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We propose a Bayesian spatiotemporal statistical model for predicting out-of-hospital cardiac arrests (OHCAs). Risk maps for Ticino, adjusted for demographic covariates, are built for explaining and forecasting the spatial distribution of OHCAs and their temporal dynamics. The occurrence intensity of the OHCA event in each area of interest, and the cardiac risk-based clustering of municipalities are efficiently estimated, through a statistical model that decomposes OHCA intensity into overall intensity, demographic fixed effects, spatially structured and unstructured random effects, time polynomial dependence, and spatiotemporal random effect. In the studied geography, time evolution and dependence on demographic features are robust over different categories of OHCAs, but with variability in their spatial and spatiotemporal structure. Two main OHCA incidence-based clusters of municipalities are identified.  相似文献   
183.
Authorizing Knowledge in Science and Anthropology   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
An analogy exists between today's "defenders" of science in the "science/culture wars" and 19th-century "defenders" of euclidean geometry. Current critics have appointed themselves as arbiters of truth in a manner analogous to that of 19th-century mathematicians and theologians who argued against noneuclidean geometry that challenge Euclid's mathematically, philosophically, and theologically entrenched fifth postulate. The science wars then and now are not about science versus antiscience, objectivity versus subjectivity, but about authority in science: what kind of science should be practiced, and who gets to define it?  相似文献   
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The capsule is certainly the most obvious virulence factor for Cryptococcus neoformans. The main capsule constituents are glucuronoxylomannans (GXM). Several studies have focused on the structure and chemistry of the GXM component of the capsule, yet little is known about the genetic basis of the capsule construction. Using a monoclonal antibody specific to a sugar epitope, we isolated a capsule-structure mutant strain and cloned by complementation a gene named CAS1 that codes for a putative membrane protein. Although no sequence homology was found with any known protein in the different databases, protein analysis using the PROPSEARCH software classified Cas1p as a putative glycosyltransferase. Cas1p is a well-conserved evolutionary protein, as we identified one orthologue in the human genome, one in the drosophila genome and four in the plant Arabidopsis thaliana genome. Analysis of the capsule structure after CAS1 deletion showed that it is required for GXM O-acetylation.  相似文献   
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We determined the influence of several factors on lung solute clearance using aerosolized 99mTc-diethylenetriaminepentaacetate. We used a jet nebulizer-plate separator-balloon system to generate particles with an activity median aerodynamic diameter of 1.1 micron, administered the aerosol in a standard fashion, and determined clearance half times (t1/2) with a gamma-scintillation camera. The following serial studies were performed in five anesthetized, paralyzed, intubated, mechanically ventilated dogs: 1) control, with ventilatory frequency (f) = 15 breaths/min and tidal volume (VT) = 15 ml/kg during solute clearance; 2) repeat control, for reproducibility; 3) increased frequency, with f = 25 breaths/min and VT = 10 ml/kg; 4) positive end-expiratory pressure (PEEP) of 10 cmH2O; 5) unilateral pulmonary arterial occlusion (PAO); and 6) bronchial arterial occlusion (BAO). Control t1/2 was 25 +/- 5 min and did not change in the repeat control, increased frequency, or BAO experiments. PEEP markedly decreased t1/2 to 13 +/- 3 min (P less than 0.01), and PAO increased it to 37 +/- 6 min (P less than 0.05). We conclude that clearance from the lungs by our method is uninfluenced by increased frequency, increases markedly with PEEP, and depends on pulmonary, not bronchial, blood flow.  相似文献   
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