The Probabilities of Unique Events

Many theorists argue that the probabilities of unique events, even real possibilities such as President Obama''s re-election, are meaningless. As a consequence, psychologists have seldom investigated them. We propose a new theory (implemented in a computer program) in which such estimates depend on an intuitive non-numerical system capable only of simple procedures, and a deliberative system that maps intuitions into numbers. The theory predicts that estimates of the probabilities of conjunctions should often tend to split the difference between the probabilities of the two conjuncts. We report two experiments showing that individuals commit such violations of the probability calculus, and corroborating other predictions of the theory, e.g., individuals err in the same way even when they make non-numerical verbal estimates, such as that an event is highly improbable.     

Systematic comparison of two novel,thiol-reactive prosthetic groups for <Superscript>18</Superscript>F labeling of peptides and proteins with the acylation agent succinimidyl-4-[<Superscript>18</Superscript>F]fluorobenzoate ([<Superscript>18</Superscript>F]SFB)

A systematic comparison of 4-[¹⁸F]fluorobenzaldehyde-O-(2-{2-[2-(pyrrol-2,5-dione-1-yl)ethoxy]-ethoxy}-ethyl)oxime ([¹⁸F]FBOM) and 4-[¹⁸F]fluorobenzaldehyde-O-[6-(2,5-dioxo-2,5-dihydro-pyrrol-1-yl)-hexyl]oxime ([¹⁸F]FBAM) as prosthetic groups for the mild and efficient ¹⁸F labeling of cysteine-containing peptides and proteins with the amine-group reactive acylation agent, succinimidyl-4-[¹⁸F]fluorobenzoate ([¹⁸F]SFB), is described. All three prosthetic groups were prepared in a remotely controlled synthesis module. Synthesis of [¹⁸F]FBOM and [¹⁸F]FBAM was accomplished via oxime formation through reaction of appropriate aminooxy-functionalized labeling precursors with 4-[¹⁸F]fluorobenzaldehyde. The obtained radiochemical yields were 19% ([¹⁸F]FBOM) and 29% ([¹⁸F]FBAM), respectively. Radiolabeling involving [¹⁸F]FBAM and [¹⁸F]FBOM was exemplified by the reaction with cysteine-containing tripeptide glutathione (GSH), a cysteine-containing dimeric neurotensin derivative, and human native low-density lipoprotein (nLDL) as model compounds. Radiolabeling with the acylation agent [¹⁸F]SFB was carried out using a dimeric neurotensin derivative and nLDL. Both thiol-group reactive prosthetic groups show significantly better labeling efficiencies for the peptides in comparison with the acylation agent [¹⁸F]SFB. The obtained results demonstrate that [¹⁸F]FBOM is especially suited for the labeling of hydrophilic cysteine-containing peptides, whereas [¹⁸F]FBAM shows superior labeling performance for higher molecular weight compounds as exemplified for nLDL apolipoprotein constituents. However, the acylation agent [¹⁸F]SFB is the preferred prosthetic group for labeling nLDL under physiological conditions.     

Heterochrony and tooth evolution in hyperodapedontine rhynchosaurs (Reptilia, Diapsida)

The tooth arrangement of hyperodapedontine rhynchosaurs shows clear patterns of morphological derivation, which can be summarized as three main apomorphic trends: the increase in the number of tooth rows lateral to the main maxillary groove, the loss of dental structures (medial groove and lingual teeth) medial to the main maxillary groove, and the loss of dental structures (medial crest and lingual teeth) medial to the main dentary crest. The analysis of these trends from a heterochronic viewpoint reveals that acceleration was the most probable process involved in the increase in number of the lateral maxillary tooth rows, while the loss of the medial structures of the maxilla and dentary seem to be related respectively to neoteny and post-displacement. Both peramorphic and paedomorphic processes are, therefore, thought to have directed the main modifications seen in the tooth arrangement of the hyperodapedontine rhynchosaurs. Heterochrony plays an important role in the evolution of the Late Triassic rhynchosaurs, which are differentiated mainly on the basis of their dental morphology.     

Temporal Analysis of Changes in Neuronal c-fos mRNA Levels Induced by Depletion of Endoplasmic Reticulum Calcium Stores: Effect of Clamping Cytoplasmic Calcium Activity at Resting Levels

Abstract: Activation of immediate early gene expression is a key event in stress-induced neuronal cell injury. To study whether changes in cytoplasmic calcium activity are necessary to activate neuronal immediate early gene expression, endoplasmic reticulum (ER) calcium stores of primary neurons were depleted by exposing cells to thapsigargin (Tg), an irreversible inhibitor of ER Ca²⁺-ATPase. Tg-induced rise in [Ca²⁺]_i and the effect of loading neurons with the cell-permeable calcium chelator BAPTA-AM on this increase in [Ca²⁺]_i were measured in fura-2-loaded cells by fluorescence microscopy. Changes in c- fos mRNA levels were evaluated by quantitative PCR. Tg treatment of neurons produced a pronounced rise in c- fos mRNA levels (∼10-fold more than DMSO) which peaked at 1 h after exposure. The Tg-induced rise in c- fos mRNA content was unchanged (hippocampal neurons) or even increased further (cortical neurons) by preloading cells with BAPTA before incubation with Tg. It is concluded that in neuronal cells an increase in cytoplasmic calcium activity is not a prerequisite for a rise in mRNA levels of c- fos . Thus, stress-induced changes in mRNA levels of immediate early genes of neurons may also result from disturbances in ER calcium homeostasis and not necessarily by an overload of cells with calcium ions. The results of the present series of experiments cast further doubt on the widely accepted hypothesis that the stress-induced cytoplasmic overload of neurons with calcium ions is the primary event triggering cell injury.     

Predation Hot Spots: Large Scale Impact of Local Aggregations

Abstract   Broad scale survey distributions of fish are dominated by some extremely high catches. With a novel survey design we resolved the small-scale fish distribution in the spatio-temporal vicinity of these extreme hauls and showed that in the North Sea they generally do not occur in isolation. An additional case study where stomach contents of fish predators were analyzed revealed that they actually indicate aggregations of piscivorous fish predators on prey aggregations. We show that the predation impact can reach immense dimensions, an aggregation of more than 50 million juvenile cod (Gadus morhua) was entirely wiped out in 5 days by predatory whiting (Merlangius merlangus), aggregating on these juveniles in an area of approximately 18 km². The consumption of only 32 hot spots of similar magnitude as observed in our study adds up to the average size of an incoming North Sea cod year class. These findings support the hypothesis of predation as the major source of mortality in young-of-the-year demersal fish species and questions the generality of fish aggregation as an effective anti-predator strategy. This study highlights the system-wide structuring force of small-scale predation hot spots and further points to the importance of a more realistic implementation of local high-intensity predation events in food web models. Electronic supplementary material:   The online version of this article (doi:) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.     

Soil biotic processes remain remarkably stable after 100-year extreme weather events in experimental grassland and heath

Climate change will increase the recurrence of extreme weather events such as drought and heavy rainfall. Evidence suggests that extreme weather events pose threats to ecosystem functioning, particularly to nutrient cycling and biomass production. These ecosystem functions depend strongly on below-ground biotic processes, including the activity and interactions among plants, soil fauna, and micro-organisms. Here, experimental grassland and heath communities of three phytodiversity levels were exposed either to a simulated single drought or to a heavy rainfall event. Both weather manipulations were repeated for two consecutive years. The magnitude of manipulations imitated the local 100-year extreme weather event. Heavy rainfall events increased below-ground plant biomass and stimulated soil enzyme activities as well as decomposition rates for both plant communities. In contrast, extreme drought did not reduce below-ground plant biomass and root length, soil enzyme activities, and cellulose decomposition rate. The low responsiveness of the measured ecosystem properties in face of the applied weather manipulations rendered the detection of significant interactions between weather events and phytodiversity impossible. Our data indicate on the one hand the close interaction between below ground plant parameters and microbial turnover processes in soil; on the other hand it shows that the plant–soil system can buffer against extreme drought events, at last for the period of investigation.     

Coloboma Hyperactive Mutant Mice Exhibit Regional and Transmitter-Specific Deficits in Neurotransmission

Abstract: The mouse mutant coloboma ( Cm /+), which exhibits profound spontaneous hyperactivity and bears a deletion mutation on chromosome 2, including the gene encoding synaptosomal protein SNAP-25, has been proposed to model aspects of attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder. Increasing evidence suggests a crucial role for SNAP-25 in the release of both classical neurotransmitters and neuropeptides. In the present study, we compared the release of specific neurotransmitters in vitro from synaptosomes and slices of selected brain regions from Cm /+ mice with that of +/+ mice. The release of dopamine (DA) and serotonin (5-HT) from striatum, and of arginine vasopressin and corticotropin-releasing factor from hypothalamus and amygdala is calcium-dependent. Glutamate release from and content in cortical synaptosomes of Cm /+ mice are greatly reduced, which might contribute to the learning deficits in these mutants. In dorsal striatum of Cm /+ mutants, but not ventral striatum, KCI-induced release of DA is completely blocked and that of 5-HT is significantly attenuated, suggesting that striatal DA and 5-HT deficiencies may be involved in hyperactivity. Further, although acetylcholine failed to induce hypothalamic corticotropin-releasing factor release from Cm /+ slices, restraint stress increased plasma corticosterone levels in Cm /+ mice to a significantly higher level than in +/+ mice, suggesting an important role for arginine vasopressin in hypothalamic-pituitary-adrenal axis activation. These results suggest that reduced SNAP-25 expression may contribute to a region-specific and neurotransmitter-specific deficiency in neurotransmitter release.     

Large-scale bioreactor production of the herbicide-degrading Aminobacter sp. strain MSH1

The Aminobacter sp. strain MSH1 has potential for pesticide bioremediation because it degrades the herbicide metabolite 2,6-dichlorobenzamide (BAM). Production of the BAM-degrading bacterium using aerobic bioreactor fermentation was investigated. A mineral salt medium limited for carbon and with an element composition similar to the strain was generated. The optimal pH and temperature for strain growth were determined using shaker flasks and verified in bioreactors. Glucose, fructose, and glycerol were suitable carbon sources for MSH1 (μ?=?0.1 h^?1); slower growth was observed on succinate and acetic acid (μ?=?0.01 h^?1). Standard conditions for growth of the MSH1 strain were defined at pH 7 and 25 °C, with glucose as the carbon source. In bioreactors (1 and 5 L), the specific growth rate of MSH1 increased from μ?=?0.1 h^?1 on traditional mineral salt medium to μ?=?0.18 h^?1 on the optimized mineral salt medium. The biomass yield under standard conditions was 0.47 g dry weight biomass/g glucose consumed. An investigation of the catabolic capacity of MSH1 cells harvested in exponential and stationary growth phases showed a degradation activity per cell of about 3?×?10^?9 μg BAM h^?1. Thus, fast, efficient, large-scale production of herbicide-degrading Aminobacter was possible, bringing the use of this bacterium in bioaugmentation field remediation closer to reality.