THE EVOLUTION OF PHENOTYPIC PLASTICITY IN LIFE-HISTORY TRAITS: PREDICTIONS OF REACTION NORMS FOR AGE AND SIZE AT MATURITY

We used life-history theory to predict reaction norms for age and size at maturation. We assumed that fecundity increases with size and that juvenile mortality rates of offspring decrease as ages-at-maturity of parents increase, then calculated the reaction norm by varying growth rate and calculating an optimal age at maturity for each growth rate. The reaction norm for maturation should take one of at least four shapes that depend on specific relations between changes in growth rates and changes in adult mortality rates, juvenile mortality rates, or both. Most organisms should mature neither at a fixed size nor at a fixed age, but along an age-size trajectory. The model makes possible a clear distinction between the genetic and phenotypic components of variation. The evolved response to selection is reflected in the shape and position of the reaction norm. The phenotypic response of a single organism to rapid or slow growth is defined by the location of its maturation event as a point on the reaction norm. A quantitative test with data from 19 populations and species of fish showed that predictions were in good agreement with observations (r = 0.93, P < 0.0001). The predictions of the model also agreed qualitatively with observed phenotypic variation in age and size at maturity in humans, platyfish, fruit flies, and red deer. This preliminary success suggests that experiments designed to test the predictions directly will be worthwhile.     

Effects of food variability on growth and reproduction of Aedes aegypti

Despite a large body of knowledge about the evolution of life histories, we know little about how variable food availability during an individual's development affects its life history. We measured the effects of manipulating food levels during early and late larval development of the mosquito Aedes aegypti on its growth rate, life history and reproductive success. Switching from low to high food led to compensatory growth: individuals grew more rapidly during late larval development and emerged at a size close to that of mosquitoes consistently reared at high food. However, switching to high food had very little effect on longevity, and fecundity and reproductive success were considerably lower than in consistently well‐fed mosquitoes. Changing from high to low food led to adults with similar size as in consistently badly nourished mosquitoes, but even lower fecundity and reproductive success. A rapid response of growth to changing resources can thus have unexpected effects in later life and in lifetime reproductive success. More generally, our study emphasizes the importance of varying developmental conditions for the evolutionary pressures underlying life‐history evolution.     

Effect of rearing temperature and larval density on larval survival, age at pupation and adult size of Anopheles gambiae

The effects of temperature and larval density on survival of larvae, growth rate, age at pupation, and adult size (measured as wing length and dry weight) of laboratory-reared Anopheles gambiae (Diptera: Culicidae) were studied. Larvae were reared at three temperatures (24, 27 and 30°C) and three densities (0.5, 1 and 2 larvae/cm²). The effects of density and temperature strongly interacted to determine the mosquitoes' life-history parameters. Survival was highest at the intermediate temperature of 27°C. The differences between the temperatures increased with increasing density. At 30°C survival decreased as density increased, but at 27°C increasing density led to higher survival. Age at pupation increased as temperature decreased from 30°C to 24°C and as density decreased from 2 to 0.5 larvae/cm². Adult size also increased as temperature decreased, but showed a negative correlation with density only at 27°C. In contrast, at 24°C and 30°C a decrease in density led to a decrease in adult size. Growth rate showed a similar pattern. At 27°C growth rate decreased as density increased, but at other temperatures the opposite trend was observed.     

Stage-specific manipulation of a mosquito's host-seeking behavior by the malaria parasite Plasmodium gallinaceum

We present experimental evidence that different stages of themalaria parasite Plasmodium gallinaceum differentially affectthe host-seeking behavior of its mosquito vector Aedes aegypti.In uninfected mosquitoes, host-seeking behavior is continuedif mosquitoes have ingested less than a threshold volume ofblood, whereas a larger blood meal inhibits host seeking. Weinvestigated the parasite's effect on this behavior by feedinginfected and uninfected mosquitoes for variable amounts of timeand assaying 30-45 min later whether they continued their attemptsat blood-feeding. Mosquitoes infected with oocysts (which cannotbe transmitted) had a smaller threshold volume and were lesslikely to return for further probing, whereas individuals infectedwith transmissible sporozoites increased the threshold volumerequired to inhibit host-seeking behavior. We conclude thatthe stage-specific effect of the parasite on host-seeking behavioris likely to be an active manipulation by the parasite to increaseits transmission success.     

Can transgenic mosquitoes afford the fitness cost?

In a recent study, SM1-transgenic Anopheles stephensi, which are resistant partially to Plasmodium berghei, had higher fitness than non-transgenic mosquitoes when they were maintained on Plasmodium-infected blood. This result should be interpreted cautiously with respect to malaria control using transgenic mosquitoes because, despite the evolutionary advantage conferred by the transgene, a concomitant cost prevents it from invading the entire population. Indeed, for the spread of a resistance transgene in a natural situation, the transgene's fitness cost and the efficacy of the gene drive will be more crucial than any evolutionary advantage.     

Experimental evaluation of the relationship between lethal or non-lethal virulence and transmission success in malaria parasite infections

Background  

Evolutionary theory suggests that the selection pressure on parasites to maximize their transmission determines their optimal host exploitation strategies and thus their virulence. Establishing the adaptive basis to parasite life history traits has important consequences for predicting parasite responses to public health interventions. In this study we examine the extent to which malaria parasites conform to the predicted adaptive trade-off between transmission and virulence, as defined by mortality. The majority of natural infections, however, result in sub-lethal virulent effects (e.g. anaemia) and are often composed of many strains. Both sub-lethal effects and pathogen population structure have been theoretically shown to have important consequences for virulence evolution. Thus, we additionally examine the relationship between anaemia and transmission in single and mixed clone infections.     

No maternal effects after stimulation of the melanization response in the yellow fever mosquito Aedes aegypti

The costs and benefits of activating the immune system can reach across generations. Thus, in vertebrates and in several invertebrates, stimulating the immune system of a female can enhance immunity of her offspring or decrease offspring fitness. We evaluated the potential maternally transmitted costs and benefits of the melanization response, an innate immune response of insects that helps to protect mosquitoes from malaria parasites. We manipulated the maternal melanization response of the yellow fever mosquito Aedes aegypti by inoculating female mosquitoes with negatively charged sephadex beads or with immunologically inert glass beads; a control group was not inoculated. In the next generation, we assayed the melanization response and measured three other life-history traits: survival up to emergence, the age at emergence, and body size (estimated as wing length). We found no evidence of fitness costs or benefits for the offspring. A retrospective power analysis found that our experiment would have detected an effect size that is three times smaller than the maternal immune priming effects that have been reported in the literature. We did find a strong correlation between offspring wing length and melanization response. Overall, our findings indicate that trans-generational immune priming in invertebrates cannot be generalized, and that it may depend on the species, the immune challenge, and the environmental conditions.     

Using evolutionary costs to enhance the efficacy of malaria control via genetically manipulated mosquitoes

An earlier mathematical model exploring the use of genetically manipulated mosquitoes for malaria control suggested that the prevalence of malaria is reduced significantly only if almost all mosquitoes become completely resistant to malaria. Central to the model was the 'cost of resistance': the reduction of a resistant mosquito's evolutionary fitness in comparison with a sensitive one's. Here, we consider the possibility of obtaining more optimistic outcomes by taking into account the epidemiological (in addition to the evolutionary) consequences of a cost of resistance that decreases the life-span of adult mosquitoes (the most relevant parameter for the parasite's epidemiology). There are two main results. First, if despite its cost, resistance is fixed in the population, increasing the cost of resistance decreases the intensity of transmission. However, this epidemiological effect is weak if resistance is effective enough to be considered relevant for control. Second, if the cost of resistance prevents its fixation, increasing it intensifies transmission. Thus, the epidemiological effect of the cost of resistance cannot compensate for the lower frequency of resistant mosquitoes in the population. Overall, our conclusion remains pessimistic: so that genetic manipulation can become a promising method of malaria control, we need techniques that enable almost all mosquitoes to be almost completely resistant to infection.     

Virulence and age at reproduction: new insights into host–parasite coevolution

We consider an explicit mutation–selection process to investigate the dynamics underlying the coevolution of parasite’s virulence and host’s prereproductive life span in a system with discrete generations. Conforming with earlier models, our model predicts that virulence generally increases with natural mortality of the host, and that a moderate increase in virulence selects for lower ages at reproduction. However, the epidemiological feedback in our model also gives rise to unusual and unexpected patterns. In particular, if virulence is sufficiently high the model can lead to a bifurcation pattern, where two strategies coexist in the host population. The first is to develop rapidly to reproduce before being infected. Individuals following this strategy suffer, however, from reduced fecundity. The second strategy is to develop much more slowly. Because of the high virulence, the effective period of transmission is short, so that a few slowly developing individuals escape infection. These individuals, although choosing a risky strategy, benefit from high fecundity.