Estimation of effective reproduction numbers for infectious diseases using serological survey data

The effective reproduction number of an infection, denoted Re, may be used to monitor the impact of a vaccination programme. If Re is maintained below 1, then sustained endemic transmission of the infection cannot occur. In this paper we discuss methods for estimating Re from serological survey data, allowing for age and individual heterogeneity. We describe semi-parametric and parametric models, and obtain an upper bound on Re when vaccine coverage and efficacy are not known. The methods are illustrated using data on mumps and rubella in England and Wales.     

Branching process models for surveillance of infectious diseases controlled by mass vaccination

Mass vaccination programmes aim to maintain the effective reproduction number R of an infection below unity. We describe methods for monitoring the value of R using surveillance data. The models are based on branching processes in which R is identified with the offspring mean. We derive unconditional likelihoods for the offspring mean using data on outbreak size and outbreak duration. We also discuss Bayesian methods, implemented by Metropolis-Hastings sampling. We investigate by simulation the validity of the models with respect to depletion of susceptibles and under-ascertainment of cases. The methods are illustrated using surveillance data on measles in the USA.     

Germline susceptibility to colorectal cancer due to base-excision repair gene defects

DNA repair is a key process in the maintenance of genome integrity. Here, we present a large, systematically collected population-based association study (2,239 cases; 1,845 controls) that explores the contribution to colorectal cancer incidence of inherited defects in base-excision repair (BER) genes. We show that biallelic MUTYH defects impart a 93-fold (95% CI 42-213) excess risk of colorectal cancer, which accounts for 0.8% of cases aged <55 years and 0.54% of the entire cohort. Penetrance for homozygous carriers was almost complete by age 60 years. Significantly more biallelic carriers had coexisting adenomatous polyps. However, notably, 36% of biallelic carriers had no polyps. Three patients with heterozygous MUTYH defects carried monoallelic mutations in other BER genes (OGG1 and MTH1). Recessive inheritance accounted for the elevated risk for those aged <55 years. However, there was also a 1.68-fold (95% CI 1.07-2.95) excess risk for heterozygous carriers aged >55 years, with a population attributable risk in this age group of 0.93% (95% CI 0%-2.0%). These data provide the strongest evidence to date for a causative role of BER defects in colorectal cancer etiology and show, to our knowledge for the first time, that heterozygous MUTYH mutations predispose to colorectal cancer later in life. These findings have clinical relevance for BER gene testing for patients with colorectal cancer and for genetic counseling of their relatives.     

Cloning and characterisation of the sagA gene of Aspergillus nidulans: a gene which affects sensitivity to DNA-damaging agents

Mutations within the sagA gene of Aspergillus nidulans cause sensitisation to DNA-damaging chemicals but have no effect upon spontaneous or damage-induced mutation frequency. The sagA gene was cloned on a 19-kb cosmid-derived fragment by functional complementation of a sagA1 sagC3 double mutant; subsequently, a fragment of the gene was also isolated on a 3.9-kb genomic subclone. Initial sequencing of a small section of the 19-kb fragment allowed the design of primers that were subsequently used in RTPCR experiments to show that this DNA is transcribed. A 277-bp fragment derived from the transcribed region was used to screen an A. nidulans cDNA library, resulting in the isolation of a 1.4-kb partial cDNA clone which had sequence overlap with the genomic sagA fragment. This partial cDNA was incomplete but appeared to contain the whole coding region of sagA. The sagA1 mutant was shown to possess two mutations; a G-T transversion and a+1 frameshift due to insertion of a T, causing disruption to the C-terminal region of the SagA protein. Translation of the sagA cDNA predicts a protein of 378 amino acids, which has homology to the Saccharomyces cerevisiae End3 protein and also to certain mammalian proteins capable of causing cell transformation. Received: 1 August 1998 / Accepted: 9 November 1998     

Nine months in space: effects on human autonomic cardiovascular regulation.

We studied three Russian cosmonauts to better understand how long-term exposure to microgravity affects autonomic cardiovascular control. We recorded the electrocardiogram, finger photoplethysmographic pressure, and respiratory flow before, during, and after two 9-mo missions to the Russian space station Mir. Measurements were made during four modes of breathing: 1) uncontrolled spontaneous breathing; 2) stepwise breathing at six different frequencies; 3) fixed-frequency breathing; and 4) random-frequency breathing. R wave-to-R wave (R-R) interval standard deviations decreased in all and respiratory frequency R-R interval spectral power decreased in two cosmonauts in space. Two weeks after the cosmonauts returned to Earth, R-R interval spectral power was decreased, and systolic pressure spectral power was increased in all. The transfer function between systolic pressures and R-R intervals was reduced in-flight, was reduced further the day after landing, and had not returned to preflight levels by 14 days after landing. Our results suggest that long-duration spaceflight reduces vagal-cardiac nerve traffic and decreases vagal baroreflex gain and that these changes may persist as long as 2 wk after return to Earth.     

An RNA folding method capable of identifying pseudoknots and base triples

MOTIVATION: Recently, we described a Maximum Weighted Matching (MWM) method for RNA structure prediction. The MWM method is capable of detecting pseudoknots and other tertiary base-pairing interactions in a computationally efficient manner (Cary and Stormo, Proceedings of the Third International Conference on Intelligent Systems for Molecular Biology, pp. 75-80, 1995). Here we report on the results of our efforts to improve the MWM method's predictive accuracy, and show how the method can be extended to detect base interactions formerly inaccessible to automated RNA modeling techniques. RESULTS: Improved performance in MWM structure prediction was achieved in two ways. First, new ways of calculating base pair likelihoods have been developed. These allow experimental data and combined statistical and thermodynamic information to be used by the program. Second, accuracy was improved by developing techniques for filtering out spurious base pairs predicted by the MWM program. We also demonstrate here a means by which the MWM folding method may be used to detect the presence of base triples in RNAs. AVAILABILITY: http://www.cshl.org/mzhanglab/tabaska/j axpage. html CONTACT: tabaska@cshl.org      

DNA-DNA hybridization evidence of the rapid rate of muroid rodent DNA evolution

Single-copy nuclear DNAs (scnDNAs) of eight species of arvicoline and six species of murine rodents were compared using DNA-DNA hybridization. The branching pattern derived from the DNA comparisons is congruent with the fossil evidence and supported by comparative biochemical, chromosomal, and morphological studies. The recently improved fossil record for these lineages provides seven approximate divergence dates, which were used to calibrate the DNA-hybridization data. The average rate of scnDNA divergence was estimated as 2.5%/Myr. This is approximately 10 times the rate in the hominoid primates. These results agree with previous reports of accelerated DNA evolution in muroid rodents and extend the DNA-DNA hybridization data set of Brownell.      

Structural comparison of fibroblast growth factor-specific heparan sulfates derived from a growing or differentiating neuroepithelial cell line

Heparan sulfate (HS) glycosaminoglycans are essential modulators of fibroblast growth factor (FGF) activity both in vivo and in vitro, and appear to act by cross-linking particular forms of FGF to appropriate FGF receptors. We have recently isolated and characterized two separate HS pools derived from immortalized embryonic day 10 mouse neuroepithelial 2.3D cells: one from cells in log growth phase, which greatly potentiates the activity of FGF-2, and the other from cells undergoing contact-inhibition and differentiation, which preferentially activates FGF-1. These two pools of HS have very similar functional activities to those species isolated from primary neuroepithelial cells at corresponding stages of active proliferation or differentiation. We present here a structural comparison between these cell line HS species to establish the nature of the changes that occur in the biosynthesis of HS. A combination of chemical and enzymatic cleavage, low pressure chromatography and strong anion-exchange HPLC were used to generate full chain models of each species. Overall, the HS pools synthesized in the dividing cell line pools possessed less complex sulfation than those derived from more differentiated, growth arrested cells.      

Core alpha1,3-fucose is a key part of the epitope recognized by antibodies reacting against plant N-linked oligosaccharides and is present in a wide variety of plant extracts

Carbohydrates have been suggested to account for some IgE cross- reactions between various plant, insect, and mollusk extracts, while some IgG antibodies have been successfully raised against plant glycoproteins. A rat monoclonal antibody raised against elderberry abscission tissue (YZ1/2.23) and rabbit polyclonal antiserum against horseradish peroxidase were screened for reactivity in enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay against a range of plant glycoproteins and extracts as well as neoglycoproteins, bee venom phospholipase, and several animal glycoproteins. Of the oligosaccharides tested, Man3XylFucGlcNAc2(MMXF3) derived from horseradish peroxidase was the most potent inhibitor of the reactivity of both YZ1/2.23 and anti- horseradish peroxidase to native horseradish peroxidase glycoprotein. The reactivity of YZ1/2. 23 and anti-horseradish peroxidase against Sophora japonica lectin was most inhibited by a neoglycoconjugate of bromelain glycopeptide cross-linked to bovine serum albumin, while the defucosylated form of this conjugate was inactive as an inhibitor. A wide range of plant extracts was found to react against YZ1/2.23 and anti-horseradish peroxidase, with particularly high reactivities recorded for grass pollen and nut extracts. All these reactivities were inhibitable with the bromelain glycopeptide/bovine serum albumin conjugate. Bee venom phospholipase and whole bee venom reacted weakly with YZ1/2.23 but more strongly with anti-horseradish peroxidase in a manner inhibitable with the bromelain glycopeptide/bovine serum albumin conjugate, while hemocyanin from Helix pomatia reacted poorly with YZ1/2.23 but did react with anti-horseradish peroxidase. It is concluded that the alpha1, 3-fucose residue linked to the chitobiose core of plant glycoproteins is the most important residue in the epitope recognized by the two antibodies studied, but that the polyclonal anti-horseradish peroxidase antiserum also contains antibody populations that recognize the xylose linked to the core mannose of many plant and gastropod N-linked oligosaccharides.