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Kirsty J. Bolton James M. McCaw Lorena Brown David Jackson Katherine Kedzierska Jodie McVernon 《PloS one》2015,10(3)
Vaccines that trigger an influenza-specific cytotoxic T cell (CTL) response may aid pandemic control by limiting the transmission of novel influenza A viruses (IAV). We consider interventions with hypothetical CTL-inducing vaccines in a range of epidemiologically plausible pandemic scenarios. We estimate the achievable reduction in the attack rate, and, by adopting a model linking epidemic progression to the emergence of IAV variants, the opportunity for antigenic drift. We demonstrate that CTL-inducing vaccines have limited utility for modifying population-level outcomes if influenza-specific T cells found widely in adults already suppress transmission and prove difficult to enhance. Administration of CTL-inducing vaccines that are efficacious in "influenza-experienced" and "influenza-naive" hosts can likely slow transmission sufficiently to mitigate a moderate IAV pandemic. However if neutralising cross-reactive antibody to an emerging IAV are common in influenza-experienced hosts, as for the swine-variant H3N2v, boosting CTL immunity may be ineffective at reducing population spread, indicating that CTL-inducing vaccines are best used against novel subtypes such as H7N9. Unless vaccines cannot readily suppress transmission from infected hosts with naive T cell pools, targeting influenza-naive hosts is preferable. Such strategies are of enhanced benefit if naive hosts are typically intensively mixing children and when a subset of experienced hosts have pre-existing neutralising cross-reactive antibody. We show that CTL-inducing vaccination campaigns may have greater power to suppress antigenic drift than previously suggested, and targeting adults may be the optimal strategy to achieve this when the vaccination campaign does not have the power to curtail the attack rate. Our results highlight the need to design interventions based on pre-existing cellular immunity and knowledge of the host determinants of vaccine efficacy, and provide a framework for assessing the performance requirements of high-impact CTL-inducing vaccines. 相似文献
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S Zaloumis A Humberstone SA Charman RN Price J Moehrle J Gamo-Benito J McCaw KM Jamsen K Smith JA Simpson 《Malaria journal》2012,11(1):303
ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND: Mechanistic within-host models relating blood anti-malarial drug concentrations with the parasite-time profile help in assessing dosing schedules and partner drugs for new antimalarial treatments. A comprehensive simulation study to assess the utility of a stage-specific pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic (PK-PD) model for predicting within-host parasite response was performed. METHODS: Three anti-malarial combination therapies were selected: artesunate-mefloquine, dihydroartemisinin-piperaquine, and artemether-lumefantrine. The PK-PD model included parameters to represent the concentration-time profiles of both drugs, the initial parasite burden and distribution across the parasite life cycle, and the parasite multiplication factor due to asexual reproduction. The model also included the maximal killing rate of each drug, and the blood drug concentration associated with half of that killing effect (in vivo EC50), derived from the in vitro IC50, the extent of binding to 0.5% Albumax present in the in vitro testing media, and the drugs plasma protein binding and whole blood to plasma partitioning ratio. All stochastic simulations were performed using a Latin-Hypercube-Sampling approach. RESULTS: The simulations demonstrated that the proportion of patients cured was highly sensitive to the in vivo EC50 and the maximal killing rate of the partner drug co-administered with the artemisinin derivative. The in vivo EC50 values that corresponded to on average 95% of patients cured were much higher than the adjusted values derived from the in vitro IC50. The proportion clinically cured was not strongly influenced by changes in the parameters defining the age distribution of the initial parasite burden (mean age of 4 to 16 hours) and the parasite multiplication factor every life cycle (ranging from 8 to 12 fold/cycle). The median parasite clearance times, however, lengthened as the standard deviation of the initial parasite burden increased (i.e. the infection became more asynchronous). CONCLUSIONS: This simulation study demonstrates that the PD effect predicted from in vitro growth inhibition assays does not accord well with the PD effect of the anti-malarials observed within the patient. This simulation-based PK-PD modelling approach should not be considered as a replacement to conducting clinical trials but instead as a decision tool to improve the design of a clinical trial during drug development. 相似文献
56.
Retardation of Division of Three Ciliates by Intermittent and Continuous Ultraviolet Radiations at Different Temperatures
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The same dosage of ultraviolet (UV) radiation retards division of several protozoans more effectively when the light is intermittent than when it is continuous, and especially at temperatures of 25–35°C. At lower temperatures the difference between the effects of intermittent and continuous radiations is less marked. Somewhat similar results were obtained with the ciliates Paramecium caudatum, Blepharisma japonicum, and Colpidium colpoda, the disparity between intermittent and continuous light decreasing in the order given. The data are taken to indicate that thermochemical dark reactions succeed the absorption of UV radiations by the cells. In Blepharisma, besides initial delay in division, the cells stop dividing after one or two divisions, a "stasis" ensuing. Stasis is marked when the cells are irradiated at higher temperatures but is slight when they are irradiated at low temperatures, as if the temperature-sensitive reaction involved stasis (in all cases cultures are grown at 25°C). The data are related to findings in the literature. 相似文献
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MOTIVATION: Recently, we described a Maximum Weighted Matching (MWM) method
for RNA structure prediction. The MWM method is capable of detecting
pseudoknots and other tertiary base-pairing interactions in a
computationally efficient manner (Cary and Stormo, Proceedings of the Third
International Conference on Intelligent Systems for Molecular Biology, pp.
75-80, 1995). Here we report on the results of our efforts to improve the
MWM method's predictive accuracy, and show how the method can be extended
to detect base interactions formerly inaccessible to automated RNA modeling
techniques. RESULTS: Improved performance in MWM structure prediction was
achieved in two ways. First, new ways of calculating base pair likelihoods
have been developed. These allow experimental data and combined statistical
and thermodynamic information to be used by the program. Second, accuracy
was improved by developing techniques for filtering out spurious base pairs
predicted by the MWM program. We also demonstrate here a means by which the
MWM folding method may be used to detect the presence of base triples in
RNAs. AVAILABILITY: http://www.cshl.org/mzhanglab/tabaska/j axpage. html
CONTACT: tabaska@cshl.org
相似文献
58.
Walter RB; Rolig RL; Kozak KA; McEntire B; Morizot DC; Nairn RS 《Molecular biology and evolution》1993,10(6):1227-1238
Fishes represent the stem vertebrate condition and have maintained several
gene arrangements common to mammalian genomes throughout the 450 Myr of
divergence from a common ancestor. One such syntenic arrangement includes
the GPI-PEPD enzyme association on Xiphophorus linkage group IV and human
chromosome 19. Previously we assigned the Xiphophorus homologue of the
human ERCC2 gene to linkage group U5 in tight association with the CKM
locus. CKM is also tightly linked to the ERCC2 locus on human chromosome
19, leading to speculation that human chromosome 19 may have arisen by
fusion of two ancestral linkage groups which have been maintained in
fishes. To investigate this hypothesis further, we isolated and sequenced
Xiphophorus fish genomic regions exhibiting considerable sequence
similarity to the human DNA ligase 1 amino acid sequence. Comparison of the
fish DNA ligase sequence with those of other species suggests several modes
of amino acid conservation in this gene. A 2.2-kb restriction fragment
containing part of an X. maculatus DNA ligase 1 exon was used in backcross
hybrid mapping with 12 enzyme or RFLP loci. Significant linkage was
observed between the nucleoside phosphorylase (NP2) and the DNA ligase
(LIG1) loci on Xiphophorus linkage group VI. This assignment suggests that
the association of four DNA repair-related genes on human chromosome 19 may
be the result of chance chromosomal rearrangements.
相似文献
59.
Uric acid (UA) is a blood and urine component obtained as a metabolic by-product of purine nucleotides. Abnormalities in UA metabolism cause crystal deposition as monosodium urate and lead to various diseases such as gout, hyperuricemia, Lesch–Nyhan syndrome, etc. Monitoring these diseases requires a rapid, sensitive, selective, and portable detection approach. Therefore, this study demonstrates the hydrothermal synthesis of CuFe2O4/reduced graphene oxide (rGO) nanocomposite for selective detection of UA. After the nanocomposite synthesis, characterization was performed by X-ray diffraction spectroscopy, Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy, Raman spectroscopy, X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy, UV–visible spectrometry, atomic force spectroscopy, scanning electron microscopy, and electrochemical analysis. Furthermore, from the electrochemical analysis using cyclic voltammetry (CV), kinetic studies were carried out by varying the scan rate to obtain the diffusion coefficient, surface concentration, and rate of charge transfer to achieve a calibration curve that indicates the quasi reversible nature of the fabricated electrode with a linear regression coefficient of oxidation (R2: 0.9992) and reduction (R2: 0.9971) peaks. Moreover, the fabricated nonenzymatic amperometric sensor to detect UA with a linearity (R2: 0.9989) of 1–400 μM was highly sensitive (2.75 × 10−4 mAμM−1 cm−2) and had a lower limit of detection (0.01231 μM) at pH 7.5 in phosphate-buffered saline solution. Therefore, the CuFe2O4/rGO/ITO-based nonenzymatic sensor could detect interfering agents and spiked real bovine serum samples with higher sensitivity and selectivity for UA detection. 相似文献
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