Modelling the effect of forest cover on shallow landslides at the river basin scale

The potential for reducing the occurrence of shallow landslides through targeted reforestation of critical parts of a river basin is explored through mathematical modelling. Through the systematic investigation of land management options, modelling allows the optimum strategies to be selected ahead of any real intervention in the basin. Physically based models, for which the parameters can be evaluated using physical reasoning, offer particular advantages for predicting the effects of possible future changes in land use and climate. Typically a physically based landslide model consists of a coupled hydrological model (for soil moisture) and a geotechnical slope stability model, along with an impact model, such as basin sediment yield. An application of the SHETRAN model to the 65.8-km² Guabalcón basin in central Ecuador demonstrates a technique for identifying the areas of a basin most susceptible to shallow landsliding and for quantifying the effects of different vegetation covers on landslide incidence. Thus, for the modelled scenario, increasing root cohesion from 300 to 1500 Pa causes a two-thirds reduction in the number of landslides. Useful information can be obtained even on the basis of imperfect data availability but model output should be interpreted carefully in the light of parameter uncertainty.     

Screening for Down's syndrome using serum alpha fetoprotein: a retrospective study indicating caution.

A report was made on the outcome of a four year retrospective study in 27 064 pregnancies, of the clinical efficiency, sensitivity, and specificity of a screening programme for Down''s syndrome based on reported strategies related to the measurement of maternal serum alpha fetoprotein. This study identified 27 pregnancies affected by Down''s syndrome with a median multiple of the median maternal serum alpha fetoprotein concentration of 0.82. This figure is considerably higher than that obtained from previous reports on this subject. With an age related multiple of the median maternal serum alpha fetoprotein strategy, 30.8% of Down''s affected pregnancies were identified as well as 11.6% of unaffected pregnancies. Perhaps a United Kingdom collaborative study should begin to investigate the reasons for such wide population variance in the reports for the median multiple of the median for Down''s affected pregnancies. Until such studies are carried out, screening for Down''s syndrome based on low maternal serum alpha fetoprotein concentration is premature.     

A possible virus cryptic in carnation

Small isometric virus-like particles were found in low concentration in apparently healthy carnations of the Mediterranean, miniature and Chinese type but not in eleven Sim cultivars tested. Most carnations containing these particles were from Italy but some were from France and the USA. The particles were not transmitted by grafting or by mechanical inoculation but were seed-transmitted to a large proportion of seedlings. Antisera to partially purified particles were obtained. The particles did not react with antisera to twenty-eight isometric plant viruses or virus-like particles but were serologically related to similar particles found in carnations in England, Holland and Israel. When negatively stained, the particles were isometric with a diameter of about 29 nm and a rounded rather than angular profile, but without clear substructure; some particles were penetrated by the stain. The particles remained intact in neutral sodium phosphotungstate. After isopycnic centrifugation in CsCl solution, preparations of particles formed a main band of mean density 1.377 g/ml and other fainter bands that varied in intensity and position in different preparations. In thin sections of carnations, no virus-like particles or cytological abnormalities were observed.     

Differetial sensitivity of spontaneously hypertensive rats to the hypothermic effect of dopaminergic drugs

The dopaminergic agonist apomorphine produces dose-related hypothermia in naive rats as does L-DOPA in carbidopa-pretreated rats. The hypothermic responses to these two dopaminergic drugs were significantly more pronounced and prolonged in the spontaneously hypertensive rat than in normotensive Wistar control rats. The greater sensitivity of the SHR to these drugs was reflected as a leftward shift of the dose-response curves for apomorphine- and L-DOPA-induced hypothermias.     

Differences in chemical composition of plants grown at constant relative growth rates with stable mineral nutrition

Summary Leaf chemistry of a willow clone (Salix aquatica Smith) differed significantly when grown at constant relative growth rates depending upon the relative availability of nutrients and light. Concentration of amino acids and nitrate were high in plants grown with a relative surplus of nutrients. Concentrations of starch, tannin, and lignin, on the other hand, were high in plants grown with a relative surplus of carbon. Photosynthetic rates, expressed per unit leaf area, were similar when plants were grown under high light conditions, regardless of nutrient availability. Dark respiration was much higher in plants supplied with abundant nutrients than in those with a more limited supply, reflecting differences in nitrogen concentration of the tissue. The experimental approach allows plants to be grown to a standard size with differing, but highly uniform chemistry. Plants grown in such a manner may provide good experimental material to evaluate interactions between herbivores or pathogens and their hosts.     

Modulation of slow and fast elbow extensor EMG tonic activity by stretch reflexes in man

Reflex EMG responses to sudden passive flexion of the elbow were recorded from anconeus and triceps brachii in 5 human volunteers. While the subjects were required not to resist the flexion movement, they were required to maintain an extension torque of 3.5 or 7.0 Nm prior to its onset. Under these isotonic conditions, the latency and amplitude of the reflex activities from anconeus and triceps brachii did not differ significantly, in contrast to the findings of Le Bozec (1986) in actively relaxed subjects. The myotatic/postmyotatic EMG amplitude ratio did not provide a further quantitative way to distinguish between these muscles. The absence of a difference between the reflex activities of a slow (anconeus) and a fast (triceps brachii) muscle is interpreted as resulting from a strong drive of spindle activity on the whole extensor motoneuron pool, which outweights the differences in recruitment due to the differing relative amounts of type I and type II fibres in the two muscles. Differences like those described between finger and calf muscles by other authors are thought to be due to the relative degree of corticalization of these muscles. All short and long latency responses of the muscles increased in magnitude and decreased in latency with increasing background EMG activity as well as with increasing initial length. The position and tonic activity dependency of these responses is explained in terms of alpha-gamma coactivation.