Bayesian Calibration,Validation and Uncertainty Quantification for Predictive Modelling of Tumour Growth: A Tutorial

In this work, we present a pedagogical tumour growth example, in which we apply calibration and validation techniques to an uncertain, Gompertzian model of tumour spheroid growth. The key contribution of this article is the discussion and application of these methods (that are not commonly employed in the field of cancer modelling) in the context of a simple model, whose deterministic analogue is widely known within the community. In the course of the example, we calibrate the model against experimental data that are subject to measurement errors, and then validate the resulting uncertain model predictions. We then analyse the sensitivity of the model predictions to the underlying measurement model. Finally, we propose an elementary learning approach for tuning a threshold parameter in the validation procedure in order to maximize predictive accuracy of our validated model.     

RTS,S Vaccination Is Associated With Serologic Evidence of Decreased Exposure to Plasmodium falciparum Liver- and Blood-Stage Parasites

The leading malaria vaccine candidate, RTS,S, targets the sporozoite and liver stages of the Plasmodium falciparum life cycle, yet it provides partial protection against disease associated with the subsequent blood stage of infection. Antibodies against the vaccine target, the circumsporozoite protein, have not shown sufficient correlation with risk of clinical malaria to serve as a surrogate for protection. The mechanism by which a vaccine that targets the asymptomatic sporozoite and liver stages protects against disease caused by blood-stage parasites remains unclear. We hypothesized that vaccination with RTS,S protects from blood-stage disease by reducing the number of parasites emerging from the liver, leading to prolonged exposure to subclinical levels of blood-stage parasites that go undetected and untreated, which in turn boosts pre-existing antibody-mediated blood-stage immunity. To test this hypothesis, we compared antibody responses to 824 P. falciparum antigens by protein array in Mozambican children 6 months after receiving a full course of RTS,S (n = 291) versus comparator vaccine (n = 297) in a Phase IIb trial. Moreover, we used a nested case-control design to compare antibody responses of children who did or did not experience febrile malaria. Unexpectedly, we found that the breadth and magnitude of the antibody response to both liver and asexual blood-stage antigens was significantly lower in RTS,S vaccinees, with the exception of only four antigens, including the RTS,S circumsporozoite antigen. Contrary to our initial hypothesis, these findings suggest that RTS,S confers protection against clinical malaria by blocking sporozoite invasion of hepatocytes, thereby reducing exposure to the blood-stage parasites that cause disease. We also found that antibody profiles 6 months after vaccination did not distinguish protected and susceptible children during the subsequent 12-month follow-up period but were strongly associated with exposure. Together, these data provide insight into the mechanism by which RTS,S protects from malaria.The RTS,S malaria vaccine candidate provides partial protection against clinical malaria in African children, which has been repeatedly demonstrated in Phase IIb and Phase III clinical trials (1–5). The RTS,S target is the Plasmodium falciparum circumsporozoite protein (CSP), and it has been shown to generate high antibody titers that remain above levels acquired naturally for years (6). However, it remains unclear how the vaccine, which targets sporozoites, provides protection against disease caused by blood-stage parasites. A rational mechanism has been proposed, based on antibody and T cell responses to the CSP (7), but antibodies have not consistently correlated with protection when clinical disease was the trial end point (8). We and others hypothesized that partial blockage of pre-erythrocytic development would result in low-level blood-stage infections that go untreated in RTS,S vaccinees and that this would boost the blood-stage immune response, contributing to protection from malaria disease (8–10).We set out to address the question of how the vaccine works by investigating the response to malaria parasites in the context of RTS,S vaccination. However, until recently, the means of assessing the response to malaria parasites has been limited to a sparse selection of recombinant proteins or parasite lysates. The P. falciparum (Pf) proteome contains more than 5,300 proteins, and, until recently, less than 0.5% of them have been closely investigated (11). Similar to the approach taken with gene expression microarrays, protein arrays offer the opportunity to screen antibody responses to partial or complete proteomes (12). This approach was taken in this study to identify the breadth and magnitude of naturally acquired immune responses in Mozambican children vaccinated with RTS,S/AS02¹, the predecessor to the RTS,S/AS01 formulation used in the current Phase III trial, or comparator vaccine.In addition to characterizing the RTS,S mode of action, we aimed to identify biomarker correlates of protection against clinical malaria. Malaria vaccinology is lacking in surrogate markers of protection, and such biomarkers would be a highly useful measure for assessment of vaccine efficacy, especially when control or placebo vaccine groups are no longer available (13). This could mitigate the current inefficient means of measuring efficacy in clinical trials. In the post-genomic era, with systems approaches employed for questions to complex problems in biology and medicine, perhaps alternative thinking is required to tackle the question of how to assess vaccines (14, 15). In this study, we took steps in that direction in order to identify antibody signatures of protection that contribute toward a surrogate marker for the RTS,S and other vaccines.     

<Emphasis Type="Italic">N,N</Emphasis>-Dimethyl phytosphingosine sensitizes HL-60/MX2, a multidrug-resistant variant of HL-60 cells,to doxorubicin-induced cytotoxicity through ROS-mediated release of cytochrome <Emphasis Type="Italic">c</Emphasis> and AIF

Doxorubicin (Dox) is widely used to treat a variety of tumors. However, resistance to this drug is common, making successful treatment more difficult. Previously, we introduced a novel phytosphingosine derivative, N,N-dimethyl phytosphingosine (DMPS), as a potent anticancer therapeutic agent in human leukemia cells. This study was performed to investigate whether DMPS can sensitize HL-60/MX2, a multidrug-resistant variant of HL-60, to Dox-induced apoptosis. Low concentrations of DMPS sensitized HL-60/MX2 cells to Dox-induced apoptosis. Combined Dox + DMPS treatment-induced apoptosis was accompanied by the activation of caspase-8 and caspase-3 as well as PARP cleavage. Cytochrome c and AIF release were also observed in Dox + DMPS-treated HL60/MX2 cells. Pretreatment with z-VAD-fmk markedly prevented caspase-3 activation and moderately suppressed apoptosis, suggesting that Dox + DMPS-induced apoptosis is somewhat (not completely) dependent on caspase. Cytochrome c and AIF release were not affected by pretreatment with z-VAD-fmk. The ROS scavenger NAC efficiently suppressed not only ROS generation, but also caspase-3-mediated PARP cleavage, apoptosis, and release of cytochrome c and AIF, indicating a role of ROS in combined Dox + DMPS treatment-induced apoptotic death signaling. Taken together, these observations suggest that DMPS may be used as a therapeutic agent for overcoming drug-resistance in cancer cells by enhancing drug-induced apoptosis.     

Rapid determination of myosin heavy chain expression in rat, mouse, and human skeletal muscle using multicolor immunofluorescence analysis

Skeletal muscle is a heterogeneous tissue comprised of fibers with different morphological, functional, and metabolic properties. Different muscles contain varying proportions of fiber types; therefore, accurate identification is important. A number of histochemical methods are used to determine muscle fiber type; however, these techniques have several disadvantages. Immunofluorescence analysis is a sensitive method that allows for simultaneous evaluation of multiple MHC isoforms on a large number of fibers on a single cross-section, and offers a more precise means of identifying fiber types. In this investigation we characterized pure and hybrid fiber type distribution in 10 rat and 10 mouse skeletal muscles, as well as human vastus lateralis (VL) using multicolor immunofluorescence analysis. In addition, we determined fiber type-specific cross-sectional area (CSA), succinate dehydrogenase (SDH) activity, and α-glycerophosphate dehydrogenase (GPD) activity. Using this procedure we were able to easily identify pure and hybrid fiber populations in rat, mouse, and human muscle. Hybrid fibers were identified in all species and made up a significant portion of the total population in some rat and mouse muscles. For example, rat mixed gastrocnemius (MG) contained 12.2% hybrid fibers whereas mouse white tibialis anterior (WTA) contained 12.1% hybrid fibers. Collectively, we outline a simple and time-efficient method for determining MHC expression in skeletal muscle of multiple species. In addition, we provide a useful resource of the pure and hybrid fiber type distribution, fiber CSA, and relative fiber type-specific SDH and GPD activity in a number of rat and mouse muscles.     

Biodesulfurization of organic-sulfur compounds

A screening assay in which dibenzothiophene (DBT) or DBT-sulfone served as the only bioavailable source of sulfur was used to obtain two new bacterial isolates, strains UM9 and UM3, that desulfurized either substrate. Strain UM9 produced the desulfurized product, 2-hydroxybiphenyl (HBP); no other identifiable desulfurized products or released sulfate or sulfite were detected. Biodesulfurization activity occurred only for growing cultures and was depressed by free sulfate. Neither isolate grew on DBT, DBT-sulfone, or HBP as sole carbon sources. Under optimized conditions of pH and temperature, strain UM9 exhibited up to 35% greater biodesulfurization of DBT-sulfone than did UM3, and both isolates also desulfurized several other organic-sulfur compounds. The kinetics and characteristics of biodesulfurization by either UM3 or UM9, tentatively identified as species ofRhodococcus, indicated mechanisms different from those reported in the literature for other bacteria.     

Total branched-chain amino acids requirement in patients with maple syrup urine disease by use of indicator amino acid oxidation with L-[1-13C]phenylalanine

Maple syrup urine disease (MSUD) is an autosomal recessive disorder caused by defects in the mitochondrial multienzyme complex branched-chain alpha-keto acid dehydrogenase (BCKD; EC 1.2.4.4), responsible for the oxidative decarboxylation of the branched-chain ketoacids (BCKA) derived from the branched-chain amino acids (BCAA) leucine, valine, and isoleucine. Deficiency of the enzyme results in increased concentrations of the BCAA and BCKA in body cells and fluids. The treatment of the disease is aimed at keeping the concentration of BCAA below the toxic concentrations, primarily by dietary restriction of BCAA intake. The objective of this study was to determine the total BCAA requirements of patients with classical MSUD caused by marked deficiency of BCKD by use of the indicator amino acid oxidation (IAAO) technique. Five MSUD patients from the MSUD clinic of The Hospital for Sick Children participated in the study. Each was randomly assigned to different intakes of BCAA mixture (0, 20, 30, 50, 60, 70, 90, 110, and 130 mg.kg(-1).day(-1)), in which the relative proportion of BCAA was the same as that in egg protein. Total BCAA requirement was determined by measuring the oxidation of l-[1-(13)C]phenylalanine to (13)CO(2). The mean total BCAA requirement was estimated using a two-phase linear regression crossover analysis, which showed that the mean total BCAA requirement was 45 mg.kg(-1).day(-1), with the safe level of intake (upper 95% confidence interval) at 62 mg.kg(-1).day(-1). This is the first time BCAA requirements in patients with MSUD have been determined directly.     

The role of abiotic conditions in shaping the long-term patterns of a high-elevation Argentine ant invasion

Analysis of long‐term patterns of invasion can reveal the importance of abiotic factors in influencing invasion dynamics, and can help predict future patterns of spread. In the case of the invasive Argentine ant (Linepithema humile), most prior studies have investigated this species’ limitations in hot and dry climates. However, spatial and temporal patterns of spread involving two ant populations over the course of 30 years at a high elevation site in Hawaii suggest that cold and wet conditions have influenced both the ant's distribution and its rate of invasion. In Haleakala National Park on Maui, we found that a population invading at lower elevation is limited by increasing rainfall and presumably by associated decreasing temperatures. A second, higher elevation population has spread outward in all directions, but rates of spread in different directions appear to have been strongly influenced by differences in elevation and temperature. Patterns of foraging activity were strongly tied to soil temperatures, supporting the hypothesis that variation in temperature can influence rates of spread. Based on past patterns of spread, we predicted a total potential range that covers nearly 50% of the park and 75% of the park's subalpine habitats. We compared this rough estimate with point predictions derived from a degree‐day model for Argentine ant colony reproduction, and found that the two independent predictions match closely when soil temperatures are used in the model. The cold, wet conditions that have influenced Argentine ant invasion at this site are likely to be influential at other locations in this species’ current and future worldwide distribution.     

Stimulation of bioprocesses by ultrasound

Ultrasound (US) has become a ubiquitous technological process in a large variety of scientific disciplines. However, little information exists on the use of ultrasound to enhance biological processes and/or processing and consequently this paper provides an overview of work reported to date on this topic. This review provides a brief introduction to ultrasound and the history of ultrasound as applied to bioprocesses. This is followed by a discussion of the influence of US on discrete enzyme systems, enzymes used in bioremediation, microbial fermentations and enzymatic hydrolysis of biopolymers. Augmentation of anaerobic digestion by US is then considered along with enhancement of enzymes in food science and technology. The use of ultrasonically stimulated enzymes in synthesis is then considered and other relevant miscellaneous topics are described. It is concluded that the precise mechanism of action of US in bio-processing remains to be elucidated though a variety of plausible suggestions are made.     

Development of a large-scale chemogenomics database to improve drug candidate selection and to understand mechanisms of chemical toxicity and action

Successful drug discovery requires accurate decision making in order to advance the best candidates from initial lead identification to final approval. Chemogenomics, the use of genomic tools in pharmacology and toxicology, offers a promising enhancement to traditional methods of target identification/validation, lead identification, efficacy evaluation, and toxicity assessment. To realize the value of chemogenomics information, a contextual database is needed to relate the physiological outcomes induced by diverse compounds to the gene expression patterns measured in the same animals. Massively parallel gene expression characterization coupled with traditional assessments of drug candidates provides additional, important mechanistic information, and therefore a means to increase the accuracy of critical decisions. A large-scale chemogenomics database developed from in vivo treated rats provides the context and supporting data to enhance and accelerate accurate interpretation of mechanisms of toxicity and pharmacology of chemicals and drugs. To date, approximately 600 different compounds, including more than 400 FDA approved drugs, 60 drugs approved in Europe and Japan, 25 withdrawn drugs, and 100 toxicants, have been profiled in up to 7 different tissues of rats (representing over 3200 different drug-dose-time-tissue combinations). Accomplishing this task required evaluating and improving a number of in vivo and microarray protocols, including over 80 rigorous quality control steps. The utility of pairing clinical pathology assessments with gene expression data is illustrated using three anti-neoplastic drugs: carmustine, methotrexate, and thioguanine, which had similar effects on the blood compartment, but diverse effects on hepatotoxicity. We will demonstrate that gene expression events monitored in the liver can be used to predict pathological events occurring in that tissue as well as in hematopoietic tissues.