex, we found that PBF_DXA was related similarly to BAI, BMI, waist circumference, and hip circumference. In general, BAI underestimated PBF_DXA among men (2.5%) and overestimated PBF_DXA among women (4%), but the magnitudes of these biases varied with the level of body fatness. The addition of covariates and quadratic terms for the body size measures in regression models substantially improved the prediction of PBF_DXA, but none of the models based on BAI could more accurately predict PBF_DXA than could those based on BMI or circumferences. We conclude that the use of BAI as an indicator of adiposity is likely to produce biased estimates of percent body fat, with the errors varying by sex and level of body fatness. Although regression models that account for the nonlinear association, as well as the influence of sex, age, and race, can yield more accurate estimates of PBF_DXA, estimates based on BAI are not more accurate than those based on BMI, waist circumference, or hip circumference.     

Synchronous Elicitation of Development in Root Caps Induces Transient Gene Expression Changes Common to Legume and Gymnosperm Species

Root cap development in cereals and legumes is self-regulated by a repressor that accumulates in the extracellular environment, and immersing the root tip into water results in renewed cap development. By exploiting this phenomenon, root cap mitosis and differentiation can be synchronously induced among populations. In Pisum sativum L., messenger RNA (mRNA) differential display revealed changes in expression of approximately 1% of the sample mRNA population within minutes of induced cap turnover. This profile changes sequentially over a period of 30 min, then stabilizes. Microarray analysis of Medicago truncatula root caps confirmed changes in expression of approximately 1% of the target population, within minutes. A cell specific marker for cap turnover exhibited the same temporal and spatial expression profile in the gymnosperm species Norway spruce (Picea abies) as in pea. Induced cap development provides a means to profile cell-specific gene expression among phylogenetically diverse species from the early moments of mitosis and cellular differentiation.     

Partial purification,subunit structure and thermal stability of the photochemical reaction center of the thermophilic green bacterium Chloroflexus aurantiacus

Spectrally pure reaction center preparations from Chloroflexus aurantiacus have been obtained in a stable form; however, the product contained several contaminating polypeptides. The reaction center pigment molecules (probably three bacteriochlorophyll a and three bacteriopheophytin a molecules) are associated with two polypeptides (M_r = 30000 and 28000) in a reaction center complex of M_r = 52000. No carotenoid is present in the complex. These data together with previous spectral data suggest that the Chloroflexus reaction center represents a more primitive evolutionary form of the purple bacterial reaction center, and that it has little if any relationship to the green bacterial component. A reaction center preparation from Rhodopseudomonas sphaeroides R26 was fully denatured at 50°C while the Chloroflexus reaction center required higher temperatures (70–75°C) for complete denaturation. Thus, an intrinsic membrane protein of a photosynthetic thermophile has been demonstrated to have greater thermal stability than the equivalent component of a mesophile.     

Sheep Linkage Mapping: Nineteen Linkage Groups Derived from the Analysis of Paternal Half-Sib Families

Nineteen linkage groups containing a total of 52 markers have been identified in the sheep genome after typing large paternal half-sib families. The linkage groups range in size from 2 markers showing no recombination to a group containing 6 markers covering approximately 30 cM of the sheep genome. Thirteen of the groups have been assigned to a sheep chromosome. Three groups contain markers from bovine syntenic groups U2, U7 and U29, and one other group contains a marker that has been mapped only in humans. The remaining three groups are unassigned. This information will provide a useful foundation for a genetic linkage map of sheep.     

Interstitial deletion of chromosome 15: two cases

Summary Two cases of interstitial deletion of chromosome 15 with similar clinical features are presented. In one case, assay of hexosaminidase A enabled us to confirm that the structural gene is located between 15q22 and 15q25 and that it is included in the deletion.     

Plant–pollinator interactions in a Mexican Acacia community

Competition for pollination is thought to be an important factor structuring flowering in many plant communities, particularly among plant taxa with morphologically similar and easily accessible flowers. We examined the potential for heterospecific pollen transfer (HPT) in a community of four Acacia species in a highly seasonal tropical habitat in Mexico. Partitioning of pollen flow among sympatric species appears to be achieved, in part, through segregation of flowering in seasonal time, and interspecific differences in pollinator guilds. However, two coflowering species (Acacia macracantha and Acacia angustissima) shared multiple flower visitors, raising the possibility of HPT. Each of these coflowering species showed high intraspecific daily synchrony in pollen release, but dehisce at different times of day. Pollinators rapidly harvested available pollen from one species before abandoning it to visit the flowers of the second later in the day. The activity of shared pollinators, predominantly bees, is thus structured throughout the day, and potential for HPT reduced. Suggestive evidence in favour of a resource partitioning explanation for this pattern is provided by the fact that A. macracantha showed significantly greater intraspecific synchrony when coflowering with a potential competitor (A. angustissima) than when flowering alone. We discuss our results in light of previous work on coflowering acacia assemblages in Tanzania and Australia. Electronic supplementary material  The online version of this article (doi:) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.