A new fatty acid from Usnea meridensis

The structure of a new fatty acid from Usnea meridensis was established by chemical and spectroscopic methods as methyl 3,4-dicarboxy-3- hydroxy-19oxoeicosanoate.     

Monitoring and Mining Animal Sounds in Visual Space

Monitoring animals by the sounds they produce is an important and challenging task, whether the application is outdoors in a natural habitat, or in the controlled environment of a laboratory setting. In the former case, the density and diversity of animal sounds can act as a measure of biodiversity. In the latter case, researchers often create control and treatment groups of animals, expose them to different interventions, and test for different outcomes. One possible manifestation of different outcomes may be changes in the bioacoustics of the animals. With such a plethora of important applications, there have been significant efforts to build bioacoustic classification tools. However, we argue that most current tools are severely limited. They often require the careful tuning of many parameters (and thus huge amounts of training data), are either too computationally expensive for deployment in resource-limited sensors, specialized for a very small group of species, or are simply not accurate enough to be useful. In this work we introduce a novel bioacoustic recognition/classification framework that mitigates or solves all of the above problems. We propose to classify animal sounds in the visual space, by treating the texture of their sonograms as an acoustic fingerprint using a recently introduced parameter-free texture measure as a distance measure. We further show that by searching for the most representative acoustic fingerprint, we can significantly outperform other techniques in terms of speed and accuracy.     

Adjusting for time-varying confounders in survival analysis using structural nested cumulative survival time models

Accounting for time-varying confounding when assessing the causal effects of time-varying exposures on survival time is challenging. Standard survival methods that incorporate time-varying confounders as covariates generally yield biased effect estimates. Estimators using weighting by inverse probability of exposure can be unstable when confounders are highly predictive of exposure or the exposure is continuous. Structural nested accelerated failure time models (AFTMs) require artificial recensoring, which can cause estimation difficulties. Here, we introduce the structural nested cumulative survival time model (SNCSTM). This model assumes that intervening to set exposure at time $t$ to zero has an additive effect on the subsequent conditional hazard given exposure and confounder histories when all subsequent exposures have already been set to zero. We show how to fit it using standard software for generalized linear models and describe two more efficient, double robust, closed-form estimators. All three estimators avoid the artificial recensoring of AFTMs and the instability of estimators that use weighting by the inverse probability of exposure. We examine the performance of our estimators using a simulation study and illustrate their use on data from the UK Cystic Fibrosis Registry. The SNCSTM is compared with a recently proposed structural nested cumulative failure time model, and several advantages of the former are identified.     

Correcting for measurement error in fractional polynomial models using Bayesian modelling and regression calibration,with an application to alcohol and mortality

Exposure measurement error can result in a biased estimate of the association between an exposure and outcome. When the exposure–outcome relationship is linear on the appropriate scale (e.g. linear, logistic) and the measurement error is classical, that is the result of random noise, the result is attenuation of the effect. When the relationship is non‐linear, measurement error distorts the true shape of the association. Regression calibration is a commonly used method for correcting for measurement error, in which each individual's unknown true exposure in the outcome regression model is replaced by its expectation conditional on the error‐prone measure and any fully measured covariates. Regression calibration is simple to execute when the exposure is untransformed in the linear predictor of the outcome regression model, but less straightforward when non‐linear transformations of the exposure are used. We describe a method for applying regression calibration in models in which a non‐linear association is modelled by transforming the exposure using a fractional polynomial model. It is shown that taking a Bayesian estimation approach is advantageous. By use of Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms, one can sample from the distribution of the true exposure for each individual. Transformations of the sampled values can then be performed directly and used to find the expectation of the transformed exposure required for regression calibration. A simulation study shows that the proposed approach performs well. We apply the method to investigate the relationship between usual alcohol intake and subsequent all‐cause mortality using an error model that adjusts for the episodic nature of alcohol consumption.