An Evaluation of Sex-Age-Kill (SAK) Model Performance

ABSTRACT The sex-age-kill (SAK) model is widely used to estimate abundance of harvested large mammals, including white-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus). Despite a long history of use, few formal evaluations of SAK performance exist. We investigated how violations of the stable age distribution and stationary population assumption, changes to male or female harvest, stochastic effects (i.e., random fluctuations in recruitment and survival), and sampling efforts influenced SAK estimation. When the simulated population had a stable age distribution and λ > 1, the SAK model underestimated abundance. Conversely, when λ < 1, the SAK overestimated abundance. When changes to male harvest were introduced, SAK estimates were opposite the true population trend. In contrast, SAK estimates were robust to changes in female harvest rates. Stochastic effects caused SAK estimates to fluctuate about their equilibrium abundance, but the effect dampened as the size of the surveyed population increased. When we considered both stochastic effects and sampling error at a deer management unit scale the resultant abundance estimates were within ±121.9% of the true population level 95% of the time. These combined results demonstrate extreme sensitivity to model violations and scale of analysis. Without changes to model formulation, the SAK model will be biased when λ ≠ 1. Furthermore, any factor that alters the male harvest rate, such as changes to regulations or changes in hunter attitudes, will bias population estimates. Sex-age-kill estimates may be precise at large spatial scales, such as the state level, but less so at the individual management unit level. Alternative models, such as statistical age-at-harvest models, which require similar data types, might allow for more robust, broad-scale demographic assessments.     

Evolution of the third eye: a phylogenetic comparative study of parietal‐eye size as an ecophysiological adaptation in Liolaemus lizards

The parietal, or third, eye is a photosensory organ situated in the middle of the skull of many lizards. Despite many hypotheses, its exact ecological functions are still unclear. Studies have compared the presence and absence of a functioning parietal eye, although there are no quantitative studies of parietal‐eye traits in relation to ecology, physiology or behaviour. In the present study, we report the first comparative study of relative parietal‐eye size in relation to climatic and thermophysiological variables. We studied thirty species of Liolaemus, a genus of South‐American lizards inhabiting a range of climatic conditions, but found little evidence for adaptation to thermal environment, in that parietal‐eye size did not vary meaningfully with latitude, altitude or any measures of environmental temperature. Neither did it relate to thermophysiology; there was a weak relation to thermal tolerance, although this was partially confounded with body size, which explained 23% of the among‐species variance after controlling for within‐species variation. The negative results obtained could not be explained by phylogenetic constraints because we found no evidence of phylogenetic inertia. We also observed high intraspecific variation indicating that parietal‐eye size may not be under strong selection for accuracy. © 2010 The Linnean Society of London, Biological Journal of the Linnean Society, 2010, 101 , 870–883.     

Remission in psoriatic arthritis: is it possible and how can it be predicted?

Introduction

Since remission is now possible in psoriatic arthritis (PsA) we wished to examine remission rates in PsA patients following anti tumour necrosis factor alpha (TNFα) therapy and to examine possible predictors of response.

Methods

Analysis of a prospective patient cohort attending a biologic clinic, between November 2004 and March 2008, was performed prior to commencing therapy and at regular intervals. Baseline clinical characteristics including demographics, previous disease-modifying antirheumatic drug (DMARD) response, tender and swollen joint counts, early morning stiffness, pain visual analogue score, patient global assessment, C reactive protein (CRP) and health assessment questionnaire (HAQ) were collected.

Results

A total of 473 patients (152 PsA; 321 rheumatoid arthritis (RA)) were analyzed. At 12 months remission, defined according to the disease activity score using 28 joint count and CRP (DAS28-CRP), was achieved in 58% of PsA patients compared to 44% of RA patients, significant improvement in outcome measures were noted in both groups (P < 0.05). Analysis of a subgroup of PsA and RA patients matched for DAS28-CRP at baseline also showed higher numbers of PsA patients achieving remission. Linear regression analysis identified the HAQ at baseline as the best predictor of remission in PsA patients (P < 0.001).

Conclusions

DAS28 remission is possible in PsA patients at one year following anti-TNF therapy, at higher rates than in RA patients and is predicted by baseline HAQ.     

Identifying footprints of selection in stocked brown trout populations: a spatio‐temporal approach

Studies of interactions between farmed and wild salmonid fishes have suggested reduced fitness of farmed strains in the wild, but evidence for selection at the genic level is lacking. We studied three brown trout populations in Denmark which have been significantly admixed with stocked hatchery trout (19–64%), along with two hatchery strains used for stocking. The wild populations were represented by contemporary samples (2000–2006) and two of them by historical samples (1943–1956). We analysed 61 microsatellite loci, nine of which showed putative functional relationships [expressed sequence tag (EST)‐linked or quantitative trait loci]. F_ST‐based outlier tests provided support for diversifying selection at chromosome regions marked by three loci, two anonymous and one EST‐linked. Patterns of differentiation suggested that the loci were candidates for being under diversifying hitch‐hiking selection in hatchery vs. wild environments. Analysis of hatchery strain admixture proportions showed that in one wild population, two of the loci showed significantly lower admixture proportions than the putatively neutral loci, implying contemporary selection against alleles introduced by hatchery strain trout. In the most strongly admixed population, however, there was no evidence for selection, possibly because of immigration by stocked trout overcoming selection against hatchery‐derived alleles or supportive breeding practices allowing hatchery strain trout to escape natural selection. To our knowledge, this is the first study demonstrating footprints of selection in wild salmonid populations subject to spawning intrusion by farmed fish.     

Thermal conditioning of fifth-instar Cydia pomonella (Lepidoptera: Tortricidae) affects HSP70 accumulation and insect mortality

Abstract.  Levels of HSP70 protein of fifth-instar codling moth [ Cydia pomonella (L.) (Lepidoptera: Tortricidae)] are determined after conditioning at 35 °C for different times and also after recovery at 22 °C. Protein samples from larvae conditioned for different times are separated by sodium dodecyl sulphate-polyacrylamide gel electrophoresis electrophoresis. Sub-lethal thermal conditioning at 35 °C for 40 min, 2, 6 and 18 h induces new protein bands in the extracts from treated codling moth larvae. Immunodetection with an antibody to a heat-inducible HSP70 indicates a stronger reaction after 35 °C for 2, 6 and 18 h than after 35 °C for 40 min or control and, during the recovery period at 22 °C, the level of heat shock protein decreases. Conditioning of fifth-instar codling moths at 35 °C also induces thermotolerance in the insects and necessitates longer times at a lethal temperature to ensure mortality. Thermotolerance is correlated with the accumulation of heat inducible HSP70 protein.     

BIOACOUSTIC PUBLICATIONS, 1989

ABSTRACT

Coruros Spalacopus cyanus, social fossorial rodents from Chile, use a complex acoustic repertoire with eleven different true vocalisations and one mechanical sound in various behavioural contexts. The complex of contact calls is particularly well differentiated. Juvenile coruros produced six true vocalisations of which four were structurally identical to adult calls. One vocalisation had components of two adult sounds and one occurred only in juvenile animals. Certain calls from the adult repertoire were lacking. The frequencies of sounds of juveniles were considerably higher than those of adults, with many sounds reaching the ultrasonic range. Nevertheless, pure ultrasonic sounds were not recorded.

The frequencies of the analysed sounds of coruros extended from 0.17 to 20.33 kHz with dominant frequency components between 0.17 and 10 kHz. The acoustic properties of calls are suitable for transmission above and below ground, thus providing further indirect evidence that coruros are not strictly confined to an underground way of life. Indeed, the great variability of frequency ranges, with lower frequencies always being included, reflects a specialisation for communication in variable acoustic environments.

The most distinctive and unique vocalisation of coruros is the long duration musical trilling (lasting up to two minutes), which is a long-distance call emitted in alarm and arousal contexts. Recordings of this call from natural burrows in the field in Chile showed similar structural features to vocalisations from captive colonies in the laboratory.

Our findings provide a further example of matching physical properties of vocalisations to the acoustic conditions of the habitat. However, vocalisations in subterranean rodents consist almost exclusively of short-distance calls, the trilling of coruros being the notable exception. Since the selective pressure of the acoustic environment upon the evolution of short-distance vocalisations is probably minimal, we suggest that during their evolution, subterranean mammals have matched their vocalisations primarily to their hearing range and not directly to the acoustics underground. Hearing probably has been the primary target of natural selection, serving not only for communication but also for detection of predators (and, in carnivores, of prey).     

RECENT BIO ACOUSTIC PUBLICATIONS (mainly 1993)

ABSTRACT

Although much research has been done to describe the degradation of sound signals propagating in natural habitats, the directional cues of sound have so far been neglected. This paper describes a first approach to quantifying the degradation of directional cues in sound propagating parallel to the ground in a grassland habitat of orthopteran insects. A matched pair of probe microphones measured the sound amplitude and phase close to the ears of grasshopper carcasses for 12 evenly spaced directions of sound incidence. The degradation was found to increase with frequency and distance from the sound source and to decrease with distance from the ground. The acoustical data were used to predict how well animals with different auditory systems can determine the direction of the sender. At one position in the habitat, the predictions were compared with the pattern of phonotactic responses of live grasshoppers. Amplitude cues appear to degrade much faster with distance than phase cues. Animals exploiting phase cues may therefore maintain a reasonable directional hearing when the amplitude cues no longer make sense. The pressure-difference-receiver type of ears responds to phase differences, and these ears may be particularly suited to overcoming the degradation of directional cues. This suggests that the possession of such ears may be an adaptation not only to small body size (relative to wavelength), but also to the acoustic properties of the habitat.