Spatial prediction of malaria prevalence in an endemic area of Bangladesh

Background

Malaria is a major public health burden in Southeastern Bangladesh, particularly in the Chittagong Hill Tracts region. Malaria is endemic in 13 districts of Bangladesh and the highest prevalence occurs in Khagrachari (15.47%).

Methods

A risk map was developed and geographic risk factors identified using a Bayesian approach. The Bayesian geostatistical model was developed from previously identified individual and environmental covariates (p < 0.2; age, different forest types, elevation and economic status) for malaria prevalence using WinBUGS 1.4. Spatial correlation was estimated within a Bayesian framework based on a geostatistical model. The infection status (positives and negatives) was modeled using a Bernoulli distribution. Maps of the posterior distributions of predicted prevalence were developed in geographic information system (GIS).

Results

Predicted high prevalence areas were located along the north-eastern areas, and central part of the study area. Low to moderate prevalence areas were predicted in the southwestern, southeastern and central regions. Individual age and nearness to fragmented forest were associated with malaria prevalence after adjusting the spatial auto-correlation.

Conclusion

A Bayesian analytical approach using multiple enabling technologies (geographic information systems, global positioning systems, and remote sensing) provide a strategy to characterize spatial heterogeneity in malaria risk at a fine scale. Even in the most hyper endemic region of Bangladesh there is substantial spatial heterogeneity in risk. Areas that are predicted to be at high risk, based on the environment but that have not been reached by surveys are identified.

     

THE ACCUMULATION OF ELECTROLYTES : I. THE ENTRANCE OF AMMONIA INTO VALONIA MACROPHYSA

When 0.005 M NH₄Cl is added to sea water containing cells of Valonia macrophysa ammonia soon appears in the sap and may reach a concentration inside over 40 times as great as outside. It appears to enter as undissociated NH₃ (or NH₄OH) and tends to reach a pseudoequilibrium in which the activity of undissociated NH₃ (or NH₄OH) is the same inside and outside. When ammonia first enters, the pH value of the sap rapidly rises but it soon reaches a maximum and subsequently falls off. At the same time there is an increase of halide in the sap which, however, does not run a parallel course to the ammonia accumulation, but it comes to a new equilibrium value and remains constant. The increase in NH₃ in the sap is accompanied by a decrease in the concentration of K. As NH₃ enters the specific gravity of the sap decreases and the cells rise to the surface and continue to grow as floating organisms. The growth of the cells is increased.     

Identification of Mycobacterium kansasii by Susceptibility to Hydroxylamine

Among biochemical tests useful in the study of mycobacteria, the hydroxylamine test is shown to be an effective tool in the differentiation of Mycobacterium kansasii from saprophytic strains of group III acid-fast bacilli when combined with the photochromogen test.     

THE ACCUMULATION OF ELECTROLYTES : IV. INTERNAL VERSUS EXTERNAL CONCENTRATIONS OF POTASSIUM

Lowering the potassium in the sea water from 0.011 M to 0.006 M caused an exit of potassium from cells of Valonia macrophysa. Sodium continued to penetrate and the ratio K ÷ Na fell off. The cells ceased to grow but there was no evidence of injury. Increasing the external potassium brought about an increase of the internal concentration of potassium, of halide, of total cations, and of the ratio K ÷ Na inside. These phenomena are to be expected on theoretical grounds.     

Fundamental processes of protein folding: measuring the energetic balance between helix formation and hydrophobic interactions

Theories of protein folding often consider contributions from three fundamental elements: loops, hydrophobic interactions, and secondary structures. The pathway of protein folding, the rate of folding, and the final folded structure should be predictable if the energetic contributions to folding of these fundamental factors were properly understood. alphatalpha is a helix-turn-helix peptide that was developed by de novo design to provide a model system for the study of these important elements of protein folding. Hydrogen exchange experiments were performed on selectively 15N-labeled alphatalpha and used to calculate the stability of hydrogen bonds within the peptide. The resulting pattern of hydrogen bond stability was analyzed using a version of Lifson-Roig model that was extended to include a statistical parameter for tertiary interactions. This parameter, x, represents the additional statistical weight conferred upon a helical state by a tertiary contact. The hydrogen exchange data is most closely fit by the XHC model with an x parameter of 9.25. Thus the statistical weight of a hydrophobic tertiary contact is approximately 5.8x the statistical weight for helix formation by alanine. The value for the x parameter derived from this study should provide a basis for the understanding of the relationship between hydrophobic cluster formation and secondary structure formation during the early stages of protein folding.     

荷木树干CO_2释放通量与木质部液流和CO_2浓度的关系

采用红外气体分析仪,于2008年10月17-19日连续3个昼夜原位监测了荷木的树干CO_2释放通量、树干温度、木质部液流密度和CO_2浓度.结果表明:树干CO_2释放通量(EA)日变化呈S形曲线,不同径级间差异显著.EA与树干温度呈显著幂函数关系(0.24

Abstract：

By using a Li-820 infra-red CO_2 gas analyzer, an in situ measurement of Schima super-ba stem CO_2 efflux was conducted for three consecutive days from 17 to 19 October 2008. In the meantime, the stem temperature, xylem sap efflux density, and xylem CO_2 concentration were measured. The stem CO_2 efflux had a diurnal variation of "S" pattern, and differed significantly with stem diameter. There was a significant exponential relationship between stem CO_2 efflux and stem temperature (0. 24 < R~2 < 0. 78). The temperature coefficient (b) and regression coeffi-cient (R~2) were higher at nighttime than at daytime, and the Q_(10) value ranged from 2. 01 to 2. 79. The stem CO_2 efflux correlated significantly with the xylem CO_2 concentration, and the best regression curve was cubic (R~2= 0. 48). Excluding the effects of stem temperature, the stem CO_2 efflux showed a significant negative correlation with xylem sap flux density (r =-0.462). Therefore, only using simple temperature function to estimate stem CO_2 efflux would yield a significant error, and xylem sap flux should be taken into consideration in the stem CO_2 emux estimation.     

Association between microscopic brain damage as indicated by magnetization transfer imaging and anticardiolipin antibodies in neuropsychiatric lupus

The pathogenetic role of anticardiolipin antibodies (aCLs) in patients with neuropsychiatric systemic lupus erythematosus (NPSLE) without cerebral infarcts remains elusive. Magnetization transfer imaging (MTI) has proved to be a sensitive tool for detecting diffuse microscopic brain damage in NPSLE patients. In this study we examined the correlation between grey and white matter magnetization transfer ratio (MTR) parameters and the presence of IgM and IgG aCLs and lupus anticoagulant in 18 patients with systemic lupus erythematosus and a history of NPSLE but without cerebral infarcts on conventional magnetic resonance imaging. Lower grey matter mean MTR (P < 0.05), white matter mean MTR (P < 0.05), white matter peak location (P < 0.05) and grey matter peak location (trend toward statistical significance) were observed in IgM aCL-positive patients than in IgM aCL-negative patients. No significant differences were found in MTR histogram parameters with respect to IgG aCL and lupus anticoagulant status, nor with respect to anti-dsDNA or anti-ENA (extractable nuclear antigen) status. This is the first report of an association between the presence of aCLs and cerebral damage in grey and white matter in NPSLE. Our findings suggest that aCLs are associated with diffuse brain involvement in NPSLE patients.     

变性高效液相色谱技术对创伤弧菌检测的研究

应用PCR结合变性高效液相色谱技术对创伤弧菌进行检测,建立创伤弧菌快速准确的检测新方法。经过DHPLC分析条件优化,在DHPLC非变性温度下分析创伤弧菌特异性PCR扩增产物。同时进行方法特异性、灵敏度、重复性实验。实验结果表明所建立的创伤弧菌PCR-DHPLC检测方法特异性强、灵敏度高、重现性好、结果稳定可靠、检测时间短,检测低限可达到124 CFU/mL,是创伤弧菌快速检测的新技术。