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Using indicator time series for assessment and management requires methods for characterising recent time trends. We propose an approach where first the indicator time series is smoothed using a generalised additive model with optimal selection of the degree of smoothness. Second an intersection–union test is carried out using two test statistics which are the occurrence of the global maximum (or minimum) within the most recent years and the signs of the estimated annual first derivatives of the smoothed indicator times series during the same period, including years with missing data. The proposed test is applied to fish abundance indices for the North Sea, for which it is they are able to pick up changes happening during the last 3–5 years in contrast to linear regression and the Mann–Kendall test which find much fewer significant recent trends. An additional test for changes in trends using the second derivatives of the smoothed indicator time series provide early warnings for subsequent trends for certain species. 相似文献
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Jean Antoine Girault Luis Barbeito Umberto Spampinato Henri Gozlan Jacques Glowinski Marie-Jo Besson 《Journal of neurochemistry》1986,47(1):98-106
By means of the push-pull cannula method, the outflow of endogenous amino acids was studied in the striatum of halothane-anesthetized rats. Addition of K+ ions (30 mM for 4 min) to the superfusion fluid increased the release of aspartate (+116%), glutamate (+217%), taurine (+109%), and gamma-aminobutyric acid (GABA) (+429%) whereas a prolonged decrease in the outflow of glutamine (-28%) and a delayed reduction in the efflux of tyrosine (-25%) were observed. In the absence of Ca2+, the K+-induced release of aspartate, glutamate, and GABA was blocked whereas the K+-induced release of taurine was still present. Under these conditions, the decrease in glutamine efflux was reduced and that of tyrosine was abolished. Local application of tetrodotoxin (5 microM) decreased only the outflow of glutamate (-25%). One week following lesion of the ipsilateral sensorimotor cortex the spontaneous outflow of glutamine and of tyrosine was enhanced. Despite the lack of change in their spontaneous outflow, the K+-evoked release of aspartate and glutamate was less pronounced in lesioned than in control animals, whereas the K+-evoked changes in GABA and glutamine efflux were not modified. Our data indicate that the push-pull cannula method is a reliable approach for the study of the in vivo release of endogenous amino acids. In addition, they provide further evidence for a role for glutamate and aspartate as neurotransmitters of corticostriatal neurons. 相似文献