Sex? and species?biased gene flow in a spotted eagle hybrid zone

Background  

Recent theoretical and empirical work points toward a significant role for sex-chromosome linked genes in the evolution of traits that induce reproductive isolation and for traits that evolve under influence of sexual selection. Empirical studies including recently diverged (Pleistocene), short-lived avian species pairs with short generation times have found that introgression occurs on the autosomes but not on the Z-chromosome. Here we study genetic differentiation and gene flow in the long-lived greater spotted eagle (Aquila clanga) and lesser spotted eagle (A. pomarina), two species with comparatively long generation times.     

Minimizing the cost of environmental management decisions by optimizing statistical thresholds

Environmental management decisions are prone to expensive mistakes if they are triggered by hypothesis tests using the conventional Type I error rate (α) of 0.05. We derive optimal α‐levels for decision‐making by minimizing a cost function that specifies the overall cost of monitoring and management. When managing an economically valuable koala population, it shows that a decision based on α = 0.05 carries an expected cost over $5 million greater than the optimal decision. For a species of such value, there is never any benefit in guarding against the spurious detection of declines and therefore management should proceed directly to recovery action. This result holds in most circumstances where the species’ value substantially exceeds its recovery costs. For species of lower economic value, we show that the conventional α‐level of 0.05 rarely approximates the optimal decision‐making threshold. This analysis supports calls for reversing the statistical ‘burden of proof’ in environmental decision‐making when the cost of Type II errors is relatively high.