Costs and benefits of cervical screening. III. Cost/benefit analysis of a call of previously unscreened women

A population‐based cervical screening programme issued invitations to women with no record of a previous smear. This call was very good value, at £5780 per life saved or £159 per life‐year saved at 1991 prices. The first priority for the cervical screening service should be comprehensive coverage.     

Symposium Introductory Remarks: A Brief History of Aquatic Microbial Ecology

ABSTRACT This report serves to introduce the symposium on food chains and food webs that is jointly sponsored by the Society of Protozoologists and the Phycological Society of America. A brief history of the field of aquatic microbial ecology is presented with an emphasis on the development of theoretical models that have directed the course of research — research that has shaped the development of new and more complex models of the present. the paper aims to provide historical background for all symposium participants and an introduction to the specific presentations of the four guest speakers.     

The morphology of Opabinia regalis and the reconstruction of the arthropod stem-group

Opabinia regalis Walcott is an enigmatic fossil from the Middle Cambrian Burgess Shale of uncertain affinities. Recent suggestions place it in a clade with Anomalocaris Whiteaves from the Burgess Shale and Kerygmachela Budd from the Greenlandic Sirius Passet Fauna; these taxa have been interpreted as 'lobopods'. Consideration of available Opabinia specimens demonstrates that reflective extensions from the axial region, previously thought to be either gut diverticula or musculature, can be accommodated in neither the trunk nor the lateral lobes that arise from it. They must therefore be external structures independent of the lateral lobes. On the basis of their sub-triangular appearance, size and taphonomy, they are considered here to represent lobopod limbs. Some evidence for the existence of terminal claws is also presented. The question of whether Kerygmachela, Opabinia and Anomalocaris constitute a monophyletic or paraphyletic grouping is considered. While they share several characters, most of these are plesiomorphies. Further, Opabinia and Anomalocaris share several arthropod-like characters not possessed by Kerygmachela. It is concluded that these three taxa probably form a paraphyletic grouping at the base of the arthropods. Retention of lobopod-like characters within the group provides important documentation of the lobopod-arthropod transition. A proper understanding of Opabinia and its close relatives, which may include the tardigrades, opens the way for a reconstruction of the arthropod stem-group. This in turn allows the construction of a speculative but satisfying scenario for the evolution of major arthropod features, including the origin of the biramous limb, tergites and arthropod segmentation. 'Arthropodization' may thus be seen not to be a single event but a series of adaptive innovations. OPABINIA, ANOMALOCARIS, KERYGMACHELA, Burgess Shale, problematica, Lobopodia, Arthropoda.     

Growth models and the expected distribution of fluctuating asymmetry

Multiplicative error accounts for much of the size-scaling and leptokurtosis in fluctuating asymmetry. It arises when growth involves the addition of tissue to that which is already present. Such errors are lognormally distributed. The distribution of the difference between two lognormal variates is leptokurtic. If those two variates are correlated, then the asymmetry variance will scale with size. Inert tissues typically exhibit additive error and have a gamma distribution. Although their asymmetry variance does not exhibit size-scaling, the distribution of the difference between two gamma variates is nevertheless leptokurtic. Measurement error is also additive, but has a normal distribution. Thus, the measurement of fluctuating asymmetry may involve the mixing of additive and multiplicative error. When errors are multiplicative, we recommend computing log  E ( l ) − log  E ( r ), the difference between the logarithms of the expected values of left and right sides, even when size-scaling is not obvious. If l and r are lognormally distributed, and measurement error is nil, the resulting distribution will be normal, and multiplicative error will not confound size-related changes in asymmetry. When errors are additive, such a transformation to remove size-scaling is unnecessary. Nevertheless, the distribution of l  −  r may still be leptokurtic.  © 2003 The Linnean Society of London, Biological Journal of the Linnean Society , 2003, 80, 57–65.     

Interannual variability in phytoplankton biomass and species composition in a subtropical reservoir

• 1 The interannual variability of the dominant phytoplankton populations is described in a subtropical reservoir in Queensland using weekly data for a 16-year period between 1978 and 1994. North Pine Dam, Brisbane, is in an area characterized by strong interannual variability in rainfall. This variability is linked to El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events. Between 1978 and 1994 periods of drought (during strong ENSO events) were interspersed by periods of flooding rains. Rainfall on the catchment and temperature and oxygen within the dam showed strong 40-day periodicities which also varied in strength interannually in response to ENSO events. Similar patterns of fluctuations in the 40-day periodicity have been found elsewhere in SE Australia. Seasonal cycles of stratification in the dam were a function of both hydrographic and hydrological events. Intermittent rain storms caused partial turnovers and large outflows. As much as 90% of the dam volume was exchanged in a single flood event.
• 2 The dominant phytoplankton species were similar to those frequently found in tropical and subtropical lakes and reservoirs. The phytoplankton community switched between cyanobacterial blooms (Cylindrospermopsis, Microcystis) during drought and falling water levels and diatom blooms (Aulacoseira) in response to inflows and seasonal turnovers. There appeared to be a subtle interaction between inflows, water column stability, the periodic overturns and the occurrence of the dominant species. All the dominant species showed long periods (2–4 years) of exponential increase or decrease superimposed on top of the seasonal fluctuations in abundance. These patterns of abundance led to marked interannual variability in the phytoplankton biomass. Climate variability had a major impact on the seasonal and interannual changes of the dominant phytoplankton species.
• 3 Phytoplankton biomass tended to be depressed for about 3 months after individual storm events but the data also displayed long-term lag effects (2–4 years) which destroyed any significant correlation between water residence time and biomass. Summer maxima of biomass dominated by cyanobacteria disappeared between 1985 and 1990 and were replaced by smaller winter peaks. The data presented here are not capable of unequivocally identifying the precise reason for these longer-term effects. Because of the implications for water quality management in subtropical and tropical reservoirs they warrant further study.

     

Concordant phylogeography and cryptic speciation in two Western Palaearctic oak gall parasitoid species complexes

Little is known about the evolutionary history of most complex multi‐trophic insect communities. Widespread species from different trophic levels might evolve in parallel, showing similar spatial patterns and either congruent temporal patterns (Contemporary Host‐tracking) or later divergence in higher trophic levels (Delayed Host‐tracking). Alternatively, host shifts by natural enemies among communities centred on different host resources could disrupt any common community phylogeographic pattern. We examined these alternative models using two Megastigmus parasitoid morphospecies associated with oak cynipid galls sampled throughout their Western Palaearctic distributions. Based on existing host cynipid data, a parallel evolution model predicts that eastern regions of the Western Palaearctic should contain ancestral populations with range expansions across Europe about 1.6 million years ago and deeper species‐level divergence at both 8–9 and 4–5 million years ago. Sequence data from mitochondrial cytochrome b and multiple nuclear genes showed similar phylogenetic patterns and revealed cryptic genetic species within both morphospecies, indicating greater diversity in these communities than previously thought. Phylogeographic divergence was apparent in most cryptic species between relatively stable, diverse, putatively ancestral populations in Asia Minor and the Middle East, and genetically depauperate, rapidly expanding populations in Europe, paralleling patterns in host gallwasp species. Mitochondrial and nuclear data also suggested that Europe may have been colonized multiple times from eastern source populations since the late Miocene. Temporal patterns of lineage divergence were congruent within and across trophic levels, supporting the Contemporary Host‐tracking Hypothesis for community evolution.     

THE COLIFORM BACTERIA ASSOCIATED WITH POTATO BLACK-LEG AND OTHER SOFT ROTS

Twelve glasshouse trials using twenty-five isolates of coliform soft-rot bacteria obtained from various countries showed that all the isolates produced typical black-leg of potato at temperatures of 76° F. (24.5° C.) or over, while some of them could also produce the disease at temperatures below 66° F. (19° C.).
Thus the isolates fall into two main groups of which the high-temperature group originates mostly from tropical or subtropical countries or from plants grown in heated glasshouses, whereas the low-temperature group is indigenous in the north temperate regions. The high-temperature group comprises Pectobacterium carotovorum (Erwinia carotovora), P. carotovorum var. chrysanthemi (E. chrysanthemi) and P. carotovorum var. aroideae (E. aroideae). The low-temperature group consists of one variety, P. carotovorum var. atrosepticum (E. atroseptica).
This temperature relation provides a possible means of discovering the origin of the black-leg pathogen in crops grown from Scottish seed in certain tropical or subtropical countries.
As a result of this investigation it is considered that all soft-rot coliform bacteria are varieties of a single species, P. carotovorum (Jones) Waldee.     

Coping with the cold: minimum temperatures and thermal tolerances dominate the ecology of mountain ants

1. Ants (Hymenoptera: Formicidae) are often cited as highly thermophilic and this has led to a range of studies investigating their thermal tolerances. It is unknown, however, if the geographic distribution of ant thermal tolerance conforms to the two major macropyhsiological rules that have been found in other taxa: Janzen's and Brett's rules. In addition, there is a paucity of data on how the lower thermal tolerances of ants are able to influence behaviour. 2. These two knowledge gaps were addressed here by sampling ants across a 1500 m elevational gradient in southern Africa and estimating the upper (CTmax) and lower (CTmin) thermal tolerances of 31 and 28 species, respectively. Ant abundances and soil temperatures were also recorded across the gradient over 6 years. 3. It was found that the average CTmin of the ants declined with elevation along with environmental temperatures. It was also found that the correlation between abundance and local temperature depended on the ant species' CTmin. The activity of species with a low CTmin was not constrained by temperature, whereas those with a high CTmin were limited by low temperatures. 4. For the first time, evidence is provided here that the thermal tolerances of ants are consistent with two major macrophysiological rules: Brett's rule and Janzen's rule. A mechanistic link between physiology, behaviour and the environment is also shown, which highlights that the ability of ants to deal with the cold may be a key, but often overlooked, factor allowing multiple ant species to succeed within an environment.